Outlying-Original — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-17 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Politics

17% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	12	$138	5,160	5,160	+0	open	—	02-22 19:05
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-12 13:23
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-11 14:05
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-10 10:29
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-09 14:08
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-08 08:59
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-07 09:09
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-05 17:56
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-04 15:21
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-03 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-31 08:20
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-30 12:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-29 10:09
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-28 09:29
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-27 12:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-26 09:07
ethereum above 1800 on march 25	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 09:20
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 08:56
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 08:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-22 11:56
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-21 13:12
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-19 11:48
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-18 13:10
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-12 10:03
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-11 15:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 20:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-13 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-26 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:00:46	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x308c5d…
06-14 13:27:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x857047…
06-14 10:32:22	ethereum above 1100 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe5cd91…
06-12 12:48:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x59f232…
06-11 01:27:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x450941…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa544c1…
06-04 10:12:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6aeda3…
05-28 01:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x198afc…
05-26 13:56:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3e46f0…
05-26 13:49:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdb4247…
05-23 11:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbb5a5e…
05-21 12:00:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe75e2a…
05-14 09:10:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x853840…
05-10 10:24:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc1296a…
05-07 12:11:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe1bb05…
05-07 11:42:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xcf70a1…
05-03 08:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9603ef…
04-24 10:47:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x960523…
04-23 09:34:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fa29c…
04-22 13:21:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87a2ef…
04-21 10:41:06	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfbd3e2…
04-20 14:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1f409…
04-19 14:49:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfec9a3…
04-19 14:44:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e01b1…
04-18 14:45:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf727b8…
04-16 15:37:34	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x67c7cb…
04-15 09:32:52	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x74c438…
04-14 12:35:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x45d83c…
04-13 09:31:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8dd92c…
04-13 01:17:39	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xce1f2c…
04-12 13:23:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe5743c…
04-11 14:05:37	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x856290…
04-10 10:29:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7a5fd0…
04-09 14:08:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9e966f…
04-08 08:59:35	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcffcc0…
04-07 09:09:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaf2204…
04-05 17:56:05	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x95f935…
04-04 15:21:57	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2a62b9…
04-03 15:06:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x476ff7…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd627c4…
03-31 08:20:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xbe2831…
03-30 12:00:36	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x304948…
03-29 10:09:28	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x001b71…
03-28 09:29:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x57320e…
03-27 12:35:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x81769b…
03-26 09:07:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xd1e0fa…
03-25 09:20:09	ethereum above 1800 on march 25	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8d4213…
03-24 08:56:11	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf46d6a…
03-23 08:26:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe7499d…
03-22 11:56:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa5620a…
03-21 13:12:15	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4cc217…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf78f02…
03-19 11:48:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x54a932…
03-18 13:10:05	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0f3120…
03-13 15:59:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0f3cb4…
03-12 10:03:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x8ff714…
03-11 15:02:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xca4e52…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7bb2fe…
03-03 14:09:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xfef15f…
02-22 19:05:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xf27335…
02-22 18:51:42	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,637	1¢	$21	0x9346e9…
02-22 18:51:24	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfa9713…
02-22 18:51:08	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0676e9…
02-22 18:50:30	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	380	1¢	$5	0x03149a…
02-22 18:50:14	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,257	1¢	$16	0x0d31bd…
02-22 18:46:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xa61854…
02-22 18:46:08	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	264	1¢	$4	0xa568ad…
02-22 18:45:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	929	1¢	$13	0xb46bb9…
02-22 18:45:54	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x96649d…
02-22 18:45:42	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2,263	1¢	$32	0x823db3…
02-22 18:44:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,510	1¢	$46	0x886d00…