Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

191

Trades

929

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-02 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

66% 2% -$643

Politics

22% 0% -$301

Sports

5% 0% -$22

Tech

5% 0% -$65

Crypto

1% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	09-08 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	16	$317	251	251	+0	No	-$10	09-10 02:28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	6	$311	240	240	+0	Yes	-$1	09-06 02:46
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	11	$301	320	320	+0	open	—	09-09 20:09
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	11	$299	300	300	+0	No	-$20	09-10 03:12
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?	12	$249	261	261	+0	No	-$3	09-10 08:05
Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	6	$231	180	180	+0	No	-$3	09-09 23:12
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?	7	$215	195	195	+0	Yes	-$7	09-07 06:57
Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	7	$212	180	180	+0	Yes	-$8	09-11 03:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	8	$212	300	300	+0	Yes	-$3	09-09 14:23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	10	$212	200	200	+0	No	-$10	09-08 16:06
will abnb reach 178 by september 7 2026	5	$209	180	180	+0	No	-$5	09-09 13:27
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	7	$197	180	180	+0	Yes	-$18	09-07 13:46
laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	8	$190	209	209	+0	No	-$6	09-09 22:41
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	7	$180	181	181	+0	open	—	09-11 22:19
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	11	$169	131	131	+0	No	-$4	09-06 13:32
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	3	$162	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	09-11 00:55
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	5	$162	152	152	+0	Yes	-$2	09-10 16:05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 7 2026?	6	$161	240	240	+0	Yes	-$10	09-07 02:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% in September?	3	$156	120	120	+0	Yes	-$2	09-08 07:37
Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?	3	$155	120	120	+0	Yes	-$4	09-07 12:22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	5	$154	180	180	+0	No	-$5	09-10 08:50
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	3	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	09-09 06:20
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	3	$153	120	120	+0	Yes	-$5	09-09 10:28
Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	7	$150	120	120	+0	No	-$12	09-08 10:13
Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	3	$149	120	120	+0	open	—	09-11 03:27
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	4	$149	120	120	+0	open	—	09-10 01:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?	4	$148	120	120	+0	No	-$17	09-09 02:13
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	4	$147	120	120	+0	No	-$4	09-06 05:00
Will Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	3	$147	120	120	+0	open	—	09-10 08:41
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$145	120	120	+0	Yes	-$9	09-11 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 11:17:12	Will Torreense reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0xb86505…
09-13 12:17:40	Will SB Energy IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	36¢	$43	0x26c1dc…
09-13 04:09:28	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7ca90c…
09-13 03:55:42	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x9da9f6…
09-12 13:17:09	Will Rennes reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	120	30¢	$37	0x6814f0…
09-12 02:15:18	Will the Vikings win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xbc3e12…
09-11 22:19:58	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	120	50¢	$60	0xa38f63…
09-11 21:47:45	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x491a37…
09-11 20:51:21	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x9dfc74…
09-11 18:51:25	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0xbf0a71…
09-11 17:17:52	Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	120	37¢	$44	0x04fc63…
09-11 03:40:28	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0xc9378d…
09-11 03:40:24	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x9ea0fe…
09-11 03:28:00	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week?	No	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x018844…
09-11 03:27:39	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0xd76a5d…
09-11 03:26:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x144e01…
09-11 03:25:15	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	62	52¢	$32	0x3ddc35…
09-11 03:13:25	Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0x4a56d5…
09-11 02:28:12	Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x886308…
09-11 02:11:43	Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	59	29¢	$17	0x9e004b…
09-11 02:11:39	Will Kyle Barrett win the next Launceston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	59	30¢	$18	0x7e5d5f…
09-11 02:02:49	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	58	62¢	$36	0xf9f9ea…
09-11 02:02:46	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xca736c…
09-11 01:19:51	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x34fdd5…
09-11 01:19:48	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x263a8e…
09-11 00:55:03	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x187977…
09-11 00:54:58	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x333dc6…
09-11 00:19:49	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x903cbd…
09-11 00:11:43	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x85d294…
09-10 23:54:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xe83bb1…
09-10 23:23:48	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x3d9890…
09-10 22:06:36	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x7329d1…
09-10 22:00:18	Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0x78894d…
09-10 21:26:45	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0xca83cc…
09-10 21:26:09	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x9529a3…
09-10 20:36:54	Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x207f1f…
09-10 19:07:37	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x470451…
09-10 16:39:58	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	No	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x27d4ad…
09-10 16:05:54	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x55a42a…
09-10 16:05:49	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xf3ad91…
09-10 14:36:46	Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0xc26a3a…
09-10 13:37:01	Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xddf6d0…
09-10 13:36:58	Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0x671f96…
09-10 13:34:27	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0x53eb5d…
09-10 13:17:12	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	SELL	60	64¢	$39	0x2c983c…
09-10 13:17:09	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x9a31e5…
09-10 13:07:33	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x709766…
09-10 13:07:28	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x041128…
09-10 12:59:09	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x74ee05…
09-10 12:55:12	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x50c761…
09-10 12:54:51	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x158d5d…
09-10 12:46:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0xa60d6c…
09-10 12:46:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xe5f464…
09-10 12:42:58	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0x5def99…
09-10 12:42:54	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x8fe908…
09-10 12:33:40	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	54¢	$61	0x355018…
09-10 12:00:00	Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xb3dfc6…
09-10 11:57:10	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.50 in September?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xa4a711…
09-10 11:57:06	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 99.50 in September?	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x72b860…
09-10 11:00:51	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0xc0be25…
09-10 10:59:42	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x02fd1f…
09-10 10:31:27	Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x34b6dc…
09-10 09:18:21	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x71ad46…
09-10 09:17:04	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x3909b6…
09-10 09:17:00	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x803c34…
09-10 08:56:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	No	SELL	120	57¢	$68	0xe092e5…
09-10 08:56:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x2a68ce…
09-10 08:51:21	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x00c2da…
09-10 08:50:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	SELL	120	31¢	$38	0x906f13…
09-10 08:50:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x3e0e1c…
09-10 08:41:30	Will Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	No	SELL	120	61¢	$73	0xb857c8…
09-10 08:41:27	Will Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xf4a06b…
09-10 08:10:54	Will PSV Eindhoven reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xf9d75d…
09-10 08:10:09	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0x606787…
09-10 08:09:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0xbded54…
09-10 08:08:07	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	20¢	$24	0x11cbdf…
09-10 08:05:24	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?	No	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0x1b7b02…
09-10 08:05:18	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x8c02bd…
09-10 07:55:25	will kimi moonshot ai ipo by june 30 2027	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x948681…
09-10 07:55:16	will kimi moonshot ai ipo by june 30 2027	No	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x157a35…
09-10 07:55:13	will kimi moonshot ai ipo by june 30 2027	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7a5ff2…
09-10 07:55:12	will kimi moonshot ai ipo by june 30 2027	No	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x401e9a…
09-10 07:42:10	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xbc7d90…
09-10 07:42:06	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x105e8c…
09-10 07:42:00	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xc56281…
09-10 07:30:43	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x55ad6f…
09-10 06:48:39	Will PSV Eindhoven reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xee2478…
09-10 06:47:10	will sb energy ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x8d9f8f…
09-10 06:42:00	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	80	60¢	$48	0x060ca2…
09-10 06:41:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x260c18…
09-10 06:41:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1090b2…
09-10 06:41:51	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x99e491…
09-10 06:41:48	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x38a32c…
09-10 06:15:28	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x78981b…
09-10 05:19:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xe4affd…
09-10 05:19:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x453f32…
09-10 04:51:13	Will the Steelers win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0xc62415…
09-10 03:17:46	Will Marseille reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0xf315d8…
09-10 03:12:10	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	45¢	$17	0x9f8a01…
09-10 03:11:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x7474d7…