Mushy-Bacterium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

+$118

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

322

Trades

7,018

lifetime

Volume

$1.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

$1.20K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

61% 76% +$519

Politics

20% 79% -$3,407

Sports

8% 64% +$2,219

Crypto

6% 76% -$49

Tech

5% 73% +$578

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+976	$804	100¢	$975	+$171	10-31 18:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+350	$330	64¢	$222	-$108	10-28 08:38
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+0	-$50	98¢	$0	+$50	07-17 05:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$5	2¢	$0	+$5	05-09 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	204	$129.5K	76,500	77,000	-500	No	+$56	02-23 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	107	$58.9K	29,619	29,771	-152	No	+$149	03-27 03:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	138	$47.1K	22,388	25,193	-2,805	Yes	+$51	02-26 19:46
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	6	$44.9K	30,000	15,000	+15,000	Yes	+$30	02-08 11:19
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	6	$44.9K	30,000	15,000	+15,000	No	+$45	01-03 16:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	21	$20.3K	9,519	11,519	-2,000	No	-$179	04-05 14:46
will elizabeth taylor get less than 2m views in the first week	140	$18.6K	13,064	5,564	+7,500	No	+$39	04-09 03:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	299	$18.4K	46,961	46,961	+0	Yes	+$3,275	07-19 13:45
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$18.1K	17,900	1,200	+16,700	Yes	-$509	02-01 11:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	17	$17.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-11 10:44
will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 1 315	24	$16.0K	8,017	8,017	+0	No	+$24	03-22 11:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	27	$14.9K	8,000	7,000	+1,000	No	+$71	03-25 15:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	322	$14.4K	67,500	60,000	+7,500	No	-$780	05-31 15:40
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	54	$14.1K	12,441	12,441	+0	Saint Louis Billikens	-$89	03-19 21:08
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	4	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	No	+$14	01-20 18:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	Yes	+$28	03-01 15:50
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	38	$13.5K	7,019	6,606	+412	No	+$103	04-30 12:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 20 26	5	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	Yes	+$13	01-20 14:12
will mrbeasts next video get 55 million or more views on day 1 874	5	$12.8K	6,422	6,422	+0	No	+$11	01-25 03:02
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	30	$12.8K	7,412	5,498	+1,914	No	+$104	03-22 13:03
will mrbeasts next video get less than 20 million views on day 1 535	63	$12.7K	6,401	6,386	+15	No	+$48	03-08 06:41
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$12	01-23 16:50
lol vit fnc 2026 01 26	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	Fnatic	+$12	01-26 18:41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$12	05-01 12:15
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$11.0K	5,000	6,000	-1,000	No	+$15	03-24 19:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$10.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$23	04-18 23:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	93	$10.5K	47,500	47,500	+0	No	+$2,470	07-19 13:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$10.5K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$120	02-26 20:22
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	16	$10.4K	10,556	0	+10,556	Yes	+$183	03-06 18:31
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$10.3K	5,266	5,266	+0	No	+$55	04-30 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:33:24	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$140	0xcd1cca…
10-31 16:21:51	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x02a27e…
10-31 16:11:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	80¢	$53	0x91eefd…
10-31 16:11:21	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x8f8085…
10-31 16:10:42	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc28024…
10-31 16:10:22	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x2b89c3…
10-31 16:09:58	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x3e8d22…
10-31 16:09:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x261b32…
10-31 14:16:33	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	557	82¢	$459	0x56327a…
10-31 14:12:52	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	305	84¢	$255	0xb26d0f…
10-31 14:11:21	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	252	84¢	$211	0xf3bf36…
10-30 14:43:27	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	565	98¢	$554	0x444ef1…
10-30 14:36:28	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x53119d…
10-30 14:36:04	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xf0f69a…
10-30 14:30:09	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	298	89¢	$266	0x7550b9…
10-30 14:29:04	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x3295ad…
10-30 14:28:46	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	299	96¢	$288	0x48604c…
10-29 17:41:31	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0x3e27d0…
10-29 17:41:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	400	97¢	$388	0x0ee9b4…
10-29 17:41:05	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	2,021	99¢	$1,995	0xb11ef2…
10-29 17:40:56	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	SELL	2,615	100¢	$2,613	0xf3e5ff…
10-29 11:40:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	1,521	96¢	$1,458	0x4cb4e7…
10-29 11:26:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	511	99¢	$507	0x58b24a…
10-28 19:17:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x07c552…
10-28 18:59:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc8df51…
10-28 18:56:50	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	479	96¢	$458	0x5c3648…
10-28 18:18:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x61a329…
10-28 18:05:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	SELL	471	2¢	$10	0xe19b72…
10-28 17:33:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	182	6¢	$11	0xa17dfa…
10-28 17:18:53	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	133	6¢	$8	0x6c37c0…
10-28 17:14:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x179e3c…
10-28 17:01:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0xb84581…
10-28 08:38:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	350	50¢	$175	0xf51f6c…
10-27 19:07:26	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	305	96¢	$291	0x302f87…
10-27 18:34:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x81917e…
10-27 12:39:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x7b2618…
10-27 10:31:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xece6ee…
10-27 09:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$935	0xd23267…
10-27 08:58:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	115	91¢	$104	0x9161fc…
10-26 20:45:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	126	76¢	$95	0x8b3f61…
10-26 20:45:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xfe4078…
10-26 20:45:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xb83665…
10-26 20:45:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xa9c47c…
10-26 20:45:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x9ff148…
10-26 20:45:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0xcaf89a…
10-26 13:02:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0xd1bb28…
10-26 12:59:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	144	75¢	$108	0x4686cb…
10-26 09:52:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$135	0x090caa…
10-24 10:25:35	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0xff7943…
10-24 09:17:50	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xce791d…
10-24 05:58:57	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x353090…
10-23 14:54:24	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	160	92¢	$147	0x79897c…
10-23 12:57:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5e33a1…
10-23 12:14:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xf17f57…
10-23 11:40:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	127	92¢	$117	0x5ec18b…
10-23 09:17:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xd217af…
10-22 16:14:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	209	92¢	$192	0x2aae92…
10-22 13:48:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?	Yes	BUY	291	92¢	$268	0x9347fe…
10-22 05:39:46	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe86510…
10-21 15:44:21	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x200a52…
10-14 11:31:41	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x2f4467…
10-07 13:56:40	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$286	0xb84d22…
10-06 22:58:45	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x092572…
10-05 21:06:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x9fb224…
10-05 18:46:26	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	SELL	743	100¢	$743	0x1ce21a…
10-02 13:12:42	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	BUY	743	100¢	$740	0x0ccf5a…
09-29 13:01:20	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	51	84¢	$42	0x3bcd6c…
09-29 12:40:00	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x0f2d31…
09-29 12:39:41	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	77	84¢	$64	0x6daae4…
09-29 10:50:27	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x1b8ba9…
09-29 10:49:15	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0xcb93dd…
09-29 08:46:44	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xbb2cf6…
09-25 19:52:27	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xa51670…
09-25 19:52:23	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x3e2150…
09-25 10:51:00	no change flips hike 25 bps for october fed by october 15	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb38abc…
09-20 12:47:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xd6ae3c…
09-20 11:02:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	241	80¢	$193	0xda87ae…
09-20 10:57:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x22268c…
09-20 04:33:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x4c5074…
09-18 04:47:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xab5856…
09-18 04:05:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0xe9f4ff…
09-17 17:13:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0x99a25c…
09-16 14:32:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	88¢	$704	0x8d7d73…
09-16 12:48:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	343	88¢	$302	0xc1fd5b…
08-29 14:19:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x26c5f1…
08-22 00:18:28	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xd5d5f9…
08-14 09:29:19	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xf47de5…
08-12 15:38:34	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	64	74¢	$47	0x477ce6…
08-12 05:36:46	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf71cdf…
08-12 05:31:45	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd568a0…
08-12 05:31:37	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xbc5e3d…
07-26 06:09:54	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x72c1a9…
07-25 16:01:16	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	449	76¢	$340	0x6322bf…
07-25 16:00:49	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	181	76¢	$137	0x1234a7…
07-25 16:00:42	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x94248f…
07-25 16:00:31	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	229	76¢	$173	0xb7ffb2…
07-25 14:28:10	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	51	76¢	$38	0x38358f…
07-24 11:41:10	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	260	67¢	$174	0x837b76…
07-24 11:38:06	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x914d3a…
07-24 02:23:18	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	111	73¢	$81	0xc8a81c…