Shocked-Volunteer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

234

Trades

339

lifetime

Volume

$6.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-30 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 83% -$138

Politics

16% 83% -$23

Other

12% 69% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+13	$12	99¢	$13	+$1	08-30 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 20 11am et	2	$239	122	122	+0	Down	+$6	01-20 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$167	101	101	+0	No	+$26	04-25 19:18
bitcoin up or down january 20 8am et	2	$163	83	83	+0	Down	+$3	01-20 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	2	$159	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$154	84	84	+0	No	+$5	05-06 07:58
bitcoin up or down january 20 6am et	2	$149	77	77	+0	Down	+$5	01-20 12:10
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$140	71	71	+0	No	+$1	04-21 10:40
bitcoin up or down january 20 5am et	2	$134	68	68	+0	Up	+$1	01-20 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:15 UTC	3	$133	74	74	+1	Up	+$15	01-09 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 11:30 UTC	3	$131	372	0	+372	Down	-$131	01-10 11:44
bitcoin up or down january 20 3pm et	2	$128	144	0	+144	Up	-$128	01-20 20:55
bitcoin up or down january 20 3am et	2	$117	59	59	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 09:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 10:00 UTC	2	$115	133	0	+133	Up	-$7	01-10 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 10:15 UTC	2	$114	124	0	+124	Up	-$24	01-10 10:30
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$111	59	59	+0	No	+$5	04-30 04:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:15 UTC	2	$110	116	0	+116	Down	+$6	01-20 16:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$108	65	65	+0	Yes	+$21	04-08 04:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:15 UTC	1	$106	108	0	+108	Up	+$2	01-20 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:00 UTC	2	$100	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	01-09 21:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$100	62	45	+17	Yes	-$16	05-07 16:01
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:30 UTC	2	$100	126	0	+126	Down	+$26	01-10 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:00 UTC	1	$95	106	0	+106	Down	+$11	01-20 15:07
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	2	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$1	01-20 05:56
bitcoin up or down january 19 2pm et	2	$92	46	46	+0	Up	+$0	01-19 20:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:15 UTC	1	$88	96	0	+96	Down	+$8	01-20 14:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$84	51	51	+0	Yes	+$4	03-30 06:22
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:00 UTC	2	$83	44	44	+0	Up	+$3	01-10 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:00 UTC	1	$83	88	0	+88	Up	+$5	01-20 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:00 UTC	1	$77	79	0	+79	Up	+$3	01-20 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:15 UTC	2	$75	97	0	+97	Down	+$22	01-10 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 14:27:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x28e836…
08-30 14:24:51	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x732796…
07-14 14:04:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x40ba2b…
07-14 13:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x138f2a…
07-14 13:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fa2e4…
07-14 13:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x406808…
07-14 12:14:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x31bc90…
07-14 07:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9cfbf4…
07-14 07:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x90ade8…
07-14 06:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x56291b…
07-14 04:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc67016…
07-13 20:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7a715b…
07-13 19:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2abab4…
07-13 19:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe971cd…
07-13 19:04:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf575d5…
07-13 18:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x596cb8…
07-13 18:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e7ec6…
07-13 15:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaaee2c…
07-13 15:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x348220…
07-13 15:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9fa805…
07-13 15:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3bf590…
07-13 14:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd3e90c…
07-13 07:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7ea36a…
07-12 19:04:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf2e528…
06-14 06:35:03	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9d0f2a…
06-14 06:32:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x30624d…
06-14 06:27:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbe62dd…
06-14 06:27:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2eacc0…
06-14 06:27:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb20784…
06-14 06:20:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7ca6a3…
06-14 06:16:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8a827c…
06-14 05:49:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0147bc…
06-14 05:44:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7fe6aa…
06-14 05:43:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8c2059…
06-14 05:40:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x24dd3e…
06-14 05:37:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x683a58…
06-14 05:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x0d6992…
06-14 05:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x64a823…
06-13 22:01:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x29e66e…
06-13 22:00:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xaaef32…
06-13 21:57:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ee1e5…
06-13 21:57:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x8db166…
06-13 21:56:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x84c572…
06-13 21:55:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x25d4e9…
06-13 21:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb5e406…
06-13 21:51:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe3656a…
06-13 21:50:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xf6583b…
06-13 21:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x727ad0…
06-13 21:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeba6c6…
06-13 21:46:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf37db0…
06-13 21:37:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce48f1…
06-13 21:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa2165e…
06-13 21:29:16	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x86789d…
06-11 04:34:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9bfe62…
05-26 05:28:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x26c436…
05-18 18:21:16	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xacfc91…
05-18 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x313aba…
05-18 13:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xba9015…
05-18 12:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2437f6…
05-18 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x68cdf9…
05-18 10:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb477fc…
05-18 10:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa38531…
05-18 10:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xeb3e3c…
05-18 10:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x7fa2f0…
05-18 10:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe959a0…
05-18 10:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4d490a…
05-18 09:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6ca9b9…
05-18 05:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6b5254…
05-18 05:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x50a30a…
05-18 05:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x73b847…
05-18 05:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf033bc…
05-18 05:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3c336b…
05-18 04:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf958b9…
05-18 04:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8ad7c7…
05-18 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x84dc80…
05-18 04:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xda93c8…
05-17 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc528d0…
05-17 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa23311…
05-17 19:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x270e58…
05-17 19:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5cac3d…
05-17 19:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5434b4…
05-17 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb70b41…
05-17 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x97d52b…
05-17 17:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd6dab1…
05-17 17:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x207e0e…
05-17 15:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb8f3ab…
05-17 15:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdd629f…
05-17 15:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3d1de8…
05-17 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd125a7…
05-17 15:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4f5aa…
05-17 07:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6a26d8…
05-16 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe9cdfa…
05-16 19:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9585d4…
05-16 19:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfc8ce5…
05-16 11:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0cec50…
05-16 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2b65da…
05-16 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1bc620…
05-15 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x958e96…
05-15 20:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa166c5…
05-15 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x50b372…