Scientific-Trance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$903

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

572

Trades

8,905

lifetime

Volume

$7.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$802

Open exposure

$4.25K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-28 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

58% 73% +$30,606

Politics

30% 72% -$9,749

Sports

8% 60% -$26,631

Crypto

3% 100% +$16,281

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+3,737	$1,848	94¢	$3.5K	+$1,665	08-17 16:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-384	-$241	66¢	$-254	-$14	06-14 22:20
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	+257	$128	94¢	$243	+$115	08-09 10:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+1,926	$838	12¢	$235	-$603	07-23 15:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$260	41¢	$0	-$260	10-27 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	161	$380.9K	206,189	206,189	+0	Yes	+$2,564	06-07 23:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	44	$235.9K	179,934	80,900	+99,034	No	+$16,281	06-03 23:14
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	559	$199.8K	100,000	100,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 18:33
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	148	$177.1K	165,214	17,284	+147,929	Yes	+$1,011	07-20 19:39
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	2	$175.9K	178,541	0	+178,541	No	+$2,611	08-30 19:28
Eagles vs. Titans	5	$150.0K	200,048	0	+200,048	Eagles	+$50,012	09-20 14:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$148.9K	147,681	2,681	+145,000	No	+$1,165	04-30 20:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	52	$137.8K	132,663	17,652	+115,011	No	+$2,417	07-30 02:38
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?	11	$126.7K	248,380	0	+248,380	Yes	-$126,696	08-23 15:05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	344	$110.4K	126,552	124,277	+2,275	Yes	-$38,226	04-28 20:55
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	12	$98.3K	68,406	30,000	+38,406	No	+$59	06-29 23:14
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05?	3	$95.4K	164,432	0	+164,432	Yes	-$95,371	09-05 23:53
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	166	$88.4K	88,621	0	+88,621	Yes	+$222	07-12 03:12
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	10	$83.4K	154,110	31,000	+123,110	No	+$101,682	06-15 21:25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	33	$82.1K	238,870	0	+238,870	Yes	-$82,140	08-31 18:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	26	$82.1K	82,237	22,740	+59,497	No	+$210	05-30 18:37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	51	$71.4K	125,318	0	+125,318	No	+$53,887	04-29 16:32
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?	4	$70.7K	126,636	0	+126,636	No	+$55,946	09-16 19:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	13	$69.0K	35,264	35,264	+0	Yes	+$1,379	04-21 18:00
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30?	5	$66.5K	108,936	0	+108,936	No	+$42,485	08-30 15:54
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	3	$65.8K	193,570	0	+193,570	Yes	-$65,845	09-14 16:31
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	26	$65.8K	65,893	0	+65,893	No	+$66	06-21 21:08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	12	$65.2K	144,378	22,320	+122,058	No	+$74,679	05-19 18:05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	10	$63.8K	117,004	8,160	+108,844	No	+$53,044	07-01 20:01
mlb wsh det 2026 09 23	12	$61.8K	81,271	81,271	+0	Washington Nationals	+$0	09-23 15:38
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges	17	$58.3K	44,928	44,928	+0	Nuno Borges	+$31,469	05-24 18:21
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?	9	$55.7K	56,756	0	+56,756	Yes	+$1,095	06-08 09:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	79	$54.0K	33,204	33,204	+0	No	-$5,101	04-21 21:06
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?	5	$52.7K	125,579	0	+125,579	Yes	-$52,743	05-17 09:52
Celtics vs. 76ers	34	$50.1K	74,709	0	+74,709	Celtics	+$24,609	04-26 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:44:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x24e36c…
10-28 07:42:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x8dc2ea…
10-28 07:07:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xfa1f86…
10-28 07:07:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x49f0e7…
10-28 07:07:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x04c342…
10-27 22:32:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	214	50¢	$108	0x5fef34…
10-27 22:30:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0f7d62…
10-27 22:30:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	938	50¢	$472	0xff450c…
10-27 22:28:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0xb2befb…
10-27 22:27:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x8a1972…
10-27 22:27:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	287	50¢	$144	0x343c5d…
10-27 22:27:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0xd14c27…
10-27 22:27:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	199	50¢	$100	0xc05554…
10-27 22:22:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	50¢	$126	0x2b4afa…
10-27 04:58:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,036	27¢	$280	0xea8c4a…
10-27 04:53:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	889	27¢	$240	0xd27ff2…
10-27 04:52:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	711	27¢	$192	0x0403fa…
10-27 04:49:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	356	27¢	$96	0x5aa547…
10-27 04:47:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xb165fc…
10-27 04:46:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xaf2d7f…
10-27 04:44:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x6455ea…
10-27 04:42:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	607	27¢	$164	0xa3e5ef…
10-27 04:38:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x5c52cf…
10-27 04:35:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	315	27¢	$85	0xace25c…
10-27 04:34:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x5bd13d…
10-27 04:31:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	120	27¢	$32	0x09297e…
10-27 04:31:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	105	27¢	$28	0x99a354…
10-27 04:31:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x8dcce7…
10-27 04:30:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0xbbf6c4…
10-27 04:30:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	105	27¢	$28	0x0eea78…
10-27 04:29:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	27¢	$540	0x44122a…
10-27 04:29:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	27¢	$28	0x5dd9e8…
10-27 04:28:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	27¢	$28	0x966e1c…
10-27 04:27:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0xc92e27…
10-27 04:27:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	104	27¢	$28	0x276db6…
10-27 04:27:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	954	27¢	$258	0x46cb0b…
10-24 00:38:36	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	148	96¢	$143	0x126a4c…
10-23 11:10:08	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x4b4afd…
10-21 07:19:32	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	144	32¢	$46	0x597bcf…
10-20 03:32:48	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x0b7adf…
10-18 19:45:42	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x789d9f…
10-18 19:45:33	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x8a3082…
10-18 14:51:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	498	31¢	$154	0x366ccc…
10-15 23:57:58	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xe201eb…
10-15 23:57:57	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x31512d…
10-14 14:37:39	ballon dor 2026 kylian mbappe or lamine yamal to finish higher	Yamal	BUY	277	46¢	$127	0xf0a491…
10-13 11:20:41	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	154	90¢	$139	0x176ccf…
10-13 11:20:07	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf77600…
10-13 11:20:07	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0xd15104…
10-13 11:20:04	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0x2602b5…
10-13 11:19:43	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$10	0x1cc9f3…
10-13 11:19:40	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	658	90¢	$592	0x8e5ee9…
10-13 11:19:40	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	53	90¢	$47	0x7c49d0…
10-13 11:19:40	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	11,592	90¢	$10,433	0x35f3f0…
10-13 11:17:20	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	460	90¢	$414	0xf1c9f8…
10-13 11:17:14	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	662	90¢	$596	0x2ae476…
10-13 11:17:13	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	421	90¢	$379	0x5cf354…
10-13 11:17:10	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	662	90¢	$596	0x460631…
10-13 11:17:05	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	662	90¢	$596	0x655874…
10-13 11:16:59	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x8689c0…
10-13 11:16:59	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	662	90¢	$596	0x826cec…
10-13 11:16:44	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6256fa…
10-13 11:15:35	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	280	90¢	$252	0xf7b23d…
10-13 11:02:47	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x02e27a…
10-13 10:59:31	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x29f17a…
10-13 10:57:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x37369a…
10-13 10:55:56	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	608	90¢	$547	0xef37e1…
10-13 10:53:58	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb8566b…
10-13 10:49:29	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb0b70a…
10-13 10:46:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	6,403	90¢	$5,763	0xe09bda…
10-13 10:46:16	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	73	90¢	$66	0x6672ae…
10-04 20:23:40	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	1,410	13¢	$183	0xec0bb8…
10-04 20:23:25	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0xc197c5…
10-04 18:44:04	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,500	32¢	$480	0x922c3e…
10-04 18:43:58	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,099	32¢	$352	0xf2b2f5…
10-04 18:30:13	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Atlanta Braves	BUY	22,650	33¢	$7,474	0xdd53e2…
10-01 18:36:48	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	38,000	47¢	$17,860	0x52b9a6…
09-29 21:23:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x17bdb2…
09-29 21:22:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,014	42¢	$836	0x614998…
09-29 21:22:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xf4956d…
09-29 19:13:02	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	1,127	87¢	$980	0x2e4af4…
09-29 19:10:29	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	1,127	86¢	$969	0x535306…
09-28 21:32:08	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x58b752…
09-28 21:32:06	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	284	75¢	$213	0x7b76ef…
09-28 21:32:02	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	506	75¢	$380	0x334a2d…
09-28 21:31:56	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	610	75¢	$457	0xde6452…
09-28 21:31:53	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	506	75¢	$380	0x93bf1a…
09-28 21:31:48	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	493	75¢	$370	0xebb095…
09-28 21:31:48	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x16cceb…
09-28 21:31:45	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xcb384a…
09-28 21:31:45	Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	3,173	75¢	$2,380	0x49de60…
09-28 18:32:23	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	SELL	7,141	57¢	$4,070	0x4158ea…
09-28 18:28:26	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xa77fb0…
09-28 18:28:24	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x98209b…
09-28 18:28:21	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2a2f99…
09-28 18:28:20	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6657f7…
09-28 18:28:20	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	6,984	56¢	$3,911	0x00f8ad…
09-28 16:23:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,377	42¢	$1,001	0x0151ea…
09-28 16:02:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,289	42¢	$540	0xc37c82…
09-28 15:29:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	157	42¢	$66	0x55e402…