Memorable-Fringe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$561

Open exposure

$258

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-04 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 89% +$62

Other

30% 75% +$9

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No		+264	$260	98¢	$258	-$2	11-04 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$3.3K	1,656	1,656	+0	No	+$2	03-28 10:14
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$2.7K	1,356	1,356	+0	No	+$3	05-28 10:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.7K	1,353	1,353	+0	No	-$1	04-10 20:14
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,304	1,304	+0	No	+$3	06-17 12:04
will solana dip to 20 in july 2026	2	$2.3K	1,162	1,162	+0	No	+$1	07-25 01:22
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	4	$2.1K	1,353	774	+579	No	+$5	04-29 02:49
will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	1	$1.4K	1,396	0	+1,396	No	+$26	09-06 16:06
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$1.4K	1,374	0	+1,374	No	+$4	08-02 16:55
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$1.3K	1,347	0	+1,347	No	+$1	03-28 10:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$1.3K	1,306	0	+1,306	No	+$3	05-28 10:18
will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	2	$1.3K	633	633	+0	No	+$2	03-24 19:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$1.3K	1,261	0	+1,261	No	+$3	06-21 05:19
will solana reach 110 in july 2026	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	No	+$5	07-25 01:25
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$811	406	406	+0	No	$0	03-24 19:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$700	702	0	+702	No	+$2	04-14 04:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$621	311	311	+0	No	+$0	02-27 01:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$603	604	0	+604	Yes	+$1	02-27 01:35
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$601	302	302	+0	No	+$1	03-11 19:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-28 10:16
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$600	301	301	+0	No	+$0	03-17 09:27
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	$0	02-27 01:32
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$324	162	162	+0	No	+$0	05-28 10:16
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$305	305	0	+305	No	+$0	03-14 10:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	1	$260	264	0	+264	open	—	11-04 15:30
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$214	107	107	+0	No	+$0	03-17 09:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	10-06 19:25
will solana dip to 50 in july 2026	1	$200	206	0	+206	No	+$6	07-05 22:37
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$191	97	97	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 05:28
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	06-21 05:37
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-17 09:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:30:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?	No	BUY	264	98¢	$260	0x51c10c…
10-06 19:25:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x0d7d2a…
10-06 19:22:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x18ac44…
09-06 16:06:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	1,396	98¢	$1,370	0xe8af97…
08-02 16:55:59	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	1,374	100¢	$1,370	0x4be12c…
07-25 01:29:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x174a02…
07-25 01:25:27	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,100	0x14c4e5…
07-25 01:22:52	will solana dip to 20 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,162	100¢	$1,161	0xf50441…
07-05 22:38:25	will solana dip to 20 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,162	100¢	$1,160	0x1a63b4…
07-05 22:37:50	will solana dip to 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x900121…
06-21 05:37:50	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4da3a1…
06-21 05:28:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0xfedc84…
06-21 05:21:41	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x94f537…
06-21 05:19:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,261	100¢	$1,258	0xc3fdcd…
06-17 12:04:34	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,304	100¢	$1,303	0xb0bca2…
06-04 04:56:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,304	100¢	$1,300	0x39a457…
05-31 23:01:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x58c579…
05-28 10:21:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x5fc42e…
05-28 10:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,306	100¢	$1,303	0xcd5eb8…
05-28 10:16:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	871	100¢	$870	0x0cc2a5…
05-28 10:16:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xd3231d…
05-28 10:16:14	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x02d5c9…
05-17 11:23:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6a9d11…
05-17 11:21:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x6ce8a1…
05-08 10:34:13	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x3419d9…
05-08 10:33:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0xb4981a…
05-02 20:10:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,356	100¢	$1,351	0x7083c1…
04-29 02:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xa0725a…
04-29 02:49:56	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0x90c8d4…
04-14 04:35:41	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$700	0x77f004…
04-13 18:59:23	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	703	100¢	$700	0xe89508…
04-10 20:55:33	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	650	99¢	$646	0x64f09c…
04-10 20:16:11	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	703	100¢	$700	0x2bfdc5…
04-10 20:14:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,353	99¢	$1,346	0x132002…
04-04 20:35:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,353	100¢	$1,347	0x68fec4…
03-28 10:17:53	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	1,347	100¢	$1,345	0xf11656…
03-28 10:14:05	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,348	100¢	$1,346	0x93c399…
03-24 19:20:31	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,348	100¢	$1,345	0xa99da2…
03-24 19:18:57	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0x214c78…
03-24 19:18:45	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	406	100¢	$405	0xa88877…
03-24 19:18:23	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	SELL	633	100¢	$632	0x38fb76…
03-22 02:32:03	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	406	100¢	$405	0x4f16b4…
03-17 09:30:33	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	309	99¢	$307	0x01ead7…
03-17 09:28:45	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8dc502…
03-17 09:27:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x4168a0…
03-17 09:27:01	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xe929fe…
03-14 10:39:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x4395f1…
03-11 19:39:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0xe45b9f…
03-10 19:31:49	will silver si hit high 200 by end of march	No	BUY	633	100¢	$630	0x0c3904…
03-04 03:47:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	302	100¢	$300	0x8ded92…
03-04 03:47:35	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x0f1948…
03-04 03:46:33	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xd9697b…
02-27 01:35:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0x820efc…
02-27 01:32:40	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe90848…
02-27 01:32:34	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	311	100¢	$311	0x8f4ecf…
02-22 07:08:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x8feaad…
02-22 07:07:34	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x478724…