Optimal-Premium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

271

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-02 06:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% +$243

Other

1% 75% +$13

Sports

0% 50% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 14:00 UTC	4	$78	62	60	+2	Down	+$15	04-21 14:07
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 00:15 UTC	5	$65	56	56	+0	Up	+$17	08-07 00:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 06:00 UTC	2	$50	38	37	+1	Down	+$11	04-24 06:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 21:15 UTC	2	$43	34	34	+0	Up	+$19	08-04 21:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC	5	$37	25	25	+0	Down	+$11	08-06 01:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 02:15 UTC	2	$37	26	26	+0	Down	+$13	08-06 02:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 23:00 UTC	7	$36	58	24	+34	Down	-$12	08-06 23:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:15 UTC	2	$36	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	08-05 20:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	2	$36	24	24	+0	Down	+$12	08-07 04:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	2	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	08-07 08:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:00 UTC	2	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	08-07 05:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 08:30 UTC	3	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	08-05 08:41
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 18:45 UTC	2	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	08-04 18:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	6	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	08-07 08:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	6	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	08-07 03:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	4	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$11	08-07 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	2	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	08-07 08:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 23:15 UTC	8	$35	24	23	+0	Up	+$11	08-05 23:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:45 UTC	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	08-05 20:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	6	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	08-07 05:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 22:15 UTC	3	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$10	08-04 22:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 07:15 UTC	4	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	08-06 07:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 06:30 UTC	7	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-05 06:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	2	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-07 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 22:00 UTC	2	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-04 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	3	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-05 00:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:45 UTC	2	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-07 03:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 22:15 UTC	3	$34	23	23	+0	Down	+$10	08-06 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	4	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-07 07:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 19:30 UTC	6	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	08-04 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x359483…
10-24 02:56:32	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x403dde…
10-15 13:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xead57c…
10-07 01:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x32bb7c…
10-07 00:58:03	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xf6334c…
10-07 00:29:31	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x755693…
09-26 21:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe76e25…
09-26 21:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xa9eb1f…
09-26 21:27:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfe0218…
09-19 11:44:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x156012…
09-19 11:30:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6422de…
09-19 11:13:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe25e83…
09-13 01:30:33	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5b430a…
09-05 01:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x47a877…
09-05 01:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5fb66d…
08-20 22:55:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x76672b…
08-20 22:53:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xaa8520…
08-20 22:41:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8aa8d2…
08-07 08:59:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xb5792e…
08-07 08:59:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xec6ef4…
08-07 08:42:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb0b981…
08-07 08:41:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1e4e54…
08-07 08:41:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x27b3da…
08-07 08:41:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x697c06…
08-07 08:41:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x594c7a…
08-07 08:41:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x106932…
08-07 08:34:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xab628c…
08-07 08:29:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xf789b3…
08-07 08:29:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x9295e8…
08-07 08:27:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x63056b…
08-07 08:25:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x9b034d…
08-07 08:14:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xb7af6a…
08-07 08:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x8cc1ae…
08-07 08:01:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xebd797…
08-07 08:00:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe6387f…
08-07 07:58:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x574cb9…
08-07 07:56:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe04ee1…
08-07 07:56:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x614a73…
08-07 07:56:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5e652b…
08-07 07:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xbcf445…
08-07 07:30:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xcd341f…
08-07 07:30:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x057580…
08-07 07:29:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xadfa5d…
08-07 07:29:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4b05a7…
08-07 07:29:54	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xe2f071…
08-07 07:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xfc4672…
08-07 07:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x74bbae…
08-07 07:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x41ca2d…
08-07 07:15:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6b4ad1…
08-07 07:14:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x28e920…
08-07 07:14:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x42867e…
08-07 07:13:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x66a896…
08-07 06:40:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xe2dfcb…
08-07 06:31:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x0e1036…
08-07 06:16:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbf2833…
08-07 06:16:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x1ce5d1…
08-07 06:14:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdbcbff…
08-07 05:54:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbfbcfe…
08-07 05:54:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x084efc…
08-07 05:51:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf4cc0c…
08-07 05:43:27	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb9e05f…
08-07 05:42:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xcbafe1…
08-07 05:42:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5c529…
08-07 05:42:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e052c…
08-07 05:40:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xaf71a2…
08-07 05:40:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9481f6…
08-07 05:31:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xdb55a2…
08-07 05:29:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x17b3a5…
08-07 05:25:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3d2ea0…
08-07 05:25:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa24668…
08-07 05:25:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2698e6…
08-07 05:24:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xeab334…
08-07 05:24:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbac3f6…
08-07 05:14:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x237520…
08-07 05:12:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x989830…
08-07 05:10:58	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x8bd0c0…
08-07 05:00:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xa0fa4c…
08-07 04:59:12	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x93ca0c…
08-07 04:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xbf1b61…
08-07 04:52:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	24	96¢	$24	0x309c25…
08-07 04:45:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x16c021…
08-07 04:43:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x8da190…
08-07 04:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xd61e09…
08-07 04:00:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x11454a…
08-07 03:58:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x12a6a6…
08-07 03:29:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf28bc…
08-07 03:29:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x996682…
08-07 03:29:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x7de297…
08-07 03:29:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1899c7…
08-07 03:29:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5434f5…
08-07 03:13:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xb32c41…
08-07 03:00:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa83e85…
08-07 03:00:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xb40fa0…
08-07 02:44:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xfab980…
08-07 02:43:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x7ae7b6…
08-07 02:09:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xfc53bc…
08-07 01:59:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x3405e1…
08-07 01:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x747113…
08-07 01:15:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x96816f…
08-07 01:14:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x0de768…