Hopeful-Torso — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$728

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

690

Trades

1,676

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-19 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 40% -$703

Other

1% 10% -$25

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 01:15 UTC	7	$601	392	381	+11	Down	+$145	04-10 01:28
bitcoin above 66k on february 28	16	$545	607	499	+107	No	-$40	02-28 16:11
bitcoin up or down on february 28	16	$436	623	623	+0	Down	+$60	02-28 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	48	$408	419	203	+216	Up	+$156	10-13 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 22:45 UTC	4	$312	214	207	+7	Up	+$75	04-22 22:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 01:45 UTC	5	$310	309	298	+11	Down	-$8	04-10 01:53
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	7	$291	577	577	+0	Yes	+$41	03-03 02:18
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	5	$249	194	194	+0	No	+$53	02-27 17:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:45 UTC	3	$231	169	167	+2	Down	+$83	04-21 08:56
bitcoin up or down on march 4	4	$208	210	210	+0	Up	+$28	03-04 03:38
bitcoin up or down on march 2	8	$190	193	193	+0	Up	+$6	03-01 20:52
bitcoin up or down on march 1	7	$185	494	494	+0	Up	+$21	03-01 14:56
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	3	$180	419	0	+419	Down	-$180	03-20 16:38
ethereum up or down on march 2	5	$166	185	185	+0	Up	-$4	03-01 20:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 01:00 UTC	2	$157	104	104	+0	Up	+$47	03-01 04:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 01:00 UTC	6	$150	341	0	+341	Up	-$150	04-21 01:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:00 UTC	2	$140	98	94	+3	Up	+$44	04-20 09:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 06:00 UTC	14	$134	381	0	+381	Up	-$134	04-18 06:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	4	$130	114	108	+7	Down	+$92	04-08 11:02
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC	10	$127	126	126	+0	Down	+$22	03-01 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	7	$125	314	0	+314	Up	-$125	10-19 20:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 10:15 UTC	4	$121	185	40	+145	Down	-$80	04-10 10:19
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	5	$121	341	341	+0	Yes	-$34	03-04 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7PM ET	3	$120	174	58	+115	Down	-$2	10-10 22:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 27	2	$107	250	250	+0	Yes	+$67	02-27 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	9	$106	256	235	+21	Down	+$10	05-11 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:30 UTC	3	$105	67	65	+2	Down	+$23	04-09 13:40
bitcoin up or down march 1 9pm et	3	$105	57	57	+0	Down	+$9	03-02 03:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 04:45 UTC	4	$104	118	66	+52	Up	+$28	04-10 04:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 18:45 UTC	2	$102	236	0	+236	Up	+$134	04-19 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xa11530…
10-19 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xba5477…
10-19 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xa4c159…
10-19 20:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x32ce91…
10-19 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2b0a84…
10-19 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0xf56118…
10-19 19:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x15a39f…
10-19 19:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe56afa…
10-19 18:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x04dc04…
10-19 18:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x34943d…
10-19 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa25174…
10-19 17:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x358dc1…
10-19 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf82afe…
10-19 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70cf45…
10-19 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x292429…
10-19 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe14bc1…
10-19 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xee88f7…
10-19 14:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xa6d8b6…
10-19 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x7fab45…
10-19 14:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe6a9e4…
10-19 14:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x06d410…
10-19 14:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb70566…
10-19 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x84363c…
10-19 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xaf4180…
10-19 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0610f6…
10-19 13:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1c2264…
10-19 13:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8571f0…
10-19 11:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x40b685…
10-19 10:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd28eb0…
10-19 04:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5825fe…
10-19 02:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x928a88…
10-19 02:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x212211…
10-19 02:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0935c7…
10-19 02:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb2dd93…
10-18 19:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x11c2c4…
10-18 19:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xfa90de…
10-18 18:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4d041f…
10-18 18:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7e2f98…
10-17 22:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x945ab0…
10-14 23:00:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x8e73b5…
10-14 22:59:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xe9b718…
10-14 22:59:00	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc5f136…
10-14 19:14:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xce995f…
10-14 19:13:21	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf4795e…
10-14 19:13:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd7cf64…
10-14 18:04:21	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xda6096…
10-13 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d9f22…
10-13 23:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x5ac06b…
10-13 22:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3996d4…
10-13 11:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x2e52c2…
10-13 11:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xfeb805…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf0ca7f…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe7a074…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc94415…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc6eb62…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9f18a4…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x961371…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7f1329…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7cd31a…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x768017…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4a9612…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2eccec…
10-13 11:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x190ec1…
10-13 11:55:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x89ec59…
10-13 11:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa83de7…
10-13 11:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2d95f9…
10-13 11:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xbfc240…
10-13 11:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7765f0…
10-13 11:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe6d2d6…
10-13 11:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0xb57fe3…
10-13 11:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	82	52¢	$43	0xa0bc32…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdbf64b…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xba6d6b…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x917386…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x90d9a1…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4147ea…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x17f540…
10-13 11:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x054609…
10-13 11:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x17f784…
10-13 11:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x13fd95…
10-13 11:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0d54c0…
10-13 11:39:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0869b5…
10-13 11:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7f97e3…
10-13 11:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7f6aca…
10-13 11:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3a8295…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xacc8d8…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa7f0e5…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x899ab1…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x67baed…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6243ff…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x27e6f2…
10-13 11:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x089717…
10-13 11:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbee52f…
10-13 11:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x24ca32…
10-13 11:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xd39e01…
10-13 11:05:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe81289…
10-13 10:52:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xb88998…
10-13 10:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x470216…
10-13 10:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8aaa95…
10-13 09:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x20194d…