Scientific-Trance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,288

lifetime

Volume

$3.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$649

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-10 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$2,467

Other

30% 100% +$198

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-2,671

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	161	$380.9K	206,189	206,189	+0	open	—	06-07 23:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	44	$235.9K	179,934	80,900	+99,034	open	—	06-03 23:14
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	148	$177.1K	165,214	17,284	+147,929	open	—	07-20 19:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$148.9K	147,681	2,681	+145,000	open	—	04-30 20:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	52	$137.8K	132,663	17,652	+115,011	open	—	07-30 02:38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$71.3K	120,795	0	+120,795	open	—	04-27 21:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	13	$69.0K	35,264	35,264	+0	open	—	04-21 18:00
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges	17	$58.3K	44,928	44,928	+0	open	—	05-24 18:21
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	79	$54.0K	33,204	33,204	+0	open	—	04-21 21:06
Celtics vs. 76ers	34	$50.1K	74,709	0	+74,709	open	—	04-26 22:42
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	5	$46.2K	46,297	0	+46,297	open	—	04-14 15:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	41	$44.2K	35,328	35,328	+0	open	—	05-25 23:24
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte1	14	$43.9K	40,628	3,532	+37,097	open	—	07-09 20:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$40.4K	63,159	0	+63,159	open	—	06-03 21:28
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	14	$37.4K	37,421	0	+37,421	open	—	06-29 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	39	$35.4K	24,943	22,912	+2,031	open	—	05-29 15:24
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	30	$32.6K	90,483	0	+90,483	open	—	04-26 13:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	38	$31.5K	32,690	6,720	+25,970	open	—	06-14 23:27
israel closes its airspace by june 9	54	$30.9K	26,554	12,496	+14,059	open	—	06-09 21:59
nhl min stl 2026 04 13	4	$29.5K	67,108	0	+67,108	open	—	04-13 16:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	53	$29.1K	20,635	19,450	+1,185	No	+$2,467	05-05 20:37
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals vinicius junior gte2	96	$28.9K	28,897	0	+28,897	open	—	06-25 00:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	28	$27.9K	18,910	21,354	-2,443	open	—	06-15 00:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	16	$27.8K	14,161	14,161	+0	open	—	08-04 02:51
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	73	$27.2K	27,384	0	+27,384	open	—	07-07 18:25
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	9	$26.7K	64,594	7,425	+57,169	open	—	06-30 16:59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$25.7K	21,511	7,264	+14,247	open	—	04-16 15:45
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	8	$25.4K	68,665	0	+68,665	open	—	06-30 23:43
nhl ana min 2026 04 14	3	$25.1K	64,068	0	+64,068	open	—	04-14 23:11
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	51	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	06-18 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:32:49	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	No	BUY	852	76¢	$644	0x05323f…
08-09 20:29:25	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	187	55¢	$103	0x04c96d…
08-09 18:06:31	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xfb219c…
08-09 11:08:58	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0x2927d3…
08-09 10:56:22	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x0ea8e3…
08-09 10:56:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,254	59¢	$737	0xe86bf2…
08-09 10:56:01	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	BUY	257	50¢	$128	0x9401bc…
08-09 10:55:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	4,608	52¢	$2,375	0x9cfdff…
08-08 20:39:27	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Team Jenz	SELL	10,027	50¢	$5,013	0x185194…
08-08 19:08:45	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Team Jenz	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x36e59e…
08-08 19:08:39	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Team Jenz	BUY	10,000	48¢	$4,800	0x0339e0…
08-08 19:06:46	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	10,094	55¢	$5,556	0x006360…
08-08 19:06:15	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	5,094	62¢	$3,157	0xc78593…
08-08 19:06:01	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0xdb6248…
08-05 21:21:09	clf fccz lev 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	7,073	49¢	$3,466	0xeee0bd…
08-04 02:51:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	14,161	100¢	$14,147	0xe18fe9…
08-03 23:10:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	140	44¢	$62	0xfd4b40…
08-03 23:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0xa3d6a2…
08-03 23:10:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	58	44¢	$26	0xab73c0…
08-03 23:09:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	500	44¢	$220	0x6b7e99…
08-03 23:09:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0x844348…
08-03 23:09:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x0e22a2…
08-03 23:09:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x251826…
08-03 23:08:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0x99ddcb…
08-03 23:08:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xa93f72…
08-03 23:08:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	146	42¢	$61	0x207c27…
08-03 23:07:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x81678c…
08-03 23:07:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	332	41¢	$136	0xf1236e…
08-03 23:07:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x101012…
08-03 23:07:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x7c38ce…
08-03 23:07:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xe96753…
08-03 23:07:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x42da57…
08-03 23:07:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x36935c…
08-03 23:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x9c66a0…
08-03 23:07:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3189f1…
08-03 23:07:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	915	41¢	$375	0xdff2e6…
08-03 23:07:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	146	41¢	$60	0xf468d9…
08-03 23:06:24	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4,629	22¢	$1,036	0xb7c12b…
08-03 23:06:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	113	60¢	$68	0x2a188d…
08-03 23:06:11	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	5,062	13¢	$672	0x50a32c…
08-03 23:06:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x83932d…
08-03 23:06:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x448828…
08-03 23:05:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd187e0…
08-03 23:05:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x5957e3…
08-03 23:05:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,805	60¢	$1,083	0x2ad286…
08-03 23:05:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	2,079	16¢	$333	0xd952cc…
08-03 23:04:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x9f88a9…
08-03 23:04:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	3,393	15¢	$506	0x5b30c7…
08-03 23:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	4,441	14¢	$613	0x66fddc…
08-03 23:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	254	26¢	$66	0xd690aa…
08-03 23:03:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0xcec3ea…
08-03 23:03:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6,277	45¢	$2,840	0x97ee31…
08-03 21:23:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	4,280	31¢	$1,327	0xc6e4a5…
08-03 20:59:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x3084c8…
08-03 20:41:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xc766ee…
08-03 20:35:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	592	31¢	$184	0x31443c…
08-03 20:31:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,500	59¢	$885	0x717862…
08-03 20:18:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xac99e0…
08-02 23:09:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	642	52¢	$334	0x9a1037…
08-02 23:09:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x4b36d6…
08-02 22:37:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	909	54¢	$491	0x76a694…
08-02 22:36:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0xfe64d1…
08-02 22:20:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,705	55¢	$1,488	0x5f66f9…
08-02 22:19:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	41	55¢	$23	0x9dde47…
08-02 22:19:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf2d074…
08-02 22:19:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	165	55¢	$91	0x150b0f…
08-02 22:19:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x0bfc4c…
08-02 22:19:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x488393…
08-02 22:19:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4c55d3…
08-02 22:19:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xef3d9d…
08-02 22:13:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,063	55¢	$1,135	0x07dbc5…
08-02 21:54:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x6ec0ad…
08-02 21:54:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,585	57¢	$903	0x0a92ce…
08-02 21:45:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	626	23¢	$144	0x69ce6a…
08-02 21:45:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,134	57¢	$646	0x307fbb…
08-02 21:45:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	2,193	11¢	$242	0xfbd5c4…
08-02 21:45:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	126	57¢	$72	0x194eec…
08-02 21:01:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x163c3f…
08-02 20:39:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x586bc2…
08-02 20:21:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0x6be477…
08-02 20:11:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	123	33¢	$40	0x6a12b0…
08-02 20:02:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0xf51535…
08-02 20:02:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,090	33¢	$360	0x78320d…
08-02 19:50:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xc7cde2…
08-02 19:49:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f9f9b…
08-02 19:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe40740…
08-02 19:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x52a6c2…
08-02 19:49:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc8dffe…
08-02 19:45:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x68925a…
08-02 19:43:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x402a75…
08-02 19:43:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x486297…
08-02 19:43:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x2a9369…
08-02 19:42:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x648dd0…
08-02 19:42:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7c0268…
08-02 19:42:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x61d0d2…
08-02 19:41:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	146	55¢	$80	0xfa6f41…
08-02 19:41:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x8af949…
08-02 19:41:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xddca94…
08-02 19:41:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x846e53…
08-02 19:37:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	595	55¢	$327	0x4288e8…