Celebrated-Number — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

159

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$38.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-06 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 21% -$5,573

Other

13% 22% -$224

Politics

11% 0% -$1,652

Sports

0% 14% -$34

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	11	$8.2K	7,620	6,821	+799	No	-$1,062	02-03 15:59
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	4	$4.2K	3,591	3,591	+0	Yes	+$769	02-02 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:45 UTC	3	$2.8K	12,768	0	+12,768	Down	-$2,787	02-03 11:58
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	7	$2.4K	5,188	5,188	+0	Yes	+$486	01-31 14:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:15 UTC	2	$1.6K	2,829	2,786	+43	Down	-$973	02-03 11:25
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	2	$1.4K	5,512	5,512	+0	No	-$699	02-03 10:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	697	697	+0	Up	+$0	02-03 13:30
will trump say midterm election this week february 1	4	$1.3K	2,471	2,471	+0	No	-$1,282	01-31 14:40
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	6	$1.1K	787	787	+0	Up	+$258	01-26 16:38
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	2	$941	2,049	2,049	+0	No	-$59	02-03 13:56
will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	2	$903	2,043	2,043	+0	Yes	+$613	01-31 14:22
ethereum above 2400 on february 2	2	$886	6,016	6,016	+0	No	-$114	02-02 11:21
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$808	1,371	1,371	+0	Yes	-$13	01-29 17:42
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	3	$753	251,100	251,100	+0	No	-$251	01-29 19:09
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$741	1,962	1,962	+0	No	-$35	02-03 11:38
solana above 100 on february 3	2	$489	2,479	2,479	+0	Yes	-$111	02-03 13:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$488	3,418	3,418	+0	No	-$58	02-03 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:45 UTC	1	$421	1,145	0	+1,145	Down	-$421	02-03 17:49
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$398	424	685	-261	No	-$2	01-31 10:23
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	12	$395	240	240	+0	No	-$4	02-23 00:44
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	3	$317	1,970	1,970	+0	No	-$83	02-02 13:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$280	10,817	10,817	+0	No	-$8	01-31 07:30
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	2	$244	770	90	+680	No	-$156	01-28 14:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:30 UTC	2	$200	2,044	0	+2,044	Down	-$200	02-03 10:35
ethereum above 2500 on february 3	2	$199	101	101	+0	No	-$1	02-03 10:54
bitcoin above 62k on february 13	2	$198	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$45	02-12 22:25
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$196	385	385	+0	No	-$4	02-02 12:59
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$196	135	135	+0	No	-$4	02-02 13:00
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	2	$188	868	868	+0	Down	-$12	02-02 12:59
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$187	358	358	+0	No	-$13	02-02 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x83947e…
10-06 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x14002a…
06-27 13:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaa15e5…
06-27 13:40:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbcf1dc…
06-27 13:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x89d393…
06-27 13:39:31	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x3fa639…
06-27 07:32:35	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x473815…
06-26 20:19:55	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6ee0bf…
06-26 20:19:37	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xba95b1…
06-26 20:15:40	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x4d588c…
06-26 20:13:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd662a6…
06-26 20:12:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 2pt5	France	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xd98896…
06-26 17:16:35	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0eed38…
06-26 17:15:59	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xe7e003…
06-26 15:15:40	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdefc94…
06-26 15:15:37	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76bd84…
06-26 14:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x487b8e…
06-26 14:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xf3fb5b…
06-26 14:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x83e59c…
06-26 14:39:25	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0770d7…
06-26 14:38:23	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4c65a2…
05-29 14:57:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb51537…
05-29 14:56:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf649da…
05-28 09:28:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc684bf…
05-27 22:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x0d0612…
05-27 22:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x41d0ea…
05-27 22:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x6aadf9…
05-27 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd2eb02…
05-27 22:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xf0ce4b…
05-27 22:01:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xaa36cf…
05-27 22:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xa574c2…
05-27 21:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8e6e00…
05-27 21:54:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x099628…
05-27 21:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x9fcc87…
05-27 21:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8ac86d…
05-27 21:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x37487a…
05-27 21:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xef985b…
05-27 21:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd336d1…
05-27 21:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf00fa3…
05-27 21:34:26	HYPE Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbe37bd…
05-27 21:34:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x84a29d…
05-27 21:29:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa8ab1e…
05-27 21:26:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1cf527…
05-27 21:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2506d7…
05-27 21:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x97ae56…
05-27 21:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x901d7a…
05-27 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xda6f5e…
05-27 21:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc40c8f…
05-27 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfee247…
05-27 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfc7380…
05-27 21:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x04d51a…
02-23 03:55:32	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xf26d25…
02-23 03:32:58	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	Yes	SELL	5,995	0¢	$6	0x46d5b5…
02-23 00:44:16	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	Yes	BUY	2,301	0¢	$11	0x989538…
02-23 00:44:06	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0xf305da…
02-22 16:45:26	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0xa8243e…
02-22 16:45:26	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	Yes	BUY	2,994	1¢	$24	0x80ccb8…
02-22 16:39:56	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xd516dc…
02-22 16:39:48	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0xa596bb…
02-22 16:36:46	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x4ebaf6…
02-22 16:36:36	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0xf6dda7…
02-22 16:31:26	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x79728b…
02-22 15:41:14	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x567d79…
02-22 15:41:12	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$31	0x2960eb…
02-22 15:39:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 22	Yes	SELL	66	75¢	$50	0xa37d32…
02-22 14:37:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 22	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xe6ee99…
02-22 14:37:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 22	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x5c4f87…
02-22 14:30:26	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x78634e…
02-22 14:30:16	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	86	82¢	$70	0x9166fc…
02-22 14:27:26	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0xf2d8dd…
02-22 14:27:26	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0x3d3b1a…
02-22 14:09:18	ethereum above 1900 on february 23	Yes	SELL	58	76¢	$44	0xcc1551…
02-22 13:35:58	will the us next strike iran during the week of february 15 21 2026 et	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x4260fc…
02-22 13:34:54	will the us next strike iran during the week of february 15 21 2026 et	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa6c185…
02-20 20:51:40	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 21	Yes	SELL	22	79¢	$18	0xcc6489…
02-20 20:41:20	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 21	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$19	0xa7018f…
02-20 20:17:38	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 21	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0xca3d55…
02-20 19:47:44	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 21	Yes	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0x03cf80…
02-20 19:35:44	ethereum above 1900 on february 23	Yes	BUY	58	82¢	$48	0xe32d46…
02-20 16:28:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	Yes	SELL	60	84¢	$51	0x3b1e5b…
02-20 16:07:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$44	0xb02c62…
02-20 15:49:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	Yes	SELL	53	84¢	$45	0xe66729…
02-20 15:22:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	53	78¢	$42	0x001b0c…
02-20 13:16:34	bitcoin above 66k on february 21	Yes	SELL	55	73¢	$40	0xc1f7c4…
02-20 12:21:14	bitcoin above 66k on february 21	Yes	BUY	55	81¢	$44	0xfae0d5…
02-20 11:57:44	xrp up or down on february 20	Up	SELL	59	70¢	$42	0x47cc5b…
02-20 11:22:48	xrp up or down on february 20	Up	BUY	59	81¢	$48	0x517837…
02-20 11:11:28	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	60	79¢	$48	0xcc6783…
02-20 10:33:20	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x6608e0…
02-20 10:27:30	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	No	SELL	64	74¢	$47	0xff985a…
02-19 18:52:46	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	No	BUY	64	81¢	$52	0x04de91…
02-19 18:34:12	highest temperature in miami on february 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	48	80¢	$38	0x0cf067…
02-19 18:32:02	ere aja nec 2026 02 21 nec	No	SELL	28	77¢	$22	0xd9bb18…
02-19 18:15:18	highest temperature in miami on february 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0xa203c8…
02-19 13:22:48	ere aja nec 2026 02 21 nec	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x71e78e…
02-19 10:28:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	29	77¢	$22	0x8a7084…
02-19 09:50:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x24e9eb…
02-19 09:50:08	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x274f2d…
02-19 09:50:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x36caff…
02-19 09:50:04	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc16673…