Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

3.7%

Resolved

266

Trades

1,785

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-17 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

54% 1% -$1,064

Other

41% 15% -$644

Sports

3% 0% -$10

Tech

1% 20% -$7

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	+8	$24	74¢	$6	-$18	10-10 09:21
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	+0	$2	86¢	$0	-$2	10-07 07:51
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	10-03 06:20
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	+0	$14	96¢	$0	-$14	10-06 10:57
Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	+0	$2	59¢	$0	-$2	10-10 12:07
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	No	+0	$0	18¢	$0	$0	10-07 11:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	19	$442	313	313	+0	No	-$33	10-05 11:54
Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	14	$365	320	320	+0	open	—	10-06 00:13
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	12	$361	250	250	+0	open	—	10-05 21:31
Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?	12	$334	243	243	+0	No	-$32	10-05 20:40
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	6	$333	300	300	+0	open	—	10-05 10:01
Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	15	$317	212	212	+0	Yes	-$19	10-03 16:34
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?	12	$297	270	270	+0	No	-$39	10-07 09:59
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	16	$277	250	250	+0	open	—	10-05 09:09
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?	8	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	10-04 14:19
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	8	$263	200	200	+0	Yes	-$30	10-04 17:30
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	5	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	10-08 07:56
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	11	$249	250	250	+0	open	—	10-05 23:11
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	10	$235	199	199	+0	open	—	10-05 07:37
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	9	$232	200	200	+0	No	-$30	10-08 02:21
Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	13	$229	202	202	+0	No	-$21	10-06 16:58
Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	10	$226	215	215	+0	Yes	-$33	10-06 01:47
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	13	$220	188	188	+0	open	—	10-06 10:57
Will Tim Palmer win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	7	$215	150	150	+0	No	-$23	10-06 07:46
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	6	$211	137	137	+0	No	-$13	10-05 06:07
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?	12	$207	157	157	+0	open	—	10-05 07:05
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	10	$207	180	180	+0	No	-$15	10-06 08:41
Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	7	$200	150	150	+0	No	-$13	10-03 17:17
Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	6	$200	150	150	+0	No	-$23	10-02 21:46
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	6	$193	145	145	+0	open	—	10-07 18:10
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?	13	$193	174	174	+0	open	—	10-12 20:36
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	7	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	10-06 20:34
Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	8	$184	137	137	+0	No	-$22	10-04 20:49
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	11	$176	120	120	+0	No	-$19	10-04 00:25
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	8	$162	112	112	+0	open	—	10-05 14:06
Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	8	$154	110	110	+0	Yes	-$11	10-06 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 17:35:42	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x33797a…
10-17 13:52:32	Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdcb17d…
10-17 13:52:06	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x221af1…
10-17 13:51:47	Will Imperial Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xef5f3a…
10-17 13:51:32	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x98097f…
10-17 09:18:41	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22B by October 31?	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x02df2a…
10-16 21:53:12	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x781794…
10-13 16:19:43	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x038bb1…
10-13 16:18:34	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x9ed420…
10-13 08:45:56	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x10d394…
10-13 06:06:40	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by October 31?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xeeb486…
10-12 20:36:08	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x4ad539…
10-12 15:10:05	Will Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x1f6194…
10-12 09:53:55	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?	No	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x53284a…
10-12 06:49:07	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by October 31?	No	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0xdb943b…
10-11 23:29:32	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	41	57¢	$23	0xa6f378…
10-11 22:32:33	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x594ae5…
10-11 21:41:01	Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x24bd47…
10-11 19:34:09	Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x60503a…
10-11 19:00:19	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $28B by October 31?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x39a9e3…
10-11 15:04:15	Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf81701…
10-11 08:18:36	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $102.5B by October 31?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xac7092…
10-11 02:53:11	Extended listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	24	40¢	$9	0xe8b1b2…
10-10 20:32:04	Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,524.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x13fafb…
10-10 20:00:28	Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	No	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x545ebf…
10-10 15:35:51	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xf2d50c…
10-10 14:43:52	Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	No	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0xf04653…
10-10 13:57:45	Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xefd719…
10-10 13:40:13	Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1667e7…
10-10 12:07:37	Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xf307d4…
10-10 09:21:22	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	52	52¢	$27	0xf52554…
10-10 02:03:17	Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xbda254…
10-09 23:00:07	Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,524.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6efb91…
10-09 17:58:31	Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x52294f…
10-09 15:08:34	Will Kristiansund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$3	0x42b271…
10-09 11:36:30	Will Nico Collins have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xa96f2d…
10-09 09:37:37	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x05e60f…
10-09 09:37:03	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	No	SELL	33	62¢	$20	0x87962b…
10-09 07:15:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xd3a03c…
10-09 00:13:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x5a6abf…
10-08 19:37:18	Will Cameron Skattebo have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xf42cfc…
10-08 17:27:47	Will Kari Gares win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?	No	SELL	47	59¢	$28	0xa6f6c4…
10-08 16:23:27	Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x8de5a5…
10-08 16:23:27	Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?	No	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0x77ff0c…
10-08 16:23:27	Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x65a734…
10-08 15:20:08	Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x34c27e…
10-08 14:55:06	Will OnRe launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xf231da…
10-08 14:30:08	Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x97e658…
10-08 14:29:54	Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x46c519…
10-08 14:19:57	Will Tyra Hurricane Black reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x51cce9…
10-08 13:55:26	Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x614e83…
10-08 13:34:59	Will Josh Allen be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x55f29d…
10-08 13:25:26	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x6af459…
10-08 13:15:17	Will Cameron Skattebo have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8230fa…
10-08 13:15:09	Will Tyra Hurricane Black reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x4d171d…
10-08 13:05:05	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x79312a…
10-08 12:33:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x33469e…
10-08 11:49:20	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc2bc8f…
10-08 11:15:26	Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xc06074…
10-08 11:00:11	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc4dd8f…
10-08 10:13:20	Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xff7593…
10-08 09:51:32	Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xd8701c…
10-08 09:50:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x6fe235…
10-08 09:49:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x886cad…
10-08 09:42:50	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6570ef…
10-08 09:41:56	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	No	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0xba5795…
10-08 08:45:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1eb633…
10-08 08:41:35	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xb3782e…
10-08 08:18:05	Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xa699d2…
10-08 07:56:10	Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x16edbb…
10-08 07:25:43	Will Kari Gares win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe10431…
10-08 06:45:39	Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x64d62e…
10-08 05:43:44	Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x5808bf…
10-08 05:35:37	Will the New Jersey Devils make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdbdbd2…
10-08 05:22:40	Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xffd399…
10-08 04:40:31	Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x586c1d…
10-08 04:36:23	Will Milan finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7cefbf…
10-08 04:28:05	Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x97472d…
10-08 03:43:01	Will Silkeborg be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xfa9591…
10-08 02:21:55	Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe14f65…
10-08 02:21:55	Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?	No	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0x56ef9f…
10-08 01:33:28	Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x2a0385…
10-08 00:42:59	Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x22a27f…
10-07 23:38:40	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x54d5cf…
10-07 23:03:08	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb006ec…
10-07 22:44:44	Will Fenerbahçe finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6c9777…
10-07 22:42:29	Will RB Leipzig finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xe0c0bd…
10-07 21:54:16	Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xffc929…
10-07 21:47:54	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x3b683f…
10-07 21:38:25	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x66d0d4…
10-07 21:22:40	Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x1b127e…
10-07 21:21:47	Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	28	48¢	$14	0x7bbe46…
10-07 20:36:38	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x8321f8…
10-07 20:35:38	Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Quillan Salkilld next?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xbcc96f…
10-07 20:24:20	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x7d8fa2…
10-07 19:04:04	Will Milan finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6ac002…
10-07 18:51:37	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x4a138b…
10-07 18:10:00	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x16fadc…
10-07 17:31:44	Will Aaron Rodgers have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x682f87…
10-07 16:57:56	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0xc113d9…