Mushy-Bacterium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,733

lifetime

Volume

$1.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-25 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$40

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$12

Tech

6% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$109

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	204	$129.5K	76,500	77,000	-500	open	—	02-23 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	107	$58.9K	29,619	29,771	-152	open	—	03-27 03:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	138	$47.1K	22,388	25,193	-2,805	open	—	02-26 19:46
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	6	$44.9K	30,000	15,000	+15,000	open	—	02-08 11:19
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	6	$44.9K	30,000	15,000	+15,000	open	—	01-03 16:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	21	$20.3K	9,519	11,519	-2,000	open	—	04-05 14:46
will elizabeth taylor get less than 2m views in the first week	140	$18.6K	13,064	5,564	+7,500	open	—	04-09 03:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$18.1K	17,900	1,200	+16,700	open	—	02-01 11:50
will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 1 315	24	$16.0K	8,017	8,017	+0	open	—	03-22 11:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	27	$14.9K	8,000	7,000	+1,000	open	—	03-25 15:35
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	54	$14.1K	12,441	12,441	+0	open	—	03-19 21:08
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	4	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	01-20 18:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$14.0K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	03-01 15:50
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	38	$13.5K	7,019	6,606	+412	open	—	04-30 12:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 20 26	5	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	01-20 14:12
will mrbeasts next video get 55 million or more views on day 1 874	5	$12.8K	6,422	6,422	+0	open	—	01-25 03:02
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	30	$12.8K	7,412	5,498	+1,914	open	—	03-22 13:03
will mrbeasts next video get less than 20 million views on day 1 535	63	$12.7K	6,401	6,386	+15	open	—	03-08 06:41
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	01-23 16:50
lol vit fnc 2026 01 26	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	01-26 18:41
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	05-01 12:15
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$11.0K	5,000	6,000	-1,000	open	—	03-24 19:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$10.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	04-18 23:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$10.5K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-26 20:22
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	16	$10.4K	10,556	0	+10,556	open	—	03-06 18:31
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$10.3K	5,266	5,266	+0	open	—	04-30 13:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	30	$10.3K	5,146	5,146	+0	open	—	04-05 14:08
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	4	$10.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-17 22:21
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-22 18:56
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-11 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 03:34:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	300	92¢	$275	0x6db570…
06-24 11:16:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x4ed35b…
06-22 20:27:50	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xe9b914…
06-22 13:27:44	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xa4485b…
06-21 16:43:46	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	302	89¢	$269	0x2be884…
06-21 16:42:28	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	698	89¢	$621	0x8a87be…
06-21 15:14:32	will openais valuation hit low 750b by june 30	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x1afda8…
06-18 06:17:10	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xb0c57d…
06-17 22:45:37	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	79	85¢	$67	0xd56a01…
06-17 18:54:44	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb1c759…
06-17 08:46:43	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xcbd9e9…
06-17 05:47:25	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xb0abde…
06-16 23:14:49	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x22f31a…
06-16 14:43:04	will lionel messi score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833280	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xd958a6…
06-16 13:47:23	will lionel messi score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833280	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa8041a…
06-16 08:29:31	world cup any team to score 10 goals in the group stage 20260608154723970	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xb84b9c…
06-15 20:32:01	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	56	16¢	$9	0x7af7f6…
06-15 20:32:00	will romelu lukaku score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xf71f55…
06-14 10:02:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0xb33ae7…
06-13 20:25:49	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	99	87¢	$86	0x132cd9…
06-13 20:25:39	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbae320…
06-13 17:58:57	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x563f82…
06-13 17:08:21	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x661b42…
06-13 16:51:52	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x17c956…
06-13 16:29:15	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x9243d0…
06-13 15:39:21	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	93	61¢	$57	0x1e49b9…
06-13 15:25:28	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0xe8f75c…
06-13 12:22:25	will lionel messi score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833280	Yes	BUY	66	85¢	$56	0xedf6d0…
06-12 14:55:51	will lionel messi score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833280	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd72802…
06-12 12:55:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x6eccb8…
06-12 12:50:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	537	98¢	$527	0x5876cd…
06-12 12:40:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x1d151d…
06-01 20:21:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x75bfbc…
06-01 12:28:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x03de4d…
05-28 17:14:22	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0xefac2c…
05-27 20:49:43	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?	No	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0xafbed1…
05-24 21:26:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x5786b6…
05-20 18:10:54	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x5cb287…
05-18 07:32:38	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7bed65…
05-17 23:01:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	91	74¢	$67	0x7df6bc…
05-16 15:33:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x493887…
05-15 20:45:22	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	262	79¢	$207	0x97988f…
05-15 20:44:28	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0x317b66…
05-15 20:43:28	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x64195b…
05-14 07:19:46	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	SELL	464	80¢	$371	0x185456…
05-13 09:31:40	Over $250M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9ead36…
05-11 04:43:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	79¢	$51	0xc292c5…
05-11 04:31:27	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x571626…
05-10 22:57:33	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x6dbe97…
05-09 17:29:46	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xc8ad69…
05-08 20:50:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x7c5aed…
05-08 20:06:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x3c46bb…
05-08 20:05:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	60	62¢	$37	0xbb7d44…
05-08 20:03:55	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x38bca2…
05-08 18:52:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xfe9d50…
05-08 18:50:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0x09a091…
05-07 15:38:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	194	62¢	$121	0xf003c2…
05-07 15:04:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$5	0x71d4a2…
05-07 14:56:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	201	71¢	$144	0xac40dc…
05-06 11:06:44	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0xc13e03…
05-06 11:06:40	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xccce3f…
05-05 23:57:16	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x43662c…
05-05 23:51:34	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb89986…
05-05 23:51:34	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x02dc1e…
05-05 23:50:46	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xfdaa7f…
05-05 23:50:06	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x203aeb…
05-05 22:30:20	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xca290c…
05-05 21:34:52	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbed7ce…
05-05 21:31:08	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x69cdeb…
05-05 17:23:12	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa59a21…
05-05 17:05:58	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdc7890…
05-05 14:12:34	Uber # of trips above 4.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xb0f1d9…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 14:12:06	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	531	100¢	$530	0x72e319…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x89996b…
05-05 14:10:58	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xbaa008…
05-05 02:34:26	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x779b9e…
05-05 02:22:06	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x885779…
05-05 02:04:42	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd12bf7…
05-05 01:21:30	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	64¢	$57	0xaf54e0…
05-05 00:07:18	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74a08c…
05-04 23:23:38	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf00f05…
05-04 22:38:36	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xbf1272…
05-04 21:35:48	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe2be8b…
05-04 21:18:04	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7a7a26…
05-04 21:09:58	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9100e1…
05-04 21:06:20	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc70ea0…
05-04 20:43:30	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ad872…
05-04 20:40:58	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbc4e08…
05-04 20:37:52	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf05f40…
05-04 20:35:10	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5d0fcf…
05-04 20:26:12	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x065d4b…
05-04 20:11:10	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb4067c…
05-04 20:00:54	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2b34b6…
05-04 19:59:14	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x681466…
05-04 19:58:36	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x52dcac…
05-04 19:53:00	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2c50e5…
05-04 19:50:32	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x595b3c…
05-04 19:45:28	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x730e54…
05-04 19:35:00	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8d516b…