Menacing-Barstool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

618

Trades

1,631

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-15 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 34% -$1,083

Other

4% 5% -$234

Politics

1% 0% -$79

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$214	168	168	+0	Up	+$119	05-09 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$182	126	126	+0	Down	+$66	05-09 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$178	136	136	+0	Up	+$91	05-09 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$177	164	164	+0	Down	+$31	05-09 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$168	162	104	+58	Up	+$38	05-10 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$165	201	113	+88	Up	+$5	05-15 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$146	128	128	+0	Up	+$46	05-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$107	125	125	+0	Up	+$17	05-15 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$105	71	71	+0	Down	+$35	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	6	$102	142	47	+95	Down	-$10	05-09 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$101	82	82	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$99	102	102	+0	Down	+$19	05-15 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$97	280	80	+200	Up	+$61	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$95	89	89	+0	Down	+$25	05-15 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$94	67	67	+0	Up	+$28	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$92	87	87	+0	Up	+$50	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$90	60	60	+0	Up	+$28	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$90	92	63	+29	Up	+$35	05-09 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$90	60	60	+0	Up	+$30	05-15 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$88	119	69	+50	Down	+$36	05-08 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$87	131	60	+71	Up	+$21	05-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:25 UTC	4	$81	101	64	+37	Up	+$51	04-15 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:00 UTC	2	$81	65	61	+3	Down	+$44	04-16 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$81	67	67	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	8	$79	102	102	+0	Up	+$19	05-15 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:15 UTC	3	$77	71	67	+4	Up	+$59	04-18 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$77	298	48	+250	Up	+$17	05-15 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$77	85	50	+35	Down	+$21	05-08 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$75	98	98	+0	Up	+$45	05-14 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$74	75	69	+6	Down	+$32	05-08 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1fdacd…
10-15 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc5bc20…
10-15 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa15f65…
10-15 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x60b374…
10-15 19:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x25a8e0…
10-15 19:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe3dbdb…
10-15 19:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf6a649…
10-15 19:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3a2029…
10-15 19:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb8d0c6…
10-15 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7fbe4b…
10-15 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe45e63…
10-15 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb383eb…
10-15 19:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd84df0…
10-15 19:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc53b84…
10-15 19:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x803185…
10-15 19:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x00bdfb…
10-15 19:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x76a071…
10-15 19:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2124a5…
10-15 19:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0bf616…
10-15 19:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xd816c4…
10-15 19:13:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xeb1e81…
10-15 19:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x78bc09…
10-15 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x35ae96…
10-15 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2ba486…
10-15 19:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9bd5cf…
10-15 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2c6075…
10-15 19:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xea00a4…
10-15 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xab7d47…
10-15 19:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5fe71d…
10-15 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc96a36…
10-15 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x353dd3…
10-15 19:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x57be4c…
10-15 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8eae2c…
10-15 19:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x930b58…
10-15 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xde1015…
10-15 18:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x581618…
10-15 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x664e99…
10-15 18:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xadb2d3…
10-15 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfb1199…
10-15 18:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x477688…
10-15 18:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xae8645…
10-15 18:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x41e06c…
10-15 18:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x290f29…
10-15 18:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0be055…
10-15 18:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6b87dc…
10-15 18:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2b1288…
10-15 18:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd8e2e5…
10-15 18:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x092539…
10-15 18:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3a5950…
05-26 22:02:30	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xdc8eac…
05-23 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6468e2…
05-23 12:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7013c9…
05-23 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x193ab6…
05-23 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x91f347…
05-23 12:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf38fb9…
05-23 12:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x933e44…
05-21 08:48:14	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa13723…
05-20 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x14d585…
05-20 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x687684…
05-20 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x723a1a…
05-20 19:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xab1ac2…
05-20 19:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xffd973…
05-20 19:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb0ad21…
05-20 19:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xad28ba…
05-20 19:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb685bc…
05-20 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0041e1…
05-20 19:15:44	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0xef1f40…
05-20 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x478397…
05-20 19:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0ad0c9…
05-20 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f13f8…
05-20 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdbef60…
05-20 19:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x7aa8d9…
05-20 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbdbd09…
05-20 19:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	44¢	$19	0x996415…
05-20 19:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x57188f…
05-20 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x70551b…
05-20 18:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x8d9751…
05-20 18:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcf5d91…
05-20 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd5186b…
05-20 18:53:25	Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 74%?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x6a0c96…
05-19 16:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa7aaf9…
05-19 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x996d3b…
05-19 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x27b8bb…
05-19 16:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeff99e…
05-19 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd34da1…
05-19 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xf5247c…
05-19 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe62fe2…
05-19 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x40677c…
05-18 15:40:30	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xbb6a1e…
05-18 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd76ac9…
05-18 15:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc942cd…
05-18 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd207bb…
05-18 15:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x580484…
05-18 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc8a8ec…
05-18 15:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe6c75f…
05-17 20:26:33	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x375bc3…
05-17 20:25:48	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0x8e0510…
05-17 20:25:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xa2b2fe…
05-17 20:25:43	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xdc8a1a…
05-17 18:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x328d06…