Scratchy-Congregation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

189

Trades

8,776

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-30 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 37% $-103

Other

2% 100% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 80% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	06-30 02:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+11	$11	99¢	$11	$-0	06-30 02:02
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	No	+11	$11	99¢	$11	$-0	06-30 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774187400	112	$445	473	563	-90	open	—	03-22 13:53
btc updown 5m 1774451700	63	$322	350	185	+165	open	—	03-25 15:17
btc updown 5m 1774447200	54	$285	270	302	-32	open	—	03-25 14:02
btc updown 5m 1774449300	37	$252	242	161	+80	open	—	03-25 14:37
btc updown 5m 1774446300	41	$191	206	180	+26	open	—	03-25 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774497300	42	$170	363	0	+363	open	—	03-26 03:59
btc updown 5m 1774523400	15	$166	261	0	+261	open	—	03-26 11:12
btc updown 5m 1774364100	33	$146	124	138	-14	open	—	03-24 14:57
btc updown 5m 1774536600	48	$146	209	188	+20	open	—	03-26 14:53
btc updown 5m 1774543800	25	$139	96	192	-96	open	—	03-26 16:51
btc updown 5m 1774537800	49	$139	217	151	+66	open	—	03-26 15:12
btc updown 5m 1774537200	28	$137	74	185	-111	open	—	03-26 15:01
btc updown 5m 1774322100	67	$132	288	17	+271	open	—	03-24 03:17
btc updown 5m 1774104900	61	$128	274	81	+193	open	—	03-21 14:57
btc updown 5m 1774448400	51	$127	281	123	+157	open	—	03-25 14:24
btc updown 5m 1774364700	31	$124	96	158	-62	open	—	03-24 15:06
btc updown 5m 1774546200	33	$124	143	143	+0	open	—	03-26 17:32
btc updown 5m 1774364400	33	$123	122	105	+17	open	—	03-24 15:03
btc updown 5m 1774542600	35	$120	104	171	-67	open	—	03-26 16:32
btc updown 5m 1774535400	41	$120	147	187	-40	open	—	03-26 14:31
btc updown 5m 1774536300	30	$120	132	142	-10	open	—	03-26 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774450200	46	$117	231	0	+231	open	—	03-25 14:51
btc updown 5m 1774363800	25	$117	87	90	-3	open	—	03-24 14:52
btc updown 5m 1774428000	25	$116	66	166	-101	open	—	03-25 08:41
btc updown 5m 1774534800	47	$113	155	148	+7	open	—	03-26 14:22
btc updown 5m 1774428300	54	$113	206	160	+46	open	—	03-25 08:46
btc updown 5m 1774344600	26	$111	76	106	-30	open	—	03-24 09:34
btc updown 5m 1774543500	27	$111	93	145	-52	open	—	03-26 16:48
btc updown 5m 1774310700	47	$110	161	107	+54	open	—	03-24 00:09
btc updown 5m 1774542900	36	$110	103	159	-57	open	—	03-26 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:00:32	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7d68b7…
06-30 02:02:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf69b1c…
06-30 02:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd47438…
06-30 02:02:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa9e8b6…
06-30 02:02:04	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x66f5ce…
06-30 02:02:04	zgr zel arrested by june 30	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x51d4e6…
06-30 02:02:04	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4d31d0…
06-26 14:01:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6f314b…
06-24 14:01:37	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 26b	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2d1d9f…
06-18 15:31:52	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x118f6e…
06-17 14:01:38	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x36c3fb…
06-15 14:01:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x302b4c…
06-15 06:16:09	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a9c43…
05-12 02:16:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,240	1¢	$10	0x2a5ed4…
05-10 23:24:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf4a479…
05-10 08:22:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xd9209e…
05-10 00:30:21	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xaf9c53…
05-10 00:29:49	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe9f2bf…
05-10 00:28:48	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs	Imperial	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x80f274…
05-10 00:27:41	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb45d01…
05-10 00:27:26	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	New York Yankees	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9f4aad…
05-10 00:27:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x83e10d…
05-09 06:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfffaf…
05-09 06:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51defe…
05-09 06:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xd162eb…
05-09 06:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x2d4c96…
05-09 06:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb59650…
05-09 05:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7d5e0…
05-09 05:55:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4fe47c…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdb2ce5…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb1dcb9…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9fa8d1…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9f0b84…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8d4d18…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8c4ab2…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x52e25f…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36f3d4…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3016df…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2caba4…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x169694…
05-09 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0c5872…
05-09 05:49:56	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf66dd9…
05-09 05:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xaf95c6…
05-09 05:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0xa68594…
05-09 05:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x6db31f…
05-09 05:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x99b5bd…
05-09 05:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x42d088…
05-09 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdc39a4…
05-09 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc0087e…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xeddcd7…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea5f7c…
05-09 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2f476…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcc2d37…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc7476c…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc638eb…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa862e8…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e39e6…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x6abd4b…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5d9ba6…
05-09 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5a9fa0…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x404e6f…
05-09 05:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2adc55…
05-09 05:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xf637f9…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xc897d8…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3f239b…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a75b9…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeca979…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc0baf2…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9ab0cd…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x841ad1…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2b3959…
05-09 05:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x21d290…
05-09 05:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb729b…
05-09 01:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x058ff5…
05-09 01:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x603ada…
05-09 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb084dd…
05-09 01:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6a7a50…
05-09 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe222a8…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf548db…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf005db…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xec40c1…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a90c1…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2dc8e3…
05-09 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2babd9…
05-09 01:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a34f7…
05-09 01:15:01	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xdd1d0d…
05-09 01:15:01	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xda4753…
05-09 01:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7bc60…
05-09 01:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f9cd2…
05-09 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x4e2ccd…
05-09 00:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x43f654…
05-09 00:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x088463…
05-09 00:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4ee9ad…
05-09 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee9cfa…
05-09 00:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xc866a2…
05-09 00:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xab2708…
05-09 00:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6ec8c5…
05-09 00:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6d31b7…
05-09 00:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x5f9495…
05-09 00:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c8c80…