Gracious-Neuron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

31% 60% +$8

Sports

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$530	266	266	+0	open	—	04-24 12:32
will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$524	263	263	+0	open	—	04-04 08:53
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$305	153	153	+0	open	—	03-03 09:42
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$305	153	153	+0	open	—	03-04 03:13
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$292	147	147	+0	open	—	02-10 07:02
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-28 05:52
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$-0	04-23 07:43
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	04-25 11:40
will thomas detry win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	03-02 11:52
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$257	129	129	+0	open	—	04-04 09:36
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	04-19 05:18
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	04-11 09:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$240	122	122	+0	open	—	05-26 11:34
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	1	$156	157	0	+157	open	—	03-06 10:34
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	02-28 16:49
msft above 450 on february 27 2026	1	$153	154	0	+154	open	—	02-27 16:45
ethereum above 1800 on february 26	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	02-26 14:21
bitcoin above 60k on february 25	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	02-25 13:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	03-07 05:10
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 3	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	03-03 09:55
will bitcoin dip to 56k march 2 8	1	$151	151	0	+151	open	—	03-08 08:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 2	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	03-02 11:59
ethereum above 2100 on february 23	1	$147	148	0	+148	open	—	02-23 03:59
ethereum above 1800 on february 22	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	02-22 08:34
will ethereum reach 2600 february 9 15	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	02-15 06:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 13	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	02-13 12:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 12	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	02-12 12:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 11	1	$146	147	0	+147	open	—	02-11 04:24
ethereum above 2400 on february 10	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	02-10 07:05
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 4	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-04 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 09:25:28	will bnb dip to 400 in june	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xefed9b…
05-31 11:42:14	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x609f65…
05-31 11:36:28	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbf0682…
05-29 07:13:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9699b7…
05-28 08:54:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7c1bbe…
05-27 07:13:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x64aa89…
05-27 07:07:17	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x75ca80…
05-26 11:56:45	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x1550d9…
05-26 11:34:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	122	96¢	$118	0x470a5a…
05-25 11:51:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x4ee38e…
05-24 04:19:27	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x69f5cb…
05-24 03:59:49	Roland Garros WTA: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McNally	Caty McNally	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xbf3247…
05-23 10:32:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc86bbb…
05-23 09:13:17	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x07f323…
05-22 10:35:19	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x84d220…
05-20 06:29:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x795078…
05-20 06:15:35	Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassan	Benjamin Hassan	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x184a3d…
05-19 08:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa5ded0…
05-19 08:44:31	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xcacbbb…
05-18 08:57:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf96039…
05-17 08:05:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xc70efb…
05-14 04:06:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x3073d6…
05-12 19:56:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x77d08a…
05-12 06:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xd1c77d…
05-11 03:37:40	Tunis: Niels McDonald vs Daniil Glinka	Daniil Glinka	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeb0f3a…
05-09 13:13:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x6d612c…
05-07 08:43:08	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb0cd94…
05-06 06:27:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Panna Udvardy vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x2afa10…
05-03 05:42:58	Will XRP dip to $1.15 on May 3?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x85f9dd…
05-02 03:34:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xbbc56a…
04-30 08:51:30	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x00a431…
04-28 08:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xa5cbca…
04-27 03:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x27f6b9…
04-27 03:58:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0xd37913…
04-26 12:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x579fe7…
04-26 07:12:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,125	0¢	$2	0xb7b2be…
04-26 07:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	920	0¢	$2	0x8529f1…
04-25 12:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0xf16bad…
04-25 12:04:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	845	0¢	$2	0x6cb0ff…
04-25 11:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	587	0¢	$2	0x3e878a…
04-25 11:41:08	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x2836a5…
04-25 11:40:30	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x23eea2…
04-25 11:22:24	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x779a33…
04-24 12:57:34	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x43c033…
04-24 12:32:00	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x17dcee…
04-24 12:06:16	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x384f5d…
04-23 07:57:44	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 23	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x10ed47…
04-23 07:43:18	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xc1f539…
04-23 07:02:50	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x708a97…
04-22 09:01:22	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xddb955…
04-21 06:04:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 21	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x83f10b…
04-21 04:50:32	Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x34298b…
04-20 12:01:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xc02662…
04-19 05:26:56	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4f1703…
04-19 05:18:54	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0x25c00f…
04-19 04:06:10	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xb035de…
04-17 05:09:08	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x56838b…
04-15 03:56:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x3e11e8…
04-14 10:24:41	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7d7b42…
04-14 10:20:07	mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	San Diego Padres	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf0b222…
04-13 06:26:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 13	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd89741…
04-11 09:52:13	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xdb14ae…
04-11 09:42:43	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x30a1f2…
04-11 08:04:57	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x33c912…
04-10 03:29:27	ethereum above 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x9b8711…
04-09 11:53:03	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa7fa93…
04-06 04:11:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 6	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xd0a4ca…
04-06 04:10:43	ethereum above 1800 on april 6	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd43b29…
04-06 04:09:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 6	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$2	0x28e457…
04-06 04:08:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0xd74849…
04-05 04:09:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 5	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf43a01…
04-04 09:36:27	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xcc39ca…
04-04 08:57:13	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x67178b…
04-04 08:55:07	nhl mon nj 2026 04 04	Devils	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xbc3315…
04-04 08:53:57	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xd534f9…
04-04 08:35:29	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x9ce08b…
04-02 12:24:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	730	0¢	$1	0x33de43…
04-02 12:22:57	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xad4735…
04-01 09:55:23	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xb40cf1…
03-30 11:48:00	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x3aad3d…
03-30 02:27:14	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 29	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x99db15…
03-28 06:20:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x349299…
03-28 06:12:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x3461a4…
03-28 05:53:27	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x7835cd…
03-28 05:52:25	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xe97002…
03-28 04:51:47	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x987c35…
03-27 14:12:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xfe4848…
03-27 02:31:45	will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 26	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x1491da…
03-25 12:59:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 25	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb4d19e…
03-25 12:59:03	cehl kar lib 2026 03 25	Karlovy Vary	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7f8c17…
03-24 12:44:07	atp lehecka fritz 2026 03 24	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x79040b…
03-22 10:15:11	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xbc57b2…
03-21 04:12:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x97a3ac…
03-21 04:11:15	solana above 80 on march 21	No	BUY	660	0¢	$2	0x6bc8bf…
03-20 12:03:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd6ffea…
03-18 08:53:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5f0052…
03-18 08:47:33	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x2e6a93…
03-18 08:30:39	will brian harman win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x373e92…
03-18 08:28:47	ahl wil lav 2026 03 18	Laval Rocket	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x004bc7…
03-17 03:30:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x03b5e9…