Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

108

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$687

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 11-07 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 60% +$70

Other

20% 43% +$17

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+54	$10	18¢	$10	+$0	11-06 07:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+7	$5	79¢	$5	+$0	11-05 23:43
Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	+9	$5	56¢	$5	+$0	11-06 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+167	$10	3¢	$5	-$5	10-29 14:40
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	+20	$5	24¢	$5	$0	11-06 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$27	28	0	+28	Up	+$1	10-29 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$26	39	0	+39	Up	+$13	10-29 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$26	33	0	+33	Up	+$7	10-29 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$26	49	0	+49	Up	+$23	10-29 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$26	44	0	+44	Up	+$18	10-29 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$26	47	0	+47	Up	+$21	10-29 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$26	35	0	+35	Up	+$9	10-29 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$26	61	0	+61	Up	+$35	10-29 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Up	-$25	10-24 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	10-31 20:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$10	54	0	+54	open	—	11-06 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	10-31 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	10-29 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	11-07 22:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	166	0	+166	No	-$10	10-22 19:46
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	2	$7	10	10	+0	No	-$3	11-01 21:14
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?	1	$6	12	0	+12	Yes	+$6	10-31 13:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	10-31 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	11-01 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	10-31 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	11-02 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	11-01 23:05
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	11-03 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	11-01 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	11-02 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	-$5	11-06 01:05
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	11-06 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$7	11-02 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	11-01 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 15:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x993040…
11-10 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc704e9…
11-07 23:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb63944…
11-07 23:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdfd847…
11-07 23:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x96b4c5…
11-07 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4532fb…
11-07 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xfc0db4…
11-07 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x934618…
11-07 15:51:46	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x870f11…
11-07 15:42:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x673150…
11-06 19:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa6c8d7…
11-06 14:23:54	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x1e4df6…
11-06 14:18:10	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7d9e9a…
11-06 14:17:54	Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbcf61a…
11-06 14:15:21	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd95baf…
11-06 14:13:51	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x572f0d…
11-06 14:13:39	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfe7b76…
11-06 13:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xad722a…
11-06 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8959fa…
11-06 07:15:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x06f92a…
11-06 01:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x98708c…
11-05 23:43:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfd08c2…
11-05 17:56:25	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x91b34f…
11-05 17:54:51	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc0a2d8…
11-05 17:54:22	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xada747…
11-05 00:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcc92c5…
11-03 19:02:15	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0b9707…
11-02 14:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xaf2e4d…
11-02 14:25:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xecdba6…
11-02 14:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbe6887…
11-02 14:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x98320f…
11-02 14:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2edb21…
11-02 13:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe1400f…
11-02 13:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x20c9b5…
11-02 13:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1148c1…
11-01 23:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb20d30…
11-01 23:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb1fffd…
11-01 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x545c0d…
11-01 23:28:58	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x111f09…
11-01 23:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x170917…
11-01 23:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xec099c…
11-01 23:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x329120…
11-01 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x44778d…
11-01 21:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x84d591…
11-01 21:14:57	Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x9b5b44…
11-01 21:08:52	Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x679202…
11-01 20:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x84661c…
11-01 20:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeb3c9f…
11-01 20:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x92cf7d…
11-01 19:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc6b655…
11-01 19:40:48	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x93b355…
11-01 19:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xf60b60…
11-01 18:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa9bc9a…
11-01 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf11c54…
11-01 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3dab62…
11-01 17:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xef1e88…
11-01 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf65ad8…
11-01 15:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xaee80c…
11-01 15:53:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc96ba6…
11-01 15:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x388fb1…
11-01 15:24:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b4e68…
11-01 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x21133e…
11-01 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe5b41e…
11-01 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x43ee08…
11-01 12:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcd99c5…
11-01 12:29:58	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x075081…
11-01 08:09:43	Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x058cab…
11-01 08:08:52	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb12c65…
11-01 07:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1479ab…
11-01 07:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb686fe…
11-01 07:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7c22ea…
10-31 20:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0a4daf…
10-31 20:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe2c0c3…
10-31 15:02:01	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe57271…
10-31 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x24e474…
10-31 13:28:34	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xc7e992…
10-31 13:23:37	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x298d59…
10-30 22:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4fbe45…
10-30 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa71492…
10-30 18:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb2a232…
10-30 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4b72b5…
10-30 18:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2a0c86…
10-30 16:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x20f7f0…
10-30 16:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x299907…
10-30 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x79cffc…
10-30 14:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xa961eb…
10-30 14:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x726aec…
10-30 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x45fb4e…
10-29 17:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xddac66…
10-29 17:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x911baa…
10-29 17:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e0e51…
10-29 17:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1d82f…
10-29 17:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9a99b…
10-29 16:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2c4c50…
10-29 16:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xcc7f5b…
10-29 16:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xba431e…
10-29 16:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x711933…
10-29 16:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x411167…
10-29 16:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3b2be6…
10-29 16:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x207ebb…