Angelic-Potential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-03 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

55% 100% +$4

Politics

36% — —

Other

8% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+41	$26	71¢	$29	+$3	06-12 01:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.5K	1,773	1,773	+0	open	—	03-16 09:50
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$3.0K	1,567	1,567	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1.8K	1,789	0	+1,789	open	—	03-16 09:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$536	269	269	+0	open	—	03-13 08:20
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$124	7,750	7,750	+0	open	—	01-03 11:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-03 01:41
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	01-22 05:43
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	04-18 03:42
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-18 03:42
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	03-04 02:50
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$46	31	31	+0	open	—	01-22 05:43
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-11 11:23
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	03-16 09:50
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	02-03 11:12
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 08:36
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-11 11:27
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 04:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$26	41	0	+41	open	—	06-12 01:08
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	04-02 07:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	06-03 01:41
chatgpt outage by april 17 838	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 12:57
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	02-20 07:50
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-11 11:22
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	05-11 11:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	05-28 12:59
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	01-07 05:34
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 03:44
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-13 08:21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	03-21 05:15
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:08:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x6173fb…
06-03 01:41:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaa168e…
06-03 01:41:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xab0cac…
05-28 12:59:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0x80fa02…
05-28 12:59:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x391ccd…
05-18 06:45:58	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x34f856…
05-11 11:27:33	Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x7c0d94…
05-11 11:23:43	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x472055…
05-11 11:23:14	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2bc4c6…
05-11 11:22:47	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x7fc1aa…
05-02 11:48:18	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8bd634…
05-02 11:47:58	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa84f03…
04-30 08:40:42	Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe61e17…
04-30 08:37:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0a4f48…
04-30 08:36:50	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x255396…
04-30 08:36:44	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x1b8878…
04-18 03:44:32	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4968df…
04-18 03:44:12	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xecb74d…
04-18 03:43:06	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x20e376…
04-18 03:42:32	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x38eda8…
04-18 03:42:18	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0x18a179…
04-10 02:11:39	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x0d9f48…
04-07 12:57:05	chatgpt outage by april 17 838	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x5b6e90…
04-02 07:44:01	Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xc66953…
04-02 07:42:43	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xa6ac6e…
03-21 05:15:59	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x2ca9ee…
03-16 09:51:17	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xe7cc35…
03-16 09:50:57	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,789	100¢	$1,780	0x74141e…
03-16 09:50:31	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x682889…
03-16 09:50:25	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,773	99¢	$1,761	0x4cec56…
03-13 08:21:17	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x706540…
03-13 08:20:55	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,773	99¢	$1,763	0xb5bfe9…
03-13 08:20:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x9319e7…
03-08 09:49:41	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x688d03…
03-04 02:50:45	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa14ca7…
03-02 11:38:29	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbdb28b…
02-28 06:47:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	1,567	97¢	$1,520	0x3427b4…
02-27 11:48:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0xe2a0a4…
02-27 11:48:15	dota2 tundra liquid 2026 02 27	Tundra Esports	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xedbf82…
02-27 11:47:11	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	715	93¢	$666	0x9c2c76…
02-27 11:47:09	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	559	93¢	$521	0xc9a09d…
02-27 11:46:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	250	93¢	$233	0xc7d31d…
02-27 11:46:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x97e3b0…
02-20 07:51:04	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7fd0ce…
02-20 07:50:48	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xc3181c…
02-11 04:07:09	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1075f4…
02-03 11:13:08	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x38bf6b…
02-03 11:12:52	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe41dc8…
01-22 05:43:50	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xb4b48a…
01-22 05:43:46	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x2ff5e1…
01-15 02:43:26	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x96004d…
01-15 02:43:00	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x26af1c…
01-07 05:34:33	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0xca1231…
01-03 11:17:53	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7,750	1¢	$62	0x78dfb0…
01-02 02:43:37	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,750	1¢	$62	0xd2db68…