Winding-Signet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

1,466

Trades

3,237

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-26 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 48% -$150

Other

18% 33% -$54

Politics

2% 27% -$5

Sports

1% 47% +$25

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	11	$60	35	40	-5	Down	+$3	05-18 14:50
will ethereum dip to 2400 in august 2026 from august 23	11	$58	48	48	+0	Yes	+$2	08-30 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	16	$47	64	54	+10	Up	-$1	05-16 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 22?	4	$39	38	38	+0	Yes	+$33	08-22 10:39
lol kt bro2 2026 08 26 game3	6	$37	41	41	+0	HANJIN BRION	-$3	08-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	8	$35	31	30	+1	Up	-$1	08-05 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 17?	4	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$23	08-17 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	6	$31	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	4	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 13:57
lol kt bro2 2026 08 26	7	$29	24	24	+0	KT Rolster	-$3	08-26 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	7	$29	25	30	-5	Down	-$11	05-19 13:37
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10am et	5	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	5	$28	38	38	+0	Down	-$3	05-18 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	8	$28	32	21	+11	Up	-$1	05-16 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	2	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$21	08-24 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	6	$27	38	33	+5	Down	+$3	05-16 12:57
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 1pm et	6	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	06-06 18:00
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 10am et	7	$26	20	20	+0	Down	$0	06-17 14:42
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3pm et	7	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 20:00
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 11am et	6	$25	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	06-06 16:00
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 1pm et	5	$25	20	14	+6	Up	+$3	06-09 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET	7	$23	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	06-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET	6	$21	24	24	+0	Up	-$2	05-25 04:46
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 10am et	4	$21	12	12	+0	Up	-$2	04-06 14:58
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	8	$21	32	27	+4	Down	-$2	08-28 14:13
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	9	$21	26	20	+6	Dplus KIA	-$2	09-04 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 18:27
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 9am et	4	$20	18	18	+0	Down	-$3	04-07 13:56
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	4	$20	18	18	+0	Down	-$10	04-08 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET	4	$20	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	05-16 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:25:56	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x851768…
10-23 14:34:17	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc2dbb4…
10-19 14:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on October 20?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$1	0x2c0fda…
10-19 13:13:29	Lisbon: Carlos Taberner vs Oleksii Krutykh	Oleksii Krutykh	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd2ec1a…
10-19 13:12:48	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x47bf0f…
10-19 00:51:50	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x46c725…
10-17 15:41:20	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xd1670c…
10-17 15:38:59	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 18 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9dc05b…
10-17 15:36:39	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 18 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x4d86dc…
10-17 15:36:36	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 18 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x89016b…
10-17 15:36:33	highest temperature in wuhan on october 18 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf2514b…
10-17 15:34:59	highest temperature in beijing on october 18 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8b53b8…
10-17 15:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xd4ade8…
10-17 15:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0e564b…
10-17 15:30:17	highest temperature in chongqing on october 18 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x0eee57…
10-17 15:30:14	Will Marcus Semien win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xaaa933…
10-16 17:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x57a1ab…
10-16 16:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc42521…
10-16 16:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa5c619…
10-16 08:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa4a34e…
10-16 08:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd44aca…
10-16 08:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x74af5f…
10-15 23:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xba9d12…
10-15 23:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x526d7c…
10-15 23:26:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbdab4b…
10-15 23:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6f7393…
10-15 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xddc308…
10-15 22:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x17723d…
10-15 22:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c9214…
10-15 22:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd91414…
10-15 22:42:00	Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest RED	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0d16a5…
10-15 22:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x45f96c…
10-15 22:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdf880c…
10-15 22:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x58652c…
10-15 22:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x924052…
10-15 22:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8630fe…
10-15 21:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xac9cbf…
10-15 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7dedb1…
10-15 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x35421e…
10-15 20:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xac25b1…
10-15 20:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xadccd2…
10-15 19:53:07	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	Legacy	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4f5399…
10-15 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1f64fb…
10-15 19:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd2b615…
10-15 19:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfb7077…
10-15 18:54:59	dota2 lynx legion1 2026 10 15	LEGION	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfd5c56…
10-15 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x528603…
10-15 18:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0a1483…
10-15 18:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd01a3…
10-15 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa878ce…
10-15 18:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xabc96b…
10-15 18:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x20677d…
10-15 18:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe4ff47…
10-15 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdedfe7…
10-15 17:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x3bce1e…
10-15 17:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x15a1d6…
10-15 17:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x56eafc…
10-15 17:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe34d6c…
10-15 17:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc553b7…
10-15 16:18:52	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x89c6ae…
10-15 15:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8d4c68…
10-15 15:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xad8050…
10-15 15:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb8dad7…
10-15 15:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf7c070…
10-15 15:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xceec31…
10-15 15:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xa50daf…
10-15 15:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x20d0e1…
10-15 15:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x638e01…
10-15 15:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4a7f05…
10-09 01:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x362248…
10-09 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x45abee…
10-09 00:43:08	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,850,000 and 3,000,000?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0x80ffcf…
10-09 00:42:51	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x22dc16…
10-09 00:42:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x1c402d…
10-01 23:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8afad0…
10-01 22:43:23	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8c84bf…
10-01 12:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0fdf0c…
10-01 12:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x78611c…
10-01 04:24:09	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x4d1c7f…
09-30 22:34:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xecbe09…
09-30 22:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x29df66…
09-30 05:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xa0214e…
09-30 05:27:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9114f3…
09-30 00:47:32	will bitcoin dip to 70000 by december 31 2026 from august 24	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x73d23d…
09-29 22:58:18	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0db087…
09-29 22:44:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x93ba3b…
09-29 22:43:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf8a0ad…
09-29 22:22:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1a8b4d…
09-29 21:48:06	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd0c92a…
09-29 21:29:38	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xcd4a7d…
09-29 21:29:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5563a2…
09-29 21:09:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xae669e…
09-29 21:07:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc2496d…
09-29 19:34:45	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x973142…
09-29 19:34:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x093221…
09-29 19:33:50	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9fe942…
09-29 19:33:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5c1a7e…
09-29 19:29:39	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xca107a…
09-29 19:28:59	XRP Up or Down - September 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2f7b4b…
09-29 19:28:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x721cf9…