Menacing-Barstool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$169

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

133

Trades

1,460

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-23 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 42% +$178

Other

3% 17% $-4

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$214	168	168	+0	Up	+$119	05-09 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$182	126	126	+0	Down	+$66	05-09 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$178	136	136	+0	Up	+$91	05-09 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	11	$177	164	164	+0	Down	+$31	05-09 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$168	162	104	+58	Up	+$38	05-10 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$165	201	113	+88	open	—	05-15 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$146	128	128	+0	Up	+$46	05-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$107	125	125	+0	open	—	05-15 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$105	71	71	+0	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	6	$102	142	47	+95	Down	$-10	05-09 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$101	82	82	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$99	102	102	+0	open	—	05-15 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$97	280	80	+200	Up	+$61	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$95	89	89	+0	open	—	05-15 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$94	67	67	+0	Up	+$28	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$92	87	87	+0	Up	+$50	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$90	60	60	+0	Up	+$28	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$90	92	63	+29	Up	+$35	05-09 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$88	119	69	+50	Down	+$36	05-08 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$87	131	60	+71	Up	+$21	05-09 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776284700	4	$81	101	64	+37	open	—	04-15 20:37
btc updown 5m 1776369600	2	$81	65	61	+3	open	—	04-16 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$81	67	67	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	8	$79	102	102	+0	open	—	05-15 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776500100	3	$77	71	67	+4	open	—	04-18 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$77	298	48	+250	open	—	05-15 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$77	85	50	+35	Down	+$21	05-08 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$75	98	98	+0	open	—	05-14 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$74	75	69	+6	Down	+$32	05-08 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6468e2…
05-23 12:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7013c9…
05-23 12:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x193ab6…
05-23 12:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x91f347…
05-23 12:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf38fb9…
05-23 12:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x933e44…
05-20 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x687684…
05-20 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x723a1a…
05-20 19:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xab1ac2…
05-20 19:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xffd973…
05-20 19:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb0ad21…
05-20 19:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xad28ba…
05-20 19:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb685bc…
05-20 19:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0041e1…
05-20 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x478397…
05-20 19:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0ad0c9…
05-20 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f13f8…
05-20 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdbef60…
05-20 19:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x7aa8d9…
05-20 19:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbdbd09…
05-20 19:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	44¢	$19	0x996415…
05-20 19:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x57188f…
05-20 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x70551b…
05-20 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd5186b…
05-19 16:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa7aaf9…
05-19 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x996d3b…
05-19 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x27b8bb…
05-19 16:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeff99e…
05-19 16:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd34da1…
05-19 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xf5247c…
05-19 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe62fe2…
05-19 16:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x40677c…
05-18 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xd76ac9…
05-18 15:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc942cd…
05-18 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd207bb…
05-18 15:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x580484…
05-18 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc8a8ec…
05-18 15:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe6c75f…
05-17 20:25:48	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0x8e0510…
05-17 18:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x328d06…
05-17 18:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf212dd…
05-17 18:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe6df51…
05-17 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfe48ff…
05-17 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0xd415a2…
05-17 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x54aac3…
05-17 18:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbc28c4…
05-17 18:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1e28f0…
05-17 18:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8be261…
05-17 18:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa2f614…
05-17 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf1f1f4…
05-17 17:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x885c74…
05-17 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xc389f3…
05-17 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2e4419…
05-17 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe8a06f…
05-17 17:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	46¢	$14	0x8652e1…
05-17 17:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x71e62e…
05-17 17:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1b5e62…
05-17 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2a797f…
05-17 17:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0xfff8ab…
05-17 17:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd5274b…
05-17 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x437677…
05-17 17:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf36af1…
05-17 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbf134f…
05-17 17:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xe7901b…
05-17 17:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc123c1…
05-17 17:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf5db51…
05-17 17:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfffa88…
05-17 17:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	57	49¢	$28	0xbd3a5a…
05-17 17:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe88d84…
05-17 17:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x159f1f…
05-17 17:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x14bcf9…
05-17 12:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ea733…
05-17 12:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xd0fb24…
05-16 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9cab1f…
05-16 18:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2b46dd…
05-16 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd07bec…
05-16 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa8c7ca…
05-16 18:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x2b2a32…
05-16 18:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6997e8…
05-16 18:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x596d91…
05-16 18:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0aee48…
05-16 18:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xa0946b…
05-16 18:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe3d55f…
05-16 18:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x8bdc89…
05-16 18:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2debf8…
05-16 18:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd2a263…
05-16 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0bebe8…
05-16 18:11:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0xb050f3…
05-16 18:11:33	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0xed2114…
05-16 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xb68369…
05-16 08:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfc5298…
05-16 08:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0738c5…
05-16 08:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd1f6f2…
05-16 08:29:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	110	8¢	$9	0x4aeb53…
05-16 06:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x468147…
05-16 06:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e2882…
05-16 06:07:17	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	242	2¢	$5	0xf507ec…
05-15 21:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x2e9b74…
05-15 21:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9f2745…
05-15 21:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x06ee72…