Gloomy-Cell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$897

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

23% 14% $-6

Other

20% — —

Tech

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	31	$97	1,387	1,387	-0	open	—	03-28 01:42
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	7	$91	200	200	+0	open	—	01-14 06:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	8	$88	200	183	+17	open	—	04-04 09:48
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	9	$47	513	513	+0	open	—	03-08 05:34
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	7	$36	600	674	-74	open	—	03-28 01:42
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	3	$30	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 03:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$24	250	250	+0	open	—	03-28 01:42
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$24	200	200	+0	open	—	01-13 08:55
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	5	$21	150	0	+150	open	—	01-15 18:13
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	10	$20	500	300	+200	open	—	01-27 03:50
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	3	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	01-14 11:43
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	01-10 04:20
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	6	$16	600	600	+0	open	—	01-27 03:48
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$15	250	150	+100	open	—	03-01 03:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	3	$15	300	300	+0	open	—	02-10 11:31
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$15	0	40	-40	open	—	02-07 01:49
will the liberal democratic party win between 220 and 234 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	19	$15	1,000	205	+795	open	—	02-08 02:59
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$13	60	60	+0	open	—	01-20 04:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$11	200	0	+200	open	—	01-09 13:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$10	40	40	+0	open	—	05-02 11:09
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	01-20 05:15
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$10	300	250	+50	open	—	03-08 03:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$10	200	370	-170	open	—	01-25 05:41
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	6	$10	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 11:31
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	3	$9	600	600	+0	open	—	03-13 16:31
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$9	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 11:34
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$9	40	0	+40	open	—	01-29 11:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$9	50	0	+50	open	—	02-22 04:35
btc updown 5m 1781090700	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-10 11:29
will israel strike lebanon on january 8 2026	2	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	01-08 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 04:59:25	btc updown 15m 1781412300	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xa660fc…
06-14 04:55:12	btc updown 15m 1781412300	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x2c0a40…
06-14 04:55:10	btc updown 15m 1781412300	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0xa6dc55…
06-14 04:48:19	btc updown 5m 1781412300	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x5152e4…
06-14 04:42:30	btc updown 15m 1781411400	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x2580cb…
06-14 04:39:24	btc updown 15m 1781411400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x347bad…
06-14 04:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781411700	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe19625…
06-14 04:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781411700	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x26bed2…
06-13 12:06:42	btc updown 15m 1781352000	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd65f5e…
06-13 11:49:31	btc updown 5m 1781351100	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xf2c09f…
06-13 11:49:31	btc updown 5m 1781351100	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x616f01…
06-13 11:39:01	btc updown 15m 1781350200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xffb8fc…
06-13 05:12:21	btc updown 15m 1781326800	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd3de0c…
06-12 04:21:46	btc updown 15m 1781237700	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xf82f7b…
06-12 03:52:28	btc updown 5m 1781236200	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1d49d8…
06-12 03:43:27	btc updown 15m 1781235000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x16350f…
06-11 03:34:27	btc updown 15m 1781148600	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb6fef4…
06-10 11:29:33	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6b2e2a…
06-10 11:27:28	btc updown 5m 1781090700	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe5af3a…
06-10 11:13:55	btc updown 5m 1781089800	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x711f05…
06-10 11:08:36	btc updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb8b922…
06-07 05:27:15	btc updown 15m 1780809300	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc94891…
05-30 11:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xbba772…
05-30 11:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x9a056e…
05-30 11:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd1288d…
05-30 11:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x460190…
05-30 11:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe91880…
05-26 04:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x8ec71a…
05-26 04:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x7d64b6…
05-25 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x296521…
05-25 11:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x858b3c…
05-25 04:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x50eb77…
05-25 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x36239e…
05-25 04:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x787e35…
05-25 04:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5b5027…
05-25 04:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1aaa32…
05-25 04:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x555418…
05-24 05:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x1c0743…
05-24 05:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x89e7fb…
05-20 05:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xb311be…
05-20 05:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x361b32…
05-19 05:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x84e023…
05-19 04:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa23271…
05-19 04:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xf1401b…
05-19 04:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x7e8a98…
05-18 11:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0a0f93…
05-16 04:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xaf23d4…
05-16 04:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xd851d0…
05-16 04:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x569b5a…
05-16 04:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x76696c…
05-16 03:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdea00b…
05-15 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb0978c…
05-14 10:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x28b532…
05-14 10:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3ea2d8…
05-14 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfb775a…
05-13 04:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4091f2…
05-12 04:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x818486…
05-12 04:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd531c3…
05-12 04:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf29acd…
05-12 04:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcc2e62…
05-12 04:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb78f90…
05-10 04:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x37794d…
05-10 04:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xec5116…
05-10 04:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x376e9b…
05-10 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x479b34…
05-09 11:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x36f769…
05-07 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x84a0aa…
05-07 11:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3427fa…
05-07 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x112d46…
05-07 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x205f3a…
05-07 04:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x69ae21…
05-07 04:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x87c3d7…
05-07 04:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xedc8ea…
05-07 04:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8fbecc…
05-05 11:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x766e67…
05-05 11:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdf9642…
05-05 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xb98b6d…
05-05 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1b393c…
05-05 11:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xccb697…
05-05 04:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa020dc…
05-05 04:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x199805…
05-05 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ab65e…
05-05 04:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x0a606a…
05-05 04:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x8c2701…
05-05 04:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x88fde5…
05-05 04:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6a85e3…
05-04 11:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xbe181d…
05-04 11:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x6c8bba…
05-03 12:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x6fc85d…
05-03 12:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa7ddf8…
05-03 12:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf84e26…
05-03 12:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4b4f4b…
05-03 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x85cbae…
05-03 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x720bda…
05-03 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6a9867…
05-03 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x672a7c…
05-03 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x344cc6…
05-03 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd807b6…
05-03 05:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x651a8d…
05-02 11:09:10	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xfce16a…