Reliable-Laugh-Phase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$980

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-20 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 20% $-111

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+27	$7	20¢	$6	$-1	06-14 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	7	$70	133	33	+100	Up	$-10	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	8	$36	44	38	+6	Down	+$2	05-10 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 06:54
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	05-27 12:17
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	05-27 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$21	42	39	+4	open	—	05-27 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	5	$21	26	17	+9	Down	$-3	05-10 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$20	19	15	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 10:44
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$19	41	30	+12	open	—	05-27 11:29
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$18	39	31	+8	open	—	05-27 11:18
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$17	26	14	+11	open	—	05-27 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	7	$17	19	12	+8	open	—	05-27 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$15	107	7	+100	open	—	05-27 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$14	29	28	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$12	867	0	+867	open	—	05-27 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$12	18	9	+9	Up	+$5	05-10 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$12	15	10	+5	open	—	05-27 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$11	21	17	+4	open	—	05-27 06:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-11 10:26
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$11	13	8	+5	open	—	05-27 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-27 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$10	550	0	+550	open	—	05-27 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-10 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Down	$-10	05-10 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	Down	$-10	05-10 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$10	32	4	+28	open	—	05-27 08:12
ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	4	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	06-13 04:22
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	4	$8	150	150	+0	open	—	06-20 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	3	$8	28	28	+0	open	—	05-27 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 16:00:46	btc updown 5m 1781970900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x67b72c…
06-20 09:14:31	btc updown 5m 1781946600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8854d2…
06-20 09:12:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xa90834…
06-20 04:41:20	doge updown 5m 1781930400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd16162…
06-20 02:46:23	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xb79234…
06-20 02:08:56	btc updown 5m 1781921100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa25c43…
06-20 01:55:58	doge updown 5m 1781920500	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x88f97e…
06-20 01:48:23	btc updown 5m 1781919900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf99bdb…
06-20 01:27:02	doge updown 5m 1781918700	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x77788b…
06-20 01:20:17	sol updown 5m 1781918100	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa4ec58…
06-20 01:16:55	sol updown 5m 1781918100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x357649…
06-20 01:10:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfc38cf…
06-20 00:53:40	bitcoin up or down on june 20 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x15904c…
06-20 00:46:28	btc updown 5m 1781916300	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb355cc…
06-20 00:39:16	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	104	2¢	$3	0x9c30b4…
06-14 01:37:18	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x433f43…
06-14 01:34:09	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x249969…
06-14 01:24:54	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xb89230…
06-13 04:47:51	btc updown 5m 1781325900	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd5d732…
06-13 04:22:49	ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc9c39d…
06-13 04:22:06	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x9eda9d…
06-13 04:18:12	ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4c1951…
06-13 04:10:09	us anti cartel operation outside of the us by june 30	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x2e01e8…
06-13 04:01:52	btc updown 5m 1781322900	Up	BUY	655	1¢	$7	0x135ecf…
06-13 03:49:09	xrp updown 15m 1781322300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x539f28…
06-13 03:31:34	xrp updown 15m 1781321400	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x298c37…
06-13 03:20:51	xrp updown 15m 1781320500	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3c89a8…
06-13 03:15:19	xrp updown 15m 1781319600	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xebe910…
06-13 01:21:58	xrp updown 15m 1781313300	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7c2b16…
06-13 01:15:34	sol updown 15m 1781312400	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf46622…
06-13 01:08:40	btc updown 5m 1781312700	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4f0262…
06-12 19:40:55	ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x73b403…
06-12 19:21:42	ethereum up or down on june 13 2026	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x571ccb…
06-12 18:20:46	eth updown 15m 1781288100	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x67b745…
06-12 18:02:33	eth updown 15m 1781287200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf970ac…
06-12 17:49:34	eth updown 15m 1781286300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x392e10…
06-12 17:49:33	eth updown 15m 1781286300	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x97ea1c…
06-12 17:44:06	eth updown 15m 1781285400	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xbe8233…
06-12 17:44:06	eth updown 15m 1781285400	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xb8c033…
06-12 17:44:04	eth updown 15m 1781285400	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd32c25…
06-12 17:37:49	eth updown 15m 1781285400	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x522ac0…
06-12 08:52:22	btc updown 5m 1781254200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbd692b…
06-12 08:31:22	xrp updown 15m 1781253000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9410a4…
06-12 08:22:00	xrp updown 15m 1781252100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ee352…
06-12 08:16:51	btc updown 5m 1781251800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc65018…
06-12 08:10:01	btc updown 5m 1781251500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e5fa8…
06-12 08:05:54	btc updown 5m 1781251200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3dc286…
06-12 07:52:37	btc updown 5m 1781250600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xea7290…
06-12 07:48:01	btc updown 5m 1781250300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x58acbe…
06-12 07:45:37	btc updown 5m 1781250000	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x49ad15…
06-12 07:43:28	btc updown 5m 1781250000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1c5791…
06-12 07:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781249700	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x54a657…
06-12 06:44:09	mlbb tlid btr1 2026 06 12	Team Liquid ID	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9a11d7…
06-12 06:33:22	btc updown 5m 1781245800	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xed8a0d…
06-12 06:27:19	btc updown 5m 1781245500	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf6474c…
06-12 06:23:45	btc updown 5m 1781245200	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1496a0…
06-12 06:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781244900	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x32d861…
06-12 06:14:39	btc updown 5m 1781244600	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe7e3ae…
06-12 06:10:25	btc updown 5m 1781244300	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8ff605…
06-11 15:50:55	btc updown 5m 1781193000	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xea3328…
06-11 15:46:13	btc updown 5m 1781192700	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa93816…
06-11 15:43:43	btc updown 5m 1781192400	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x074f5b…
06-11 14:25:06	sol updown 15m 1781187300	Down	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xa12712…
06-11 14:17:40	btc updown 15m 1781187300	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa0b2ba…
06-10 16:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781109300	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x96b559…
06-10 16:30:48	btc updown 5m 1781108700	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x09ed28…
06-10 16:24:58	btc updown 5m 1781108400	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8cd255…
06-10 16:16:03	btc updown 5m 1781108100	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7790ff…
06-10 16:13:58	btc updown 5m 1781107800	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x94f235…
06-10 16:07:34	btc updown 5m 1781107500	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb18696…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xf87c14…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xddcb6f…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xae003c…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x98c6f9…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x91ebc3…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x55233c…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0cc1ec…
06-10 15:39:03	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x088dc5…
06-10 15:33:28	btc updown 5m 1781105400	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc8e06c…
06-10 15:30:52	eth updown 5m 1781105100	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd8cd46…
06-07 15:36:25	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x86877c…
05-27 16:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa010fd…
05-27 16:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x554152…
05-27 16:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe9c25f…
05-27 16:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0bb40c…
05-27 16:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xccdbae…
05-27 16:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcf2a64…
05-27 15:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x9c8863…
05-27 15:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5eb0eb…
05-27 15:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x735959…
05-27 15:30:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x45f68b…
05-27 15:30:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x14af9f…
05-27 15:24:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xcf163f…
05-27 15:21:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa89340…
05-27 15:12:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc424ba…
05-27 15:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7dd457…
05-27 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7d1318…
05-27 15:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x45c970…
05-27 14:22:02	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x988fe2…
05-27 14:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa9c8d6…