Scratchy-Congregation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

189

Trades

8,810

lifetime

Volume

$26.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-21 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 37% $-103

Other

3% 100% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 80% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774187400	112	$445	473	563	-90	open	—	03-22 13:53
btc updown 5m 1774451700	63	$322	350	185	+165	open	—	03-25 15:17
btc updown 5m 1774447200	54	$285	270	302	-32	open	—	03-25 14:02
btc updown 5m 1774449300	37	$252	242	161	+80	open	—	03-25 14:37
btc updown 5m 1774446300	41	$191	206	180	+26	open	—	03-25 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774497300	42	$170	363	0	+363	open	—	03-26 03:59
btc updown 5m 1774523400	15	$166	261	0	+261	open	—	03-26 11:12
btc updown 5m 1774364100	33	$146	124	138	-14	open	—	03-24 14:57
btc updown 5m 1774536600	48	$146	209	188	+20	open	—	03-26 14:53
btc updown 5m 1774543800	25	$139	96	192	-96	open	—	03-26 16:51
btc updown 5m 1774537800	49	$139	217	151	+66	open	—	03-26 15:12
btc updown 5m 1774537200	28	$137	74	185	-111	open	—	03-26 15:01
btc updown 5m 1774322100	67	$132	288	17	+271	open	—	03-24 03:17
btc updown 5m 1774104900	61	$128	274	81	+193	open	—	03-21 14:57
btc updown 5m 1774448400	51	$127	281	123	+157	open	—	03-25 14:24
btc updown 5m 1774364700	31	$124	96	158	-62	open	—	03-24 15:06
btc updown 5m 1774546200	33	$124	143	143	+0	open	—	03-26 17:32
btc updown 5m 1774364400	33	$123	122	105	+17	open	—	03-24 15:03
btc updown 5m 1774542600	35	$120	104	171	-67	open	—	03-26 16:32
btc updown 5m 1774535400	41	$120	147	187	-40	open	—	03-26 14:31
btc updown 5m 1774536300	30	$120	132	142	-10	open	—	03-26 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774450200	46	$117	231	0	+231	open	—	03-25 14:51
btc updown 5m 1774363800	25	$117	87	90	-3	open	—	03-24 14:52
btc updown 5m 1774428000	25	$116	66	166	-101	open	—	03-25 08:41
btc updown 5m 1774534800	47	$113	155	148	+7	open	—	03-26 14:22
btc updown 5m 1774428300	54	$113	206	160	+46	open	—	03-25 08:46
btc updown 5m 1774344600	26	$111	76	106	-30	open	—	03-24 09:34
btc updown 5m 1774543500	27	$111	93	145	-52	open	—	03-26 16:48
btc updown 5m 1774310700	47	$110	161	107	+54	open	—	03-24 00:09
btc updown 5m 1774542900	36	$110	103	159	-57	open	—	03-26 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 02:00:48	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xe501be…
07-17 02:01:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x244412…
07-17 02:01:39	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x021a8a…
07-17 02:01:37	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf70ef7…
07-17 02:01:37	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x531d3e…
07-15 02:01:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeda864…
07-15 02:01:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d456b…
07-15 02:01:38	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6bfb84…
07-15 02:01:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0858ab…
07-14 14:01:37	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf61c4a…
07-14 08:01:01	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 5pt68	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0770ac…
07-14 02:01:31	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x03c88e…
07-13 20:01:37	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 13 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d735f…
07-09 02:01:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdaa774…
07-08 02:00:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x8ef7f6…
07-07 20:01:38	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc5320a…
07-07 02:01:52	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5ac751…
07-06 11:40:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x050428…
07-06 11:39:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd235ba…
07-06 02:01:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc54837…
07-06 02:01:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x563c2d…
07-05 19:57:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3c12ad…
07-05 02:01:35	iran successfully targets shipping on july 5 20260625225210246	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x69b2b2…
07-04 02:01:17	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8a9034…
07-03 02:00:38	iran successfully targets shipping on july 3 20260625225210244	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf5c276…
07-03 02:00:38	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xcb205f…
07-03 02:00:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x14c5e0…
07-03 02:00:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x07abd0…
07-02 02:00:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x89baed…
07-01 14:00:40	anthropic openai vs meta higher valuation on june 30	Anthropic + OpenAI	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2400b9…
07-01 08:00:28	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by june 30	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc81fc8…
07-01 08:00:28	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf25ee…
07-01 08:00:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x2630ed…
07-01 02:00:32	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7d68b7…
06-30 02:02:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf69b1c…
06-30 02:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd47438…
06-30 02:02:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa9e8b6…
06-30 02:02:04	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x66f5ce…
06-30 02:02:04	zgr zel arrested by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x51d4e6…
06-30 02:02:04	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4d31d0…
06-26 14:01:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6f314b…
06-24 14:01:37	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 26b	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2d1d9f…
06-18 15:31:52	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x118f6e…
06-17 14:01:38	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x36c3fb…
06-15 14:01:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x302b4c…
06-15 06:16:09	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a9c43…
05-12 02:16:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,240	1¢	$10	0x2a5ed4…
05-10 23:24:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf4a479…
05-10 08:22:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xd9209e…
05-10 00:30:21	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xaf9c53…
05-10 00:29:49	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe9f2bf…
05-10 00:28:48	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs	Imperial	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x80f274…
05-10 00:27:41	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb45d01…
05-10 00:27:26	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9f4aad…
05-10 00:27:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x83e10d…
05-09 06:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfffaf…
05-09 06:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51defe…
05-09 06:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xd162eb…
05-09 06:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x2d4c96…
05-09 06:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb59650…
05-09 05:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7d5e0…
05-09 05:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4fe47c…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdb2ce5…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb1dcb9…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9fa8d1…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9f0b84…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8d4d18…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8c4ab2…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x52e25f…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36f3d4…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3016df…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2caba4…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x169694…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0c5872…
05-09 05:49:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf66dd9…
05-09 05:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xaf95c6…
05-09 05:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0xa68594…
05-09 05:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x6db31f…
05-09 05:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x99b5bd…
05-09 05:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42d088…
05-09 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdc39a4…
05-09 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc0087e…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xeddcd7…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea5f7c…
05-09 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2f476…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcc2d37…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc7476c…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc638eb…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa862e8…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e39e6…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x6abd4b…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5d9ba6…
05-09 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a9fa0…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x404e6f…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2adc55…
05-09 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xf637f9…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xc897d8…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3f239b…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a75b9…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeca979…