Agonizing-Shoes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

150

Trades

1,107

lifetime

Volume

$8.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-09 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% +$108

Tech

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774774200	2	$201	120	119	+1	open	—	03-29 08:55
btc updown 5m 1774773900	2	$135	85	84	+1	open	—	03-29 08:50
btc updown 5m 1772536200	1	$122	200	0	+200	open	—	03-03 11:11
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	4	$120	650	650	+0	open	—	03-01 15:47
btc updown 15m 1772347500	4	$115	80	80	+0	open	—	03-01 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$90	52	52	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 05:25
btc updown 5m 1775479800	2	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	04-06 12:55
btc updown 5m 1774773600	2	$77	53	53	+1	open	—	03-29 08:45
btc updown 5m 1775478300	2	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-06 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$71	39	39	+0	open	—	05-04 19:45
btc updown 15m 1774271700	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	03-23 13:29
btc updown 5m 1775478000	2	$67	36	36	+0	open	—	04-06 12:25
btc updown 5m 1776005400	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-12 14:55
btc updown 5m 1775477100	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-06 12:10
btc updown 5m 1775993100	2	$58	32	32	+0	open	—	04-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 08:49
btc updown 5m 1774271700	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-23 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$55	32	32	+0	Up	$-5	05-05 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 19:30
btc updown 5m 1775476800	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	04-06 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$54	33	33	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$53	30	30	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 08:39
btc updown 15m 1774446300	2	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	03-25 14:00
btc updown 5m 1775990100	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	04-12 10:41
btc updown 5m 1775220300	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-03 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	05-19 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	05-04 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774773300	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	03-29 08:39
btc updown 5m 1775476500	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	04-06 12:00
btc updown 5m 1775147700	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	04-02 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:44:03	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x6d14c8…
06-04 07:34:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	221	4¢	$9	0xb17e4c…
06-02 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe514e6…
06-02 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb9437c…
06-02 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeee7eb…
06-02 14:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x84e461…
06-02 12:32:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xd8f0a1…
06-01 14:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5a639d…
06-01 13:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4ce71b…
06-01 12:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9286d7…
06-01 08:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc3692b…
06-01 05:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x169470…
06-01 02:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x55adef…
05-31 21:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x694f1d…
05-31 21:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x296f47…
05-31 21:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf40035…
05-31 20:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb9fffe…
05-31 19:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x32f3f4…
05-31 19:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38bea0…
05-31 18:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x99a81a…
05-31 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7109cb…
05-31 18:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77a126…
05-31 17:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0b2d55…
05-31 16:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf946f3…
05-31 15:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2a16fd…
05-31 15:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31b83d…
05-31 15:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5fc37c…
05-31 11:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdc19e2…
05-31 11:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x086b23…
05-31 11:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7bec3f…
05-31 09:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xed313b…
05-31 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa3467e…
05-31 07:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaa258c…
05-31 07:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfb84ee…
05-31 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x70273e…
05-31 05:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x11694d…
05-31 04:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xda84ca…
05-31 03:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff66ca…
05-31 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7b177b…
05-30 23:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x015a0e…
05-30 23:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x711b42…
05-30 23:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3f29b7…
05-30 22:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x61c39b…
05-30 22:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18ea48…
05-30 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ebd66…
05-30 21:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x43d1a4…
05-30 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb47283…
05-30 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6959a7…
05-30 21:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc8bcd6…
05-30 18:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7998e9…
05-30 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x49f105…
05-30 12:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc27e03…
05-30 12:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3089e2…
05-30 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x08770c…
05-30 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe35e33…
05-30 10:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1e7ee4…
05-30 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa37369…
05-30 10:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf5c472…
05-30 10:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa0695d…
05-30 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x316b71…
05-30 10:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f98e2…
05-30 09:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcce0a4…
05-30 09:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xabcdf3…
05-30 09:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd67ecb…
05-30 08:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe662eb…
05-30 08:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x40ed86…
05-30 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa79ee3…
05-30 07:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4de57e…
05-30 07:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xca0a34…
05-30 07:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75838f…
05-30 07:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x301247…
05-30 06:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5c9227…
05-30 06:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x294613…
05-30 06:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf88637…
05-30 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd783d3…
05-30 05:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x65b3b2…
05-30 05:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb814d…
05-30 05:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb8d3d2…
05-30 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8cf4a0…
05-30 04:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x845383…
05-30 04:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe26640…
05-29 22:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1db235…
05-29 22:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x07ade0…
05-29 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x502d01…
05-29 22:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9f5a7f…
05-29 17:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x35ddde…
05-29 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0581c5…
05-29 11:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1b4620…
05-29 11:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0025f3…
05-29 11:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6e231d…
05-29 10:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x34f718…
05-29 09:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe82a27…
05-29 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe12d15…
05-29 09:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9aa1fa…
05-29 08:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb36f0…
05-29 05:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf1145a…
05-29 05:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xae9d27…
05-29 05:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe914d9…
05-29 04:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x74db8a…
05-29 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3a71dc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	845	$1.72K	4,342	06-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	819	$119.2K	20,669	06-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	807	$426.5K	36,122	06-02 15:31
Definite-Smoke 0x4b6b…5578	799	$10.6K	2,628	06-09 17:44
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	769	$78.6K	11,079	06-02 15:30
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	747	$764.3K	164,261	06-09 17:44
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	738	$1.08K	3,050	05-19 11:49
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	737	$46.4K	7,533	05-14 01:14