Optimal-Premium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-03 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% $-3

Other

1% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1776780000	4	$78	62	60	+2	open	—	04-21 14:07
xrp updown 15m 1777010400	2	$50	38	37	+1	open	—	04-24 06:04
xrp updown 15m 1772689500	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	03-05 05:44
xrp updown 15m 1772679600	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 02:56
btc updown 15m 1772681400	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 03:27
xrp updown 15m 1772622000	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-04 10:53
sol updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:53
btc updown 15m 1772671500	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 00:41
eth updown 15m 1772682300	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 03:39
btc updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:52
eth updown 15m 1772670600	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 00:27
eth updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:51
sol updown 15m 1772677800	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 02:22
xrp updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:50
xrp updown 15m 1772625600	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	03-04 11:56
xrp updown 15m 1772670600	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-05 00:27
eth updown 15m 1772622000	2	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-04 11:02
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 09:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 00:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 02:04
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 06:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	$-0	04-16 02:33
sol updown 15m 1772622000	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 10:56
btc updown 15m 1772666100	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	03-04 23:09
btc updown 15m 1772622000	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-04 10:56
xrp updown 15m 1780887600	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	06-08 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 22:45:43	btc updown 15m 1783119600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x013a70…
07-03 21:43:37	xrp updown 15m 1783116000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbe3598…
07-03 14:59:50	xrp updown 15m 1783089900	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xac7769…
07-03 14:42:38	xrp updown 15m 1783089900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x506e47…
07-03 14:11:08	btc updown 15m 1783087200	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8e0334…
07-03 13:58:55	btc updown 15m 1783086300	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf945c5…
07-03 13:58:55	btc updown 15m 1783086300	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x78a685…
07-03 13:55:53	btc updown 15m 1783087200	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd4460d…
07-03 13:31:17	btc updown 15m 1783086300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5bfdf7…
07-03 10:56:04	btc updown 15m 1783075500	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xea58d5…
07-03 10:35:25	btc updown 15m 1783075500	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea3d6f…
06-30 09:14:49	xrp updown 15m 1782810000	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x01d44f…
06-30 09:14:46	xrp updown 15m 1782810000	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2c654b…
06-30 08:45:44	xrp updown 15m 1782810000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xed1772…
06-26 11:00:49	btc updown 15m 1782472500	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4c8af8…
06-26 08:38:25	eth updown 15m 1782464400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x969363…
06-23 05:58:53	sol updown 15m 1782195300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd226a7…
06-23 05:58:31	sol updown 15m 1782194400	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa35561…
06-23 05:14:53	eth updown 15m 1782190800	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xc1d18f…
06-23 05:14:41	eth updown 15m 1782190800	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd49f08…
06-23 04:54:50	eth updown 15m 1782191700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9d401d…
06-23 04:54:20	eth updown 15m 1782190800	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x70567f…
06-23 04:44:17	btc updown 15m 1782189900	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9e5190…
06-23 02:58:53	btc updown 15m 1782184500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe14bb…
06-23 02:58:37	btc updown 15m 1782183600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x489f12…
06-23 02:58:26	btc updown 15m 1782183600	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7588ed…
06-23 02:58:25	btc updown 15m 1782183600	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1f6986…
06-20 23:05:47	btc updown 15m 1781997300	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x606936…
06-16 12:56:18	btc updown 15m 1781613900	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xa2fd60…
06-16 12:54:27	xrp updown 15m 1781613900	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0xd0e40a…
06-16 12:54:24	xrp updown 15m 1781613900	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x86cc4b…
06-16 12:44:03	eth updown 15m 1781613000	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x2cf89d…
06-16 12:26:43	xrp updown 15m 1781613900	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa5520c…
06-16 12:20:00	eth updown 15m 1781613000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x63e6ea…
06-16 12:17:19	btc updown 15m 1781613900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x32f967…
06-16 12:14:40	sol updown 15m 1781613000	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x35d1bb…
06-16 12:12:19	eth updown 15m 1781611200	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0af947…
06-16 12:11:48	btc updown 15m 1781611200	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb4c27a…
06-16 12:06:28	sol updown 15m 1781611200	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x499999…
06-16 12:05:39	eth updown 15m 1781611200	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x03d4b3…
06-16 12:05:03	btc updown 15m 1781611200	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x02aa78…
06-13 02:26:06	btc updown 15m 1781316900	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x48a999…
06-08 03:45:52	xrp updown 15m 1780890300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x17e5e0…
06-08 03:28:48	xrp updown 15m 1780889400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f5066…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfc8604…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe41399…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x652eb1…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41d700…
06-08 03:14:31	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b66f5…
06-08 03:11:21	xrp updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf6a0ff…
06-08 03:02:58	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x008081…
06-06 00:09:40	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0ae733…
06-06 00:09:34	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa96dd7…
06-05 23:55:39	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcdae82…
05-30 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb28e8a…
05-30 11:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x650f0b…
05-25 23:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfc4f2d…
05-25 23:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x27562f…
05-25 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xa43afe…
05-25 22:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x93a80d…
05-25 22:58:07	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6cf43f…
05-25 08:54:48	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x945b67…
05-25 08:08:20	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x676805…
05-25 06:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xb0b4d1…
05-25 06:32:45	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xa2cab5…
05-25 06:25:47	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe101b6…
05-25 06:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x52c5ca…
05-25 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x04c826…
05-25 04:12:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x43321a…
05-25 02:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x9637c9…
05-25 01:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x91c06b…
05-25 01:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x44b9d2…
05-25 01:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d09f3…
05-25 01:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5baf04…
05-25 01:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x886dfe…
05-25 01:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2eb08f…
05-25 01:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9cf89f…
05-21 09:14:57	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb9807e…
05-21 08:56:52	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb8cbaf…
05-21 08:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59c871…
05-13 00:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x6e8877…
05-13 00:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x832982…
05-09 05:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x140e48…
05-09 05:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc938be…
05-09 05:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a344f…
05-09 04:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38e5ec…
05-09 04:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5ebbe0…
05-09 03:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xffa5d3…
05-09 03:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6016b2…
05-09 03:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x70d57e…
05-02 00:14:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0f4547…
04-24 06:04:26	xrp updown 15m 1777010400	Down	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x853935…
04-24 05:53:40	xrp updown 15m 1777010400	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xafc6ea…
04-21 14:07:36	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x2beb46…
04-21 13:58:44	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x76eba7…
04-21 13:57:56	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc12bef…
04-21 13:57:54	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x741cd7…
04-21 13:51:16	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x2ea9fd…
04-16 02:34:06	btc updown 15m 1776307500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8fd8d…
04-16 02:33:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xead8a4…