Lopsided-Situation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

1,945

Trades

2,591

lifetime

Volume

$214.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 271 days

Categories

Other

68% 62% -$1,978

Sports

30% 82% +$455

Politics

1% 67% +$35

Crypto

1% 77% +$326

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No		+105	$100	98¢	$104	+$4	10-26 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mia sac 2026 01 20	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	Heat	+$34	01-21 05:27
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	8	$1.7K	1,541	214	+1,327	No	-$9	03-13 03:42
nba den mil 2026 01 23	3	$1.6K	899	899	+0	Nuggets	-$63	01-24 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	3	$1.4K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$13	08-29 17:48
nba okc mil 2026 01 21	3	$1.4K	704	704	+0	Thunder	+$13	01-22 05:00
nba mem hou 2026 01 26	2	$1.3K	663	663	+0	Rockets	+$6	01-27 03:32
lol ig1 blg 2026 01 20	4	$1.3K	720	720	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$4	01-20 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	4	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$11	09-22 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	3	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$8	09-16 14:57
nba phx bkn 2026 01 19	3	$1.2K	606	606	+0	Suns	+$41	01-20 03:24
lol lgd lng 2026 02 01	8	$1.1K	629	629	+0	LNG Esports	+$30	02-01 11:56
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	5	$1.1K	564	564	+0	Mavericks	+$61	01-20 00:45
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	2	$1.0K	544	544	+0	No	+$41	03-01 22:57
nba ind okc 2026 01 23	4	$1.0K	576	576	+0	Pacers	-$47	01-24 04:39
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	5	$1.0K	839	300	+539	No	-$55	03-12 10:53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$3	09-11 12:43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$1.0K	501	501	+0	No	+$1	09-10 14:05
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	3	$970	602	502	+101	No	-$44	03-17 04:35
nba den lal 2026 03 14	8	$969	969	969	+0	Lakers	+$169	03-15 03:27
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	10	$960	700	700	+0	No	+$20	01-16 14:56
nba lal den 2026 01 20	1	$868	869	0	+869	Lakers	+$2	01-21 05:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	3	$859	709	203	+507	No	-$35	03-03 15:52
nba okc cle 2026 01 19	4	$834	435	435	+0	Thunder	+$34	01-19 23:26
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	4	$821	421	421	+0	No	+$21	03-09 00:41
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	3	$810	410	410	+0	No	+$10	10-05 15:21
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	3	$806	407	407	+0	No	+$6	03-09 02:56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$802	403	403	+0	No	+$2	10-02 12:12
nba orl mil 2026 03 08	2	$801	402	402	+0	Magic	+$1	03-09 02:04
nba mem mia 2026 02 21	2	$800	803	0	+803	Heat	+$3	02-22 03:10
nba tor sac 2026 01 21	2	$769	841	0	+841	Raptors	+$72	01-22 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x09792a…
10-26 23:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xb3d061…
10-26 14:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x806f6d…
10-26 14:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	77	25¢	$20	0x5fb481…
10-26 11:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdc3494…
10-26 10:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdd2111…
10-26 10:32:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x96424b…
10-25 23:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x51b857…
10-25 14:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x68727e…
10-25 14:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x08df5c…
10-24 01:11:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0xc74f09…
10-24 01:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$203	0x3ff08d…
10-23 18:45:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7eebc9…
10-23 18:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb43cfd…
10-23 18:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdfa426…
10-21 01:18:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xf24600…
10-21 01:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xe0b8c4…
10-20 14:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8c8917…
10-20 14:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x36bcc4…
10-20 14:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2fecb4…
10-20 14:08:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x08f2dc…
10-20 11:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcf348f…
10-20 03:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcc6c76…
10-19 23:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x94b888…
10-19 23:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe543c5…
10-19 23:53:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xf39b64…
10-19 12:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x7ecdf9…
10-19 04:16:56	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb6811b…
10-19 01:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xed7dce…
10-19 01:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d97e2…
10-19 01:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13ae28…
10-18 13:53:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0xba0824…
10-17 09:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x757667…
10-17 09:44:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x6ebb59…
10-17 09:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x7522f3…
10-17 06:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xc4b33c…
10-17 05:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xe43346…
10-17 02:34:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x19abf3…
10-16 15:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	402	99¢	$400	0x2d929b…
10-16 09:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x1da101…
10-16 09:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9a1481…
10-16 04:46:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x6e6684…
10-16 02:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0x34a9c0…
10-16 02:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x38fe0a…
10-15 07:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	28¢	$27	0x0af439…
10-15 07:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xe317e8…
10-15 07:16:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xebfb49…
10-15 07:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x25e1c6…
10-13 14:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xaa69f9…
10-13 14:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	204	91¢	$185	0xf76705…
10-13 06:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x0b2054…
10-13 06:56:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xd3873c…
10-13 06:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	108	91¢	$99	0x8fd0d0…
10-13 06:55:35	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6d9266…
10-13 00:02:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3fe6da…
10-12 23:33:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0x73f6c9…
10-12 23:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x5b7b36…
10-12 06:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x12a7a7…
10-12 06:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x209cde…
10-11 07:32:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9bea0a…
10-11 07:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xe410ef…
10-11 02:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xda89fe…
10-11 02:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x129df2…
10-10 15:08:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x129c4d…
10-10 15:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xabd0c0…
10-10 03:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	103	63¢	$65	0xd2349a…
10-10 03:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$1	0x86ed3e…
10-10 03:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0xd0fff9…
10-09 01:02:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x1994ad…
10-07 09:56:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	0¢	$0	0x93e670…
10-07 09:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	96¢	$300	0x5c1d3e…
10-07 05:08:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd4a9dc…
10-07 00:10:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xed8403…
10-06 13:22:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x274291…
10-06 11:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x48b70c…
10-06 06:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x1762db…
10-06 00:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xb87e37…
10-05 15:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xbaaa8e…
10-05 15:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0x11b6ba…
10-05 10:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x3fc909…
10-05 09:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x7f516d…
10-05 09:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xb1d172…
10-05 07:02:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x51786c…
10-04 15:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xa68bb2…
10-04 14:02:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	410	97¢	$400	0x481195…
10-04 06:40:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x39e941…
10-03 05:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x23035d…
10-03 00:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$2	0x569b18…
10-02 16:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x908bb4…
10-02 16:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xa4181c…
10-02 14:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2acd5c…
10-02 12:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	413	97¢	$400	0x89232f…
10-02 12:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	403	100¢	$402	0x841a7b…
10-02 02:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0x0f19a3…
10-02 02:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0x6a8750…
10-01 02:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x54e9cf…
10-01 02:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x85fb36…
09-30 06:28:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x5c3363…
09-30 06:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x4dec2d…
09-29 06:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x3a186e…