Complex-Bottle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

3,128

Trades

4,802

lifetime

Volume

$246.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-29 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

74% 98% -$1,021

Crypto

25% 87% -$1,240

Politics

1% 83% +$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	20	$3.0K	1,911	1,911	+0	Yes	+$744	10-22 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	2	$2.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$2,253	10-07 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 6?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$2	10-06 10:36
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 7?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$25	10-07 14:19
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 22?	5	$2.4K	1,657	795	+862	Yes	+$25	10-23 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	9	$2.3K	2,359	250	+2,109	No	-$30	10-23 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 6?	3	$2.2K	2,239	0	+2,239	No	+$3	10-06 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?	12	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	10-07 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 6?	2	$1.9K	1,855	0	+1,855	No	+$2	10-06 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22?	16	$1.8K	1,872	0	+1,872	Yes	+$74	10-23 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 7?	2	$1.7K	1,711	0	+1,711	No	+$2	10-07 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 6?	2	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	No	+$2	10-06 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7?	5	$1.7K	1,709	0	+1,709	No	+$2	10-07 13:03
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22?	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$2	09-23 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	27	$1.5K	2,877	2,577	+300	No	-$99	10-07 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	19	$1.5K	729	729	+0	No	+$0	09-23 13:02
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.3K	1,303	0	+1,303	No	+$17	05-15 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$1.2K	1,600	500	+1,100	Down	-$102	05-18 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 19?	7	$1.2K	884	350	+534	No	-$1	10-19 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	30	$1.2K	1,100	500	+600	Up	+$19	05-18 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,100	500	+600	Down	+$34	05-18 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Up	+$17	05-21 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	05-18 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$1.1K	1,000	200	+800	Up	+$29	05-22 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 7?	2	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$1	10-07 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6?	2	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	No	+$1	10-06 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$1.0K	1,000	500	+500	Up	-$261	05-18 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 7?	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	10-07 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	12	$1000	1,110	100	+1,010	Up	-$394	05-18 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	15	$989	600	500	+100	Down	+$101	05-22 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:05:35	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x552239…
10-29 01:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfdaab1…
10-29 01:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x2f9a4a…
10-29 00:35:02	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x8d49de…
10-28 23:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdbce10…
10-28 23:47:20	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0cd6dd…
10-28 23:42:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb12402…
10-28 23:42:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1f918…
10-28 23:42:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9e7e2d…
10-28 23:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf3be10…
10-28 23:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9cf8c8…
10-28 23:42:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb83690…
10-28 23:30:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x370240…
10-28 22:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xdda092…
10-28 21:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc7fad…
10-28 21:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe66ddb…
10-28 21:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x743237…
10-28 20:01:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb11ae5…
10-28 19:59:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1cd757…
10-28 19:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x170a83…
10-28 19:53:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xafba22…
10-28 19:52:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54d215…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xebb3ba…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xc8e571…
10-28 19:52:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e4286…
10-28 19:49:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x669f32…
10-28 19:49:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa506b0…
10-28 19:49:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a40df…
10-28 19:49:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x309eec…
10-28 19:48:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x22f1b9…
10-28 19:48:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xcc5166…
10-28 19:46:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ef8fe…
10-28 19:45:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xcc65bb…
10-28 19:45:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe2be85…
10-28 19:06:47	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9a2e48…
10-28 18:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xbd8cfe…
10-28 18:53:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x02ba38…
10-28 18:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6fa5b5…
10-28 18:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdf1547…
10-28 18:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7066db…
10-28 18:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x62bcd3…
10-28 18:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd89ca8…
10-28 17:10:17	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xff16dc…
10-28 17:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9d8548…
10-28 17:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	484	100¢	$483	0x24cc0a…
10-28 17:06:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0cdfa5…
10-28 16:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x427ee8…
10-28 16:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	489	100¢	$489	0x0a35a8…
10-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x62c32d…
10-28 14:55:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0xe36fe3…
10-28 14:18:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03ae70…
10-28 14:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x72f92d…
10-28 14:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2475ea…
10-28 14:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x13980b…
10-28 14:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	445	100¢	$445	0xa8e4ae…
10-28 14:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xf513d0…
10-28 13:35:10	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8b1d9a…
10-28 13:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	372	100¢	$372	0x7b04dc…
10-28 13:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa1fd49…
10-28 12:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb20139…
10-28 12:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xa9235c…
10-28 10:56:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x1e3ed5…
10-28 10:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xeca2de…
10-28 09:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0xe37fb9…
10-28 09:54:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xffdf8b…
10-28 09:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	417	100¢	$416	0xa2a6cc…
10-28 09:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$344	0x8d898a…
10-28 09:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xb23bf1…
10-28 09:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x7eb166…
10-28 08:38:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0bb82d…
10-28 08:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x2e82ec…
10-28 07:53:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 28?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0xe8481a…
10-28 07:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2611eb…
10-28 07:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x653843…
10-28 07:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	365	100¢	$365	0x0ea656…
10-28 06:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xcbaf4e…
10-28 06:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeda024…
10-28 05:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	403	100¢	$402	0x2e232c…
10-28 05:07:38	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x281863…
10-28 05:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3f4130…
10-28 04:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xc43d9d…
10-28 02:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61d048…
10-28 02:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xefb887…
10-28 02:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0xbdbeb6…
10-28 02:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4eb28e…
10-28 02:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb9eaee…
10-28 02:04:38	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb835af…
10-28 02:04:33	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0x70dc94…
10-28 02:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x43a8b2…
10-28 02:00:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7669a…
10-28 01:34:54	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x387060…
10-28 01:04:50	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd7bb8b…
10-27 23:32:35	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0x71e22d…
10-27 23:06:41	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xf7f063…
10-27 21:06:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xda3e5b…
10-27 20:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa20f93…
10-27 20:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 27?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$329	0x4ed42a…
10-27 19:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd10156…
10-27 19:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xa26d66…
10-27 19:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8fc95f…