Realized P&L
-$140
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
515
Trades
1,083
lifetime
Volume
$14.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
60% 79% -$207
Sports
18% 98% +$13
Politics
18% 83% +$54
Crypto
2% 82% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +129 $128 100¢ $129 +$0 09-09 23:05
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +127 $126 100¢ $126 +$0 09-04 14:20
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 +$0 09-06 18:25
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +124 $123 100¢ $123 $0 09-12 15:47
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +126 $122 97¢ $122 +$1 09-14 03:23
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +83 $83 100¢ $83 $0 09-11 13:01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +85 $80 92¢ $79 -$1 09-13 00:50
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +65 $64 100¢ $64 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $58 99¢ $58 $0 09-08 12:47
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +55 $53 96¢ $53 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-02 17:31
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 99¢ $48 $0 09-13 21:15
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $45 88¢ $43 -$2 09-13 21:16
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $46 86¢ $41 -$5 09-14 02:57
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-14 21:13
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 09-14 01:10
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 +$0 09-07 23:28
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +34 $32 98¢ $33 +$1 09-18 01:02
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 $0 09-13 21:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +31 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 09-01 18:03
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 94¢ $30 -$1 09-13 17:34
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 94¢ $30 -$1 09-14 03:24
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $27 94¢ $30 +$3 09-07 23:11
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-09 23:15
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-13 00:54
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 09-13 17:36
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +23 $22 100¢ $23 +$1 09-13 21:16
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 95¢ $23 $0 09-13 17:36