Jaunty-Media — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

37% 75% +$2

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	5	$546	280	279	+1	open	—	03-28 22:45
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	5	$514	263	263	+0	open	—	04-28 02:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	4	$514	266	262	+4	No	+$1	05-08 08:11
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	7	$496	261	261	+0	open	—	03-31 18:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$459	238	238	+0	No	$-0	05-09 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$457	336	336	+0	open	—	05-10 17:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	7	$427	217	217	+0	open	—	04-30 18:45
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$299	394	394	+0	open	—	04-12 10:03
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	9	$298	607	607	+0	open	—	04-22 09:44
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	2	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	03-27 21:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	2	$275	141	141	+0	open	—	04-02 22:51
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$275	142	142	+0	open	—	04-10 19:30
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 29 2026	2	$275	140	140	+0	open	—	03-31 15:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	2	$273	139	139	+0	open	—	04-02 14:37
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	2	$270	138	138	+0	open	—	03-25 17:59
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$269	241	241	+0	open	—	03-25 11:36
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$267	387	387	+0	open	—	04-27 02:11
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	7	$266	336	335	+1	open	—	03-28 04:40
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	04-30 15:00
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	3	$255	130	130	+0	open	—	03-30 05:36
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$255	131	131	+0	open	—	04-24 12:21
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$254	130	130	+0	open	—	04-23 23:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$253	129	129	+0	open	—	03-30 16:11
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$252	131	131	+0	open	—	04-03 17:39
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	04-05 05:02
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	4	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	03-27 14:34
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$250	127	127	+0	open	—	04-09 20:39
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$250	129	129	+0	open	—	04-05 11:01
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$248	126	126	+0	open	—	04-10 04:05
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	4	$248	130	130	+0	open	—	03-26 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:28:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x2cafb0…
05-13 02:00:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x102712…
05-13 00:37:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x0c24d3…
05-12 17:27:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	219	5¢	$12	0xfe2808…
05-12 17:27:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0xcb6781…
05-12 17:27:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0xbf2909…
05-12 17:27:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$4	0x427e3e…
05-12 12:17:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	415	6¢	$23	0x853989…
05-10 17:02:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x48351c…
05-10 12:32:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xf41261…
05-09 18:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xeff6c5…
05-09 18:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$97	0x021c02…
05-09 14:34:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	116	96¢	$112	0xa27ca6…
05-09 14:34:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4f5c09…
05-09 10:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0x216907…
05-09 08:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x89571d…
05-09 08:02:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x1ce805…
05-09 04:57:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x637f93…
05-09 01:31:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x02c0eb…
05-08 13:51:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xf04aab…
05-08 13:51:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x864c90…
05-08 13:51:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x5e0f86…
05-08 10:17:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$111	0xad8c83…
05-08 08:11:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0xe14441…
05-08 07:01:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$130	0xf641d8…
05-08 02:14:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0xd96e8c…
05-08 00:19:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x80e845…
05-07 03:14:15	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	264	1¢	$2	0x3ab012…
05-06 22:26:49	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	264	2¢	$4	0xc93c8e…
05-06 17:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xdbd597…
05-06 17:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	105	94¢	$99	0xc5ad9d…
05-06 12:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0x8058e5…
04-30 18:45:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0xdbf020…
04-30 18:45:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x1674a1…
04-30 15:14:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x44f9e7…
04-30 15:14:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x290434…
04-30 15:00:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x46c083…
04-30 12:14:06	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0xf4ac54…
04-29 14:32:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xc3c1a5…
04-29 14:32:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0xa6218e…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$94	0x1c9f17…
04-28 02:08:28	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1e34cc…
04-28 02:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x911f74…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x755cdf…
04-27 19:59:08	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	115	1¢	$2	0xe15c21…
04-27 18:46:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x794587…
04-27 18:46:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x681399…
04-27 18:46:20	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5f0f55…
04-27 08:07:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xa5436d…
04-27 06:16:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x675869…
04-27 03:07:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xdf6f99…
04-27 03:07:20	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	81	97¢	$78	0x1227eb…
04-27 02:11:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$3	0xb11fb8…
04-27 02:11:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x557fc4…
04-26 22:08:12	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$3	0x09f2b1…
04-26 11:11:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$124	0x42e8fc…
04-26 08:14:32	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x33230f…
04-25 20:33:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x2fb5b3…
04-25 15:41:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$2	0x0ffba6…
04-25 08:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x2db05f…
04-25 08:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x28c7f4…
04-25 05:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe6a065…
04-25 05:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x182ed8…
04-25 01:59:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd6a050…
04-25 01:59:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xc5504a…
04-25 01:59:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x3c97d2…
04-24 22:20:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x9d52dc…
04-24 16:13:48	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$2	0x7a8620…
04-24 14:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x83a669…
04-24 14:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x807c8e…
04-24 14:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x0da8d7…
04-24 12:21:24	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x83f8cb…
04-24 10:32:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0x88b346…
04-24 05:17:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	315	2¢	$6	0x63fbf0…
04-24 01:44:14	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	2¢	$6	0xb1ca8a…
04-23 23:59:12	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x345502…
04-23 21:30:26	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x30728d…
04-23 15:15:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xceba93…
04-23 12:38:14	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x8c7aff…
04-23 08:34:48	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x5676d5…
04-22 20:23:08	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x992760…
04-22 20:22:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	5¢	$9	0xe434f7…
04-22 20:22:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0xb7b343…
04-22 20:22:28	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0x94e005…
04-22 18:23:04	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	6¢	$20	0x48df07…
04-22 14:41:12	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x747460…
04-22 14:41:12	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x27e5ef…
04-22 09:49:46	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xffb3d1…
04-22 09:49:46	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	114	2¢	$2	0x59cf6b…
04-22 09:44:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0x8f2be2…
04-22 09:44:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x64ffe0…
04-22 09:44:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	4¢	$8	0x44bb5b…
04-22 03:56:46	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	4¢	$14	0x7f65b6…
04-21 16:49:22	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	4¢	$6	0x5c1318…
04-21 15:16:32	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x782dc6…
04-21 15:16:32	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$5	0x20fc08…
04-21 13:12:14	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	135	96¢	$130	0x79b8a2…
04-21 10:21:28	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0xed9a88…
04-21 07:17:46	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	136	96¢	$130	0xd034dc…
04-21 04:55:02	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0x4a3e49…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	69	$577.2K	10,381	06-07 21:47
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	63	$256.4K	16,941	06-09 21:23
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	63	$46.0K	9,302	05-07 02:04
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	62	$243.6K	17,950	05-04 10:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	61	$60.2K	684	05-14 20:17
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	60	$407.1K	4,590	06-08 10:19
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	57	$9.69K	3,398	05-11 21:11
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	55	$17.2K	6,988	04-25 16:22