Natural-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

1,376

Trades

1,743

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-14 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 93% -$35

Sports

1% 77% -$7

Other

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:50 UTC	3	$10	6	4	+2	Down	+$0	06-03 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:05 UTC	3	$10	6	4	+2	Down	+$0	06-04 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:30 UTC	3	$10	6	4	+2	Down	+$0	06-06 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-08 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:55 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:55 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:15 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+1	Up	+$1	06-04 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-04 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:35 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:10 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:50 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$1	06-07 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:50 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$1	06-06 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:10 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$1	06-04 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:15 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-08 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:35 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	06-05 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:15 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-05 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:20 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:15 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	06-04 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:40 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-07 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$8	5	4	+1	Down	+$1	06-08 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	2	$8	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:20 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	06-06 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 11:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x787659…
07-14 09:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x557206…
07-14 09:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbace7b…
07-14 09:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd7f206…
07-14 07:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf6dd61…
07-14 07:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x759137…
07-14 06:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf94287…
07-14 06:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5c0fda…
07-14 05:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8d64de…
07-14 05:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb4cf93…
07-14 05:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4f0426…
07-14 04:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0a51f9…
07-14 04:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd5cf37…
07-14 03:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfdfc93…
07-14 02:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6467ef…
07-14 02:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x912219…
07-14 01:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x10cd7a…
07-14 00:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xffce1b…
07-13 23:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc8141b…
07-13 23:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x912c24…
07-13 23:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5dd69c…
07-13 23:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x32233a…
07-13 23:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfd68f…
07-13 23:29:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdea7db…
07-13 22:49:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb68ec0…
07-13 21:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x807003…
07-13 20:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd560ed…
07-13 12:29:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9a87c2…
07-13 12:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x15b8e5…
07-13 11:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x629ddf…
07-13 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5a33e3…
07-13 10:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7f3f48…
07-13 09:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeee503…
07-13 09:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb0b3c7…
07-13 09:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9bcf61…
07-13 09:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9a0310…
07-13 09:04:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x01e510…
07-13 08:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0fd046…
07-13 08:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x99fcb4…
07-13 08:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd020c1…
07-13 04:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2d3222…
07-13 04:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x695629…
07-13 04:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd2ee8c…
07-13 02:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd04556…
07-13 02:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1a4af1…
07-13 02:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b4df8…
07-13 02:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf9a6a3…
07-13 02:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6dd86c…
07-13 02:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x909a71…
07-13 01:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb077f…
07-13 01:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x71e567…
07-13 00:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4d4ec2…
07-12 23:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x817213…
07-12 21:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1f92da…
07-12 08:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xed4764…
07-12 04:20:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59bfb2…
07-12 04:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa00b59…
07-12 03:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe58af8…
07-12 03:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6c668b…
07-11 23:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee8c63…
07-11 23:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x75c280…
07-11 16:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x669971…
07-11 15:49:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe77abf…
07-11 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x267a57…
07-11 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe435df…
07-11 14:49:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x97f2ca…
07-11 07:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x364044…
07-11 04:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x24aec6…
07-11 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xff71d8…
07-11 02:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf3562f…
07-11 01:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8f3ae6…
07-11 00:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x37ae81…
07-11 00:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4404cc…
07-10 23:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x14935e…
07-10 20:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x801362…
07-10 13:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09679a…
07-10 12:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x025853…
07-10 12:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c32f6…
07-10 12:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4e2a83…
07-10 11:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc8813d…
07-10 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2034cf…
07-10 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6b14a8…
07-10 08:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5ce396…
07-10 06:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8827c0…
07-10 05:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x92b406…
07-10 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6a6b8f…
07-10 04:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x178f25…
07-10 03:10:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x45d15e…
07-10 03:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe55b45…
07-10 03:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcb0b8f…
07-10 02:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1d9db3…
07-10 02:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x51df58…
07-10 00:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9d5d99…
07-10 00:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7ec385…
07-10 00:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb44500…
07-09 10:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x57b6fa…
07-09 10:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1d44c0…
07-09 08:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3cfbbd…
07-09 07:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c6044…
07-09 05:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfd44c3…