Optimal-Premium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-13 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% $-3

Other

2% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1776780000	4	$78	62	60	+2	open	—	04-21 14:07
xrp updown 15m 1777010400	2	$50	38	37	+1	open	—	04-24 06:04
xrp updown 15m 1772679600	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 02:56
xrp updown 15m 1772689500	1	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	03-05 05:44
btc updown 15m 1772681400	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 03:27
xrp updown 15m 1772622000	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-04 10:53
eth updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:51
eth updown 15m 1772670600	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 00:27
eth updown 15m 1772682300	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 03:39
sol updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:53
btc updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:52
sol updown 15m 1772677800	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 02:22
btc updown 15m 1772671500	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-05 00:41
xrp updown 15m 1772625600	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	03-04 11:56
xrp updown 15m 1772676000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 01:50
xrp updown 15m 1772670600	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-05 00:27
eth updown 15m 1772622000	2	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-04 11:02
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 09:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 00:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 02:04
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 23:14
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 06:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	$-0	04-16 02:33
sol updown 15m 1772622000	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 10:56
btc updown 15m 1772666100	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	03-04 23:09
btc updown 15m 1772622000	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-04 10:56
xrp updown 15m 1780887600	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	06-08 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:26:06	btc updown 15m 1781316900	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x48a999…
06-08 03:45:52	xrp updown 15m 1780890300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x17e5e0…
06-08 03:28:48	xrp updown 15m 1780889400	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f5066…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfc8604…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe41399…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x652eb1…
06-08 03:14:34	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41d700…
06-08 03:14:31	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b66f5…
06-08 03:11:21	xrp updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf6a0ff…
06-08 03:02:58	xrp updown 15m 1780887600	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x008081…
06-06 00:09:40	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0ae733…
06-06 00:09:34	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa96dd7…
06-05 23:55:39	btc updown 15m 1780704000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcdae82…
05-30 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb28e8a…
05-30 11:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x650f0b…
05-25 23:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfc4f2d…
05-25 23:14:12	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x27562f…
05-25 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xa43afe…
05-25 22:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x93a80d…
05-25 22:58:07	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6cf43f…
05-25 08:54:48	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x945b67…
05-25 08:08:20	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x676805…
05-25 06:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xb0b4d1…
05-25 06:32:45	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xa2cab5…
05-25 06:25:47	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe101b6…
05-25 06:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x52c5ca…
05-25 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x04c826…
05-25 04:12:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x43321a…
05-25 02:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x9637c9…
05-25 01:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x91c06b…
05-25 01:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x44b9d2…
05-25 01:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d09f3…
05-25 01:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5baf04…
05-25 01:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x886dfe…
05-25 01:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2eb08f…
05-25 01:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9cf89f…
05-21 09:14:57	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb9807e…
05-21 08:56:52	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb8cbaf…
05-21 08:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59c871…
05-13 00:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x6e8877…
05-13 00:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x832982…
05-09 05:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x140e48…
05-09 05:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc938be…
05-09 05:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a344f…
05-09 04:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x38e5ec…
05-09 04:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5ebbe0…
05-09 03:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xffa5d3…
05-09 03:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6016b2…
05-09 03:16:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x70d57e…
05-02 00:14:10	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0f4547…
04-24 06:04:26	xrp updown 15m 1777010400	Down	SELL	37	80¢	$30	0x853935…
04-24 05:53:40	xrp updown 15m 1777010400	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xafc6ea…
04-21 14:07:36	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x2beb46…
04-21 13:58:44	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x76eba7…
04-21 13:57:56	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc12bef…
04-21 13:57:54	sol updown 15m 1776780000	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x741cd7…
04-21 13:51:16	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x2ea9fd…
04-16 02:34:06	btc updown 15m 1776307500	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8fd8d…
04-16 02:33:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xead8a4…
04-11 05:24:49	eth updown 15m 1775885400	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0f0b20…
03-19 02:20:51	eth updown 15m 1773886500	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x110809…
03-14 16:11:23	sol updown 15m 1773504900	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc1aa53…
03-05 07:47:37	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xb0c07a…
03-05 07:45:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x41ef99…
03-05 05:44:21	xrp updown 15m 1772689500	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xffec4a…
03-05 03:39:49	eth updown 15m 1772682300	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1057dc…
03-05 03:27:41	btc updown 15m 1772681400	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd95eb0…
03-05 03:13:47	eth updown 15m 1772680500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8f6d06…
03-05 02:59:41	sol updown 15m 1772679600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d953b…
03-05 02:56:55	xrp updown 15m 1772679600	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x9c6555…
03-05 02:28:11	btc updown 15m 1772677800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdc16c7…
03-05 02:25:27	xrp updown 15m 1772677800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c3b1a…
03-05 02:24:53	eth updown 5m 1772677500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25d551…
03-05 02:22:41	sol updown 15m 1772677800	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x40b73b…
03-05 01:53:11	sol updown 15m 1772676000	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x331c99…
03-05 01:52:11	btc updown 15m 1772676000	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xe097a0…
03-05 01:51:11	eth updown 15m 1772676000	Up	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xb76e55…
03-05 01:50:05	xrp updown 15m 1772676000	Up	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0x16f5d6…
03-05 01:13:35	eth updown 15m 1772673300	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x505455…
03-05 01:13:19	btc updown 15m 1772673300	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5cd062…
03-05 00:56:07	xrp updown 15m 1772672400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf2c3a6…
03-05 00:41:47	btc updown 15m 1772671500	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x93d5e3…
03-05 00:27:47	xrp updown 15m 1772670600	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x3f9589…
03-05 00:27:29	eth updown 15m 1772670600	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x5c5572…
03-04 23:56:11	sol updown 15m 1772668800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1d03d8…
03-04 23:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1772667000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc3b6c9…
03-04 23:29:45	eth updown 15m 1772667000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x245a5c…
03-04 23:29:31	btc updown 15m 1772667000	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x570824…
03-04 23:09:49	btc updown 15m 1772666100	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5419c8…
03-04 23:06:43	sol updown 15m 1772665200	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc50ab5…
03-04 13:16:43	btc updown 15m 1772630100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4d5f8e…
03-04 13:09:19	xrp updown 15m 1772630100	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x83e414…
03-04 13:08:53	sol updown 15m 1772630100	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0493da…
03-04 13:08:25	eth updown 15m 1772630100	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6d00d1…
03-04 13:08:05	btc updown 15m 1772630100	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa08f09…
03-04 11:59:05	btc updown 15m 1772625600	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe17269…
03-04 11:56:53	xrp updown 15m 1772625600	Up	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0x27c6a3…
03-04 11:02:31	eth updown 15m 1772622000	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1290bd…
03-04 10:56:57	btc updown 15m 1772622000	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7bb333…
03-04 10:56:03	sol updown 15m 1772622000	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb563d7…