Hopeful-Torso — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,501

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-25 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 71% +$82

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775783700	7	$601	392	381	+11	open	—	04-10 01:28
bitcoin above 66k on february 28	16	$545	607	499	+107	open	—	02-28 16:11
bitcoin up or down on february 28	16	$436	623	623	+0	open	—	02-28 16:12
btc updown 15m 1776897900	4	$312	214	207	+7	open	—	04-22 22:58
eth updown 15m 1775785500	5	$310	309	298	+11	open	—	04-10 01:53
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	7	$291	577	577	+0	open	—	03-03 02:18
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	5	$249	194	194	+0	open	—	02-27 17:04
eth updown 15m 1776761100	3	$231	169	167	+2	open	—	04-21 08:56
bitcoin up or down on march 4	4	$208	210	210	+0	open	—	03-04 03:38
bitcoin up or down on march 2	8	$190	193	193	+0	open	—	03-01 20:52
bitcoin up or down on march 1	7	$185	494	494	+0	open	—	03-01 14:56
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	3	$180	419	0	+419	open	—	03-20 16:38
ethereum up or down on march 2	5	$166	185	185	+0	open	—	03-01 20:53
btc updown 4h 1772326800	2	$157	104	104	+0	open	—	03-01 04:06
btc updown 15m 1776733200	6	$150	341	0	+341	open	—	04-21 01:05
btc updown 15m 1776675600	2	$140	98	94	+3	open	—	04-20 09:09
btc updown 15m 1776492000	14	$134	381	0	+381	open	—	04-18 06:01
eth updown 15m 1775645100	4	$130	114	108	+7	open	—	04-08 11:02
btc updown 4h 1772312400	10	$127	126	126	+0	open	—	03-01 01:01
eth updown 15m 1775816100	4	$121	185	40	+145	open	—	04-10 10:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	5	$121	341	341	+0	open	—	03-04 03:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 27	2	$107	250	250	+0	open	—	02-27 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	9	$106	256	235	+21	Down	+$10	05-11 17:13
btc updown 15m 1775741400	3	$105	67	65	+2	open	—	04-09 13:40
bitcoin up or down march 1 9pm et	3	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	03-02 03:01
eth updown 15m 1775796300	4	$104	118	66	+52	open	—	04-10 04:58
eth updown 15m 1776624300	2	$102	236	0	+236	open	—	04-19 18:46
ethereum up or down march 1 11pm et	5	$102	83	83	+0	open	—	03-02 04:50
btc updown 15m 1776483900	2	$100	210	0	+210	open	—	04-18 03:48
btc updown 15m 1776895200	6	$98	114	66	+47	open	—	04-22 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 14:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xecfd1a…
05-25 14:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x82e34e…
05-25 14:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5c7965…
05-25 14:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x929082…
05-25 13:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfdb72a…
05-25 13:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xb26919…
05-25 13:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xe3220d…
05-25 13:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	76	30¢	$23	0x1d6f97…
05-25 13:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb40ce3…
05-25 13:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	22¢	$18	0x110dba…
05-25 13:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0xcac814…
05-25 13:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa3a93e…
05-25 13:33:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x51af67…
05-25 13:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf48775…
05-25 13:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xf1c8fd…
05-25 13:26:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdefc73…
05-25 13:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe7fd91…
05-25 13:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdcbb5d…
05-18 15:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x3c912b…
05-18 15:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xb8cc4d…
05-18 15:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x77498f…
05-17 20:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x88e315…
05-17 20:37:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2d1b83…
05-17 20:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbace59…
05-17 20:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xd46eb7…
05-17 20:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2253c…
05-17 20:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x4978b9…
05-17 20:14:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6907d7…
05-17 14:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x05bf31…
05-17 14:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x549e54…
05-17 14:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x779e65…
05-17 14:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x9e38e7…
05-17 04:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x51fb37…
05-16 22:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x909c1b…
05-16 21:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfd179a…
05-15 23:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xc8216e…
05-15 23:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfe11d0…
05-11 18:55:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0af8b5…
05-11 18:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0x036014…
05-11 18:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xbcb8af…
05-11 18:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x58a4bf…
05-11 18:46:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8ffa6c…
05-11 18:46:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x61c56f…
05-11 18:46:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x1eebcb…
05-11 18:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xbb3470…
05-11 18:17:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x82beaf…
05-11 18:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x2fd1e7…
05-11 18:16:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x106c3f…
05-11 17:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x675b34…
05-11 17:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x22f7b1…
05-11 17:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xf0e8ad…
05-11 17:20:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x827723…
05-11 17:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x1d745f…
05-11 17:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa40e39…
05-11 17:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd410e6…
05-11 17:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0x648f76…
05-11 17:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe74b0c…
05-11 17:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0e6786…
05-11 17:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf0dee8…
05-11 17:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	95	27¢	$26	0x82f385…
05-11 17:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x4d61e6…
05-11 17:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	82	29¢	$23	0x541816…
05-11 17:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0x227543…
05-11 16:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc0b15…
05-11 16:56:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xf0ec69…
05-11 16:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4d0fd4…
05-11 16:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	113	23¢	$26	0xb57ec7…
05-11 16:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	113	18¢	$20	0x9510bf…
05-11 16:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	117	21¢	$24	0x48d045…
05-11 16:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xb66082…
05-11 14:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xad4971…
05-11 14:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x351a11…
05-11 14:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1a9d94…
05-11 12:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x45cca2…
05-11 12:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf37ac1…
05-11 12:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xbd4fbd…
05-11 12:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x8ec1b2…
05-11 11:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8c475e…
05-11 11:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x74c050…
05-11 11:55:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6d85a1…
05-11 11:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x48447a…
05-11 11:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa22626…
05-11 11:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x81cd03…
05-11 11:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x864234…
05-11 01:45:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xdc3aeb…
05-11 01:45:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6c8600…
05-11 01:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x9f2dd2…
05-11 01:45:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8b31fc…
05-11 01:45:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x2f247e…
05-11 01:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x628f03…
05-11 01:13:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x88f38e…
05-11 01:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xde9210…
05-11 01:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x384c4c…
05-11 00:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x0a108a…
05-11 00:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xd24f60…
05-11 00:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x647ca2…
05-11 00:23:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x38613b…
05-10 19:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf30326…
05-10 19:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xce0eea…
05-10 19:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc86de1…