Strict-Stopwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$146

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-0

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	10	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-02 03:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 06:37
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 02:40
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 02:09
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-14 09:12
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 01:43
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 07:44
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-14 05:34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-20 03:44
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-22 07:26
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-14 05:34
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	01-01 05:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:35
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 02:41
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 02:40
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 02:14
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 08:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 01:56
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 08:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 09:11
will turkiye join the board of peace	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-22 07:26
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 07:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 04:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-05 10:26
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-23 05:54
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:23
will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 01:43
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 01:03
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:03:26	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x92fecb…
05-21 01:01:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb1e6b8…
05-21 00:59:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf133c2…
05-21 00:56:03	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d04ba…
05-15 07:44:13	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c7d16…
05-15 07:43:44	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd6adf0…
05-15 07:42:46	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x22bdb1…
05-15 07:41:25	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x780e30…
05-14 03:08:24	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7f3988…
05-14 03:07:41	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3e4a49…
05-14 03:05:49	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4c25fe…
05-14 03:04:07	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0567a4…
05-06 02:47:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd62511…
05-06 02:47:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcddd7…
04-27 01:57:02	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8d1e14…
04-27 01:56:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab691d…
04-27 01:46:24	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcb5373…
04-27 01:42:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd10e62…
04-15 02:06:34	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x673143…
04-13 02:36:03	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xcbf4b4…
04-13 02:35:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfbfcc2…
04-13 02:35:21	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd90b0f…
04-07 07:04:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x385dda…
04-01 08:05:11	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa173f2…
04-01 08:04:55	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5312d6…
04-01 08:04:11	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x229604…
04-01 08:02:55	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d3090…
03-31 01:43:39	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37b7c5…
03-31 01:43:15	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaccede…
03-31 01:41:17	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf8fcf…
03-31 01:32:47	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa656a5…
03-31 01:32:15	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fba73…
03-28 02:23:09	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1908c7…
03-28 02:22:37	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa8bfa7…
03-27 02:06:59	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc8b5d5…
03-27 01:58:19	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d9ea2…
03-24 02:41:03	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24af01…
03-24 02:40:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8db645…
03-24 02:40:25	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x533329…
03-24 02:39:23	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3d9d9…
03-24 02:35:47	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15c65e…
03-23 03:00:57	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x935f41…
03-23 03:00:31	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x06269a…
03-23 03:00:23	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2a59b…
03-21 04:09:43	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x949565…
03-21 04:09:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe12a96…
03-21 04:08:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ef430…
03-21 04:07:15	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x265939…
03-20 03:45:11	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4ff3a9…
03-20 03:44:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6a0d91…
03-20 03:44:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcac817…
03-20 03:41:11	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x335d2b…
03-19 02:15:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x497c8b…
03-19 02:15:17	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc9dfd5…
03-19 02:14:11	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x43c58b…
03-19 02:03:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfd79cc…
03-19 02:01:55	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6705bc…
03-17 02:34:43	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6121cf…
03-14 09:12:01	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x324512…
03-14 09:11:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa9185…
03-14 09:10:57	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdebb43…
03-14 09:10:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1377f2…
03-11 07:41:27	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe88d2d…
03-11 07:41:09	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9f430…
03-11 07:40:37	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7af023…
03-11 07:39:59	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6811ec…
03-09 06:47:17	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xf8e3e9…
03-09 06:46:43	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65e274…
03-09 06:46:21	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b1b25…
03-09 06:45:11	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5c7842…
03-05 10:26:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd1b2b…
03-05 10:24:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e53c3…
02-27 07:38:35	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa6a737…
02-27 07:36:11	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x31aee2…
02-23 05:54:32	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd08d41…
02-23 05:54:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdf55af…
02-23 05:51:26	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xca7341…
02-23 05:46:30	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9c73e5…
02-18 06:38:04	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 28	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x108058…
02-18 06:37:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x163e7c…
02-18 06:36:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3b640a…
02-18 06:34:42	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x059b25…
02-12 07:22:55	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x7ac074…
02-12 07:22:47	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x272686…
02-12 07:22:05	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x41a912…
02-12 07:20:59	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x359f14…
02-09 06:19:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x96e4b7…
02-09 06:16:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf080b6…
02-03 02:24:56	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xad3f6f…
02-03 02:20:32	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x171f2a…
02-02 03:15:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac6689…
02-02 03:15:32	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x00ae43…
02-02 03:14:50	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf58a67…
02-02 03:14:18	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcb4b5…
02-02 03:12:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d3fe6…
01-31 02:31:08	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1177f5…
01-31 02:24:38	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe6476a…
01-30 02:29:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3bbbd6…
01-30 02:27:32	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4f9d19…
01-30 02:26:08	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe9c340…