Colorful-Chive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.76K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

11,656

Trades

41,433

lifetime

Volume

$273.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$3,773

Other

0% 67% +$10

Politics

0% 60% +$5

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$30	44¢	$44	+$14	08-16 03:13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$6	4¢	$4	-$2	08-17 22:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	08-17 22:47
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+476	$6	0¢	$1	-$4	08-17 23:12
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-17 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 19:30 UTC	22	$366	30	626	-596	Down	+$56	01-17 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:30 UTC	30	$281	0	588	-588	Down	-$13	01-16 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:45 UTC	5	$249	397	0	+397	Down	-$219	08-31 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	12	$242	449	0	+449	Up	-$242	09-01 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$241	541	0	+541	Down	-$241	09-02 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 03:15 UTC	44	$237	990	0	+990	Down	+$3	07-09 03:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 23:30 UTC	17	$236	0	400	-400	Up	+$36	01-17 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:55 UTC	33	$235	909	0	+909	Up	-$235	07-11 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 20:30 UTC	19	$234	190	388	-198	Down	-$28	01-17 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:00 UTC	25	$233	320	378	-58	Up	+$105	01-20 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:00 UTC	9	$228	0	452	-452	Down	+$2	01-16 01:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 18:30 UTC	24	$215	0	392	-392	Down	+$19	01-17 18:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 18:45 UTC	18	$206	7	407	-400	Down	+$4	01-17 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 12:50 UTC	104	$198	6,411	0	+6,411	Up	-$198	07-11 12:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 01:30 UTC	18	$196	100	268	-168	Down	-$6	01-18 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:15 UTC	18	$193	0	287	-287	Down	-$4	01-18 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$190	293	0	+293	Down	-$111	09-01 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:10 UTC	2	$184	293	0	+293	Up	+$109	08-31 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 01:30 UTC	7	$184	0	360	-360	Up	+$4	01-15 01:30
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	3	$183	141	76	+65	No	+$8	01-07 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:00 UTC	9	$173	290	100	+190	Up	+$36	01-19 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 00:45 UTC	16	$171	245	100	+145	Down	-$32	01-19 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 22:45 UTC	12	$169	80	219	-139	Up	+$1	01-17 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$169	244	0	+244	Up	+$45	09-01 08:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 17:45 UTC	10	$167	50	200	-150	Up	+$14	01-18 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:30 UTC	19	$167	40	233	-193	Down	+$51	01-19 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$163	303	0	+303	Down	-$163	09-02 10:13
israel x syria security agreement by january 31	4	$162	93	93	+0	No	+$2	01-08 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 22:30 UTC	28	$159	170	220	-50	Down	+$47	01-21 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:15 UTC	9	$156	70	210	-140	Down	+$46	01-21 21:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0x6b8423…
10-29 06:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x700f27…
10-29 03:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	98	50¢	$49	0x3277af…
10-29 03:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	69	62¢	$43	0x29d0af…
10-29 03:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0x5d241b…
10-29 02:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4c2c05…
10-29 02:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc33d4c…
10-29 02:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xb00c84…
10-29 02:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0x56f2d2…
10-29 02:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x42cfb7…
10-29 02:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb00c80…
10-29 02:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x0cba8e…
10-28 22:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$49	0xc7f558…
10-28 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x40b98d…
10-28 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	72	62¢	$45	0xb39c61…
10-28 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0xfbb0fa…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xb140fd…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xaeac02…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xa5e8c3…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x9170ed…
10-28 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x1e9550…
10-28 18:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	79	60¢	$47	0xae8f5d…
10-28 16:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	69	68¢	$47	0xa92caf…
10-28 16:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x818852…
10-28 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x3084dc…
10-28 15:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x3338cc…
10-28 14:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	64¢	$46	0x817f98…
10-28 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0x69967c…
10-28 12:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	60¢	$49	0x97336a…
10-28 01:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	68¢	$49	0x4114a7…
10-27 23:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	69	70¢	$48	0xb59f22…
10-27 23:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	68¢	$47	0x552d1c…
10-27 23:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0x0cab24…
10-27 21:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x45b312…
10-27 21:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xae8e11…
10-27 21:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x19bed0…
10-27 21:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x114d8a…
10-27 21:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xd1e5ce…
10-27 21:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xa0271e…
10-27 21:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0xcb21de…
10-27 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x042d86…
10-27 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x9a874e…
10-27 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x6d9f15…
10-27 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcd4919…
10-27 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc76332…
10-27 21:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x505623…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf78525…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdd51e8…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa0d37e…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x86b4c0…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x83214b…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7a26cb…
10-27 21:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x1e1b21…
10-27 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcf8a58…
10-27 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xb68674…
10-27 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7ca85e…
10-27 21:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	70¢	$48	0x325a00…
10-27 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x3e5c1d…
10-27 20:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	138	35¢	$48	0x676ec6…
10-27 19:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0xe1ff6e…
10-27 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe261b6…
10-27 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd82109…
10-27 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xb02fdd…
10-27 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x9f14c8…
10-27 18:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	61¢	$48	0x5af96e…
10-27 07:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	38¢	$47	0x049321…
10-27 06:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0x1e2928…
10-27 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xd762cd…
10-27 03:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x7ece3b…
10-27 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0xef546b…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x75967e…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x644dae…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x3ed1c9…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x2ebd35…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x19dd25…
10-27 00:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x187ca7…
10-27 00:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	78	62¢	$48	0xc940a9…
10-26 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf9f7ea…
10-26 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xf09ddf…
10-26 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x93b180…
10-26 23:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1981fb…
10-26 23:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x43d4c3…
10-26 23:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0x0386ff…
10-26 23:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	74	62¢	$46	0x568f8b…
10-26 22:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3fe795…
10-26 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0xa310d8…
10-26 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x4dc030…
10-26 22:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x617c80…
10-26 22:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x5db895…
10-26 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x880b43…
10-26 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xdfc0b6…
10-26 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb38ed2…
10-26 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x51dcef…
10-26 22:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2c4535…
10-26 22:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x208cb0…
10-26 22:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0xacc3a9…
10-26 22:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x222c94…
10-26 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x423b73…
10-26 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x3669ed…
10-26 20:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xe1493f…