Fantastic-Thunderbolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$658

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-13 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$0

Crypto

38% 80% $-3

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-07 03:03
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-19 02:22
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 02:21
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-19 02:22
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-19 02:22
will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-19 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 03:56
highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 27c	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-10 08:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 16corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:08
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 02:46
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 12c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 12?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 02:46
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 56 57f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 06:49
highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 26c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:07
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 11c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 14c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:09
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 55forbelow	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:15
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 15c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:09
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 13c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 08:09
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-10 08:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-13 02:46
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-13 07:40
highest temperature in wuhan on april 3 2026 20c	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-03 09:31
highest temperature in istanbul on april 3 2026 16c	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 26?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on April 26?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 02:26
highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 64 65f	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-03 09:35
highest temperature in istanbul on april 3 2026 15c	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-03 09:32
highest temperature in wuhan on april 3 2026 21c	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-03 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 07:46:21	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c8535…
05-13 07:45:46	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5e6a37…
05-13 07:40:45	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4950cc…
05-13 07:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe5efaf…
05-13 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ac032…
05-13 06:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac1ca1…
05-13 06:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xebd24c…
05-13 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9d9f88…
05-13 03:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x425728…
05-13 02:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf3b42a…
05-13 02:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xfcdcac…
05-13 02:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x84bfff…
05-13 02:46:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49f3ac…
05-13 02:46:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1286d1…
05-13 02:46:06	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50cbf8…
05-13 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8c664b…
05-13 02:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x11c4a5…
05-12 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x126120…
05-12 08:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8dcc7b…
05-12 07:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x2c0cb6…
05-12 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe2a853…
05-12 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9f29b5…
05-12 03:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0xcefeee…
05-12 03:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f3f89…
04-25 02:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4ee370…
04-25 02:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdd5994…
04-25 02:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe6865c…
04-25 02:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x308472…
04-25 02:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xafa869…
04-25 02:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x88a44b…
04-25 02:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8fc782…
04-25 02:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbc5bf5…
04-25 02:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4b4bd…
04-25 02:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8d81c8…
04-25 02:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe2670b…
04-25 02:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc65f68…
04-25 02:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1bb1bd…
04-25 02:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ce7ac…
04-25 02:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4a6617…
04-25 02:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3aab37…
04-25 02:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xad0d74…
04-10 08:16:31	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x6499e6…
04-10 08:16:13	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf0de22…
04-10 08:15:57	highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2d6a…
04-10 08:10:25	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 11c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xca32f7…
04-10 08:10:03	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb74825…
04-10 08:09:45	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cfe3b…
04-10 08:09:21	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb46c79…
04-10 08:09:05	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3425ab…
04-10 08:08:47	highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9e0c4…
04-10 08:08:15	highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 27c	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x897786…
04-10 08:07:57	highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 26c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa41d29…
04-03 09:36:19	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x60a427…
04-03 09:35:59	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb7ab0f…
04-03 09:35:45	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xecb961…
04-03 09:35:31	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54f133…
04-03 09:35:17	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf0d543…
04-03 09:34:57	highest temperature in san francisco on april 3 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf93ae4…
04-03 09:34:25	highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 29corhigher	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x377c71…
04-03 09:34:11	highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 28c	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x477361…
04-03 09:33:55	highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1b11a9…
04-03 09:32:41	highest temperature in istanbul on april 3 2026 16c	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xd149af…
04-03 09:32:27	highest temperature in istanbul on april 3 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xaa78a1…
04-03 09:32:01	highest temperature in wuhan on april 3 2026 21c	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8c5814…
04-03 09:31:47	highest temperature in wuhan on april 3 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xb9bec4…
04-03 09:31:05	will ethereum reach 2500 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb40fd1…
04-03 09:30:43	will ethereum reach 2600 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x482ab0…
04-03 09:30:29	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcbd10d…
04-03 09:30:19	will bitcoin reach 80k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7d84a…
04-03 09:30:07	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa76e4e…
03-19 02:23:13	will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x17e52d…
03-19 02:22:51	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xcd69a9…
03-19 02:22:35	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x05094a…
03-19 02:22:05	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x16ed0d…
03-19 02:21:45	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a22ba…
02-07 03:03:49	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xafeda9…