Scientific-Trance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$740

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,265

lifetime

Volume

$2.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$902

Open exposure

$15.7K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-09 23:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$2,467

Other

15% 100% +$198

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-2,671

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 354 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+9,404	$9,366	100¢	$9.4K	+$28	06-07 22:51
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	+5,929	$3,861	76¢	$4.5K	+$675	06-09 20:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	+2,169	$1,709	80¢	$1.7K	+$37	06-09 16:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	161	$380.9K	206,189	206,189	+0	open	—	06-07 23:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	44	$235.9K	179,934	80,900	+99,034	open	—	06-03 23:14
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	27	$148.9K	147,681	2,681	+145,000	open	—	04-30 20:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$71.3K	120,795	0	+120,795	open	—	04-27 21:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	13	$69.0K	35,264	35,264	+0	open	—	04-21 18:00
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges	17	$58.3K	44,928	44,928	+0	open	—	05-24 18:21
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	79	$54.0K	33,204	33,204	+0	open	—	04-21 21:06
Celtics vs. 76ers	34	$50.1K	74,709	0	+74,709	open	—	04-26 22:42
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	5	$46.2K	46,297	0	+46,297	open	—	04-14 15:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	41	$44.2K	35,328	35,328	+0	open	—	05-25 23:24
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	3	$40.4K	63,159	0	+63,159	open	—	06-03 21:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	39	$35.4K	24,943	22,912	+2,031	open	—	05-29 15:24
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	30	$32.6K	90,483	0	+90,483	open	—	04-26 13:28
israel closes its airspace by june 9	54	$30.9K	26,554	12,496	+14,059	open	—	06-09 21:59
nhl min stl 2026 04 13	4	$29.5K	67,108	0	+67,108	open	—	04-13 16:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	53	$29.1K	20,635	19,450	+1,185	No	+$2,467	05-05 20:37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	13	$25.7K	21,511	7,264	+14,247	open	—	04-16 15:45
nhl ana min 2026 04 14	3	$25.1K	64,068	0	+64,068	open	—	04-14 23:11
israel closes its airspace by june 8	74	$25.0K	22,906	9,542	+13,364	open	—	06-08 13:50
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	38	$22.1K	35,115	35,115	+0	open	—	06-04 06:13
nhl car phi 2026 04 13	121	$22.0K	53,220	0	+53,220	open	—	04-13 18:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	63	$20.3K	21,783	700	+21,083	open	—	04-16 17:57
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$18.5K	20,172	0	+20,172	open	—	05-26 16:46
sea cre tor 2026 04 19 tor	45	$18.0K	28,236	0	+28,236	open	—	04-19 10:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	26	$17.7K	12,166	12,881	-715	open	—	04-15 14:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	13	$16.6K	16,846	2,424	+14,422	open	—	05-19 20:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	6	$16.5K	16,432	288	+16,144	open	—	04-30 04:15
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	110	$14.8K	14,800	0	+14,800	open	—	04-19 18:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	51	$14.6K	8,120	8,120	+0	open	—	04-14 23:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	2	$13.4K	13,383	0	+13,383	open	—	04-14 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:21:04	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	1,980	86¢	$1,699	0x297ffe…
06-09 22:41:18	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc549ae…
06-09 22:41:06	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4b2528…
06-09 22:29:00	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	440	69¢	$305	0x7eeafa…
06-09 22:27:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	359	88¢	$316	0xb8f606…
06-09 22:22:22	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	273	71¢	$193	0x223f5e…
06-09 22:20:27	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x183f8a…
06-09 22:12:13	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xc2d355…
06-09 22:10:45	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	27	73¢	$19	0xcf80cb…
06-09 22:09:04	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	375	71¢	$266	0xe124bd…
06-09 22:08:00	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x82bf58…
06-09 22:07:51	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x04bef7…
06-09 22:05:49	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	122	67¢	$82	0x52f518…
06-09 22:05:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	101	67¢	$67	0x2d0198…
06-09 22:04:42	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x80f3b0…
06-09 22:04:36	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x756325…
06-09 22:04:25	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe2562e…
06-09 22:01:36	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf2240a…
06-09 22:00:57	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0f36bd…
06-09 22:00:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x99d5bc…
06-09 22:00:13	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	2,966	81¢	$2,403	0x45b576…
06-09 21:59:15	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	290	97¢	$280	0x7f7aaf…
06-09 21:58:03	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf85f44…
06-09 21:58:00	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x6d933d…
06-09 21:57:25	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	500	81¢	$404	0xf4510c…
06-09 21:56:22	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	213	79¢	$168	0xd9f3a5…
06-09 21:55:03	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xcf13a5…
06-09 21:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$967	0xf7fd30…
06-09 21:53:54	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x740b6b…
06-09 21:53:49	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$967	0xce92f8…
06-09 21:51:43	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x4c53e8…
06-09 21:51:21	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x03a1cd…
06-09 21:51:18	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x6764a5…
06-09 21:50:52	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	92	95¢	$87	0x7bee36…
06-09 21:50:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa6d5ab…
06-09 21:48:06	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xee36f6…
06-09 21:42:28	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb5a4d9…
06-09 21:41:45	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	496	81¢	$402	0x9e5dd7…
06-09 21:41:40	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4b2321…
06-09 21:40:52	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x7e45c7…
06-09 21:40:30	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	90	84¢	$76	0xc090eb…
06-09 21:25:04	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x9c61f2…
06-09 21:25:01	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	632	85¢	$536	0x90093b…
06-09 21:18:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0xd3e9bf…
06-09 21:17:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	582	84¢	$489	0xeaa1ab…
06-09 20:24:46	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,490	66¢	$1,643	0xb4d403…
06-09 16:46:25	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x318abd…
06-09 16:45:33	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0xe1e456…
06-09 16:43:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2,169	79¢	$1,709	0x2794a0…
06-09 16:42:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	2,279	99¢	$2,255	0x169bbb…
06-09 16:42:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	338	90¢	$304	0xf5b1ab…
06-09 16:42:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	1,854	82¢	$1,521	0x9d74d4…
06-09 12:39:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xec6e48…
06-09 12:39:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x96aa4b…
06-09 12:39:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x89c1e7…
06-09 12:39:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x58434c…
06-09 12:39:28	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x11b3fe…
06-09 12:39:27	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3a0e24…
06-09 12:39:25	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9c15a2…
06-09 12:39:25	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x11ead7…
06-09 12:39:24	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf77554…
06-09 12:39:24	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd15da5…
06-09 12:39:24	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x760025…
06-09 12:39:24	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5776b1…
06-09 12:39:24	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x477ca0…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc3bf91…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb1a9c1…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xac501d…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x34576a…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x32bb46…
06-09 12:39:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0002d4…
06-09 12:39:21	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x7958b8…
06-09 12:39:19	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x341129…
06-09 12:39:19	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0a7efe…
06-09 12:39:19	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x065003…
06-09 12:39:18	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb0bad4…
06-09 12:39:18	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa5ade4…
06-09 12:39:18	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x639188…
06-09 12:39:18	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x16d2b7…
06-09 12:39:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9e0986…
06-09 12:39:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4a13c2…
06-09 12:39:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x345a1d…
06-09 12:39:16	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2929b6…
06-08 22:58:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	147	96¢	$142	0xfb3cac…
06-08 22:58:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	832	96¢	$801	0xdbcd6f…
06-08 22:58:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	2,760	96¢	$2,658	0x690f18…
06-08 22:27:19	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4b8b94…
06-08 21:21:10	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x96703d…
06-08 19:51:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0xd754dd…
06-08 19:33:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	5,558	55¢	$3,057	0x846108…
06-08 18:48:34	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x5286ef…
06-08 18:48:01	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	221	55¢	$121	0xa050e9…
06-08 18:46:43	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	505	55¢	$278	0x773442…
06-08 18:46:43	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x33cd95…
06-08 18:44:39	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	718	70¢	$502	0x89d4b3…
06-08 18:41:01	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	282	70¢	$198	0xd5857a…
06-08 18:40:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	617	75¢	$463	0x520136…
06-08 18:33:13	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	114	78¢	$89	0x908818…
06-08 17:37:03	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	876	78¢	$683	0xe8ded3…
06-08 17:19:16	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	242	78¢	$189	0x5d1964…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	119	$571.3K	45,924	06-10 04:47
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	107	$15.8M	30,121	06-10 05:38
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	107	$86.1K	8,610	06-09 23:22
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	97	$1.14M	17,300	06-10 05:35
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	95	$737.2K	13,371	06-10 05:35
Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4	95	$28.5K	2,239	06-10 01:10
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	90	$25.3K	1,003	06-10 02:52
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	88	$58.7K	10,675	06-10 05:23