Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

154

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$3.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$102

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-24 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 79% -$25

Politics

10% 67% +$10

Other

4% 91% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+73	$55	79¢	$58	+$3	10-10 17:48
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+36	$33	98¢	$35	+$2	10-05 20:36
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	+7	$5	62¢	$5	$0	10-10 18:09
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	+87	$25	4¢	$4	-$21	10-13 18:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	2	$148	83	83	+0	No	+$18	10-13 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	9	$144	207	61	+146	Up	+$20	09-07 22:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	2	$138	71	71	+0	No	+$4	10-11 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	9	$115	131	0	+131	Down	+$16	09-07 21:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$108	73	73	+0	Down	+$18	09-07 21:49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	09-07 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$98	54	54	+0	Down	+$8	09-07 21:19
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$96	53	53	+0	Down	+$6	09-07 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	6	$95	139	20	+119	Up	-$55	09-07 21:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$90	91	0	+91	Down	+$1	09-07 22:16
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$81	57	57	+0	Up	+$11	09-07 22:55
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$78	43	43	+0	Down	+$8	09-07 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$73	68	31	+37	Up	+$10	09-07 21:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	2	$70	36	36	+0	No	+$2	09-29 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$65	38	38	+0	Up	+$5	09-08 00:28
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$64	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	09-07 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$63	42	42	+0	Down	+$3	09-07 23:23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$60	67	0	+67	Up	+$7	09-07 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$60	64	0	+64	Up	+$4	09-07 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$56	41	25	+16	Up	+$8	09-07 20:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	1	$55	73	0	+73	open	—	10-10 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$55	88	0	+88	Down	-$55	09-07 22:13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$55	74	0	+74	Up	-$55	09-07 22:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	09-08 00:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	09-07 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$52	41	41	+0	Down	+$12	09-07 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$37	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	09-07 21:04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$35	43	0	+43	Up	+$8	09-08 00:18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$35	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	09-08 00:33
Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$33	122	0	+122	Down	-$2	09-07 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:17:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xae8c63…
10-21 18:58:30	Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xd14eba…
10-13 18:31:13	Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xafebb3…
10-13 18:30:27	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x041aca…
10-13 18:29:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xa1ea13…
10-12 20:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x9e88e1…
10-12 20:35:33	Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x031184…
10-12 20:34:12	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0ff11d…
10-11 16:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb993df…
10-11 16:07:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1ee34f…
10-11 16:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x891193…
10-11 16:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x65c84f…
10-11 10:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdba463…
10-11 10:57:36	Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa3be74…
10-11 10:57:17	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0e0ef2…
10-11 10:56:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x3af42b…
10-10 18:09:24	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x860a2a…
10-10 18:06:10	Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x424abd…
10-10 18:04:48	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf37e67…
10-10 18:00:24	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa75581…
10-10 17:48:07	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	73	75¢	$55	0xcd83f6…
10-10 08:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcb703f…
10-10 08:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb238b8…
10-09 20:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x96789b…
10-05 21:02:31	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x812840…
10-05 20:36:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x774862…
10-03 11:33:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa87fa4…
09-30 19:28:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0543f5…
09-30 19:27:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa3db62…
09-30 19:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc6f4a0…
09-30 19:12:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fccee…
09-30 19:07:23	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd481df…
09-30 19:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x725eea…
09-29 22:54:33	russia ukraine peace talks by october 15 2026	No	BUY	83	78¢	$65	0x1fa235…
09-29 22:53:05	russia military action against eu country by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x853577…
09-29 22:52:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x03a16b…
09-29 22:52:29	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x009142…
09-29 22:52:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x8b4290…
09-29 22:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x0df0db…
09-29 22:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5fde13…
09-29 20:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x089696…
09-22 03:45:30	will ethereum reach 3100 september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x236f99…
09-19 21:00:00	russia military action against eu country by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdbee97…
09-19 20:54:30	Will Solana reach $130 in September?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x86bc4d…
09-19 20:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1666cc…
09-19 20:51:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x1b86bf…
09-19 20:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x916402…
09-18 22:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdef704…
09-18 22:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x159859…
09-18 22:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5a0ca0…
09-18 21:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ef001…
09-18 21:55:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x1cc04f…
09-16 21:43:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x2f0fdf…
09-16 21:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4cac65…
09-16 21:06:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3563ed…
09-16 21:03:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x464345…
09-16 20:58:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac07dd…
09-16 20:54:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x729493…
09-16 20:53:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdb87c2…
09-16 20:48:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd90220…
09-16 20:46:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	7¢	$16	0x4d7807…
09-15 20:56:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd31e7f…
09-15 20:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb98665…
09-15 20:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x79e951…
09-15 20:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaf318f…
09-15 20:03:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x93cf71…
09-15 19:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb6976…
09-15 19:53:21	XRP Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd77ccc…
09-15 19:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb50394…
09-15 19:45:07	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x3e2655…
09-15 19:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x593199…
09-15 19:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x14f64e…
09-15 19:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa4c68d…
09-15 19:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x3b0a49…
09-15 19:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd864ac…
09-15 19:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd31585…
09-12 16:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x13a549…
09-12 15:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x09f80c…
09-12 15:51:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x837b69…
09-12 15:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x97d783…
09-12 15:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x5276cd…
09-12 15:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x90bb59…
09-12 15:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc51635…
09-12 15:44:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x738f0a…
09-12 15:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa2b7aa…
09-12 15:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9cb69f…
09-12 15:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x463eae…
09-12 15:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	370	2¢	$6	0xc1e959…
09-12 15:10:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x235a7e…
09-12 15:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xd838a3…
09-12 15:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xed315c…
09-12 14:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf5c8b5…
09-12 14:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3b8f09…
09-12 14:53:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xc25f5e…
09-12 14:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4167f0…
09-12 14:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x7a509f…
09-12 14:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf139b7…
09-12 14:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x2c3669…
09-12 14:41:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x78009c…
09-12 14:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x916988…