Realistic-Penguin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$213

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-04 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	2	$1.0K	1,050	+1,050	open	—	04-02 20:14
bitcoin above 72k on april 1	3	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	open	—	04-01 08:59
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	1	$1.0K	1,037	+1,037	open	—	04-01 21:58
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$1.0K	1,027	+1,027	open	—	03-30 20:17
bitcoin above 64k on march 30	1	$1.0K	1,025	+1,025	open	—	03-30 12:18
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$1.0K	1,021	+1,021	open	—	03-28 11:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 29	1	$1.0K	1,022	+1,022	open	—	03-28 19:53
bitcoin above 74k on march 27	3	$1.0K	1,020	+1,020	open	—	03-26 20:02
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	4	$1.0K	1,016	+1,016	open	—	03-25 20:10
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$1.0K	1,008	+1,008	open	—	03-24 23:58
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$995	1,002	+1,002	open	—	03-23 20:10
ethereum above 2300 on march 23	1	$776	778	+778	open	—	03-22 21:28
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$222	223	+223	open	—	03-22 21:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-26 22:59
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-22 23:09
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-22 03:30
ethereum above 2600 on april 21	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-20 22:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-20 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-13 05:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-19 09:31
bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-04 10:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-25 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-27 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-24 12:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-18 02:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-17 12:32
ethereum above 2000 on april 20	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-19 23:00
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-19 02:52
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-18 06:19
bitcoin above 80k on april 15	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-14 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 10:53:18	bitcoin above 56k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8beb70…
06-01 08:37:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc2c3ae…
05-27 07:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9bb1f9…
05-25 06:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5614a…
05-24 12:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4436a9…
05-21 05:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4f73e6…
05-20 06:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb999b4…
05-19 09:31:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf04dee…
05-18 02:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa38dd6…
05-17 12:32:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8f7e69…
05-14 20:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfe1a5b…
05-13 19:35:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfad53e…
05-13 05:03:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x52c1c5…
05-12 11:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4af7f3…
05-07 20:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7dceb4…
05-06 20:26:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7bd458…
05-05 23:03:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x52491c…
05-04 20:18:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd9349d…
05-04 07:05:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x25d518…
05-02 01:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1e1621…
04-30 22:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa8b344…
04-28 18:34:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0cccdf…
04-26 22:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe2a331…
04-22 23:09:32	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3763c0…
04-22 03:30:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7f429…
04-20 22:11:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 21	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7df3d2…
04-19 23:00:26	ethereum above 2000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x81fb14…
04-19 02:52:46	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa995a…
04-18 06:19:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd9b26b…
04-14 20:35:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc76c4c…
04-13 20:12:37	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe76654…
04-12 20:21:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa730e7…
04-11 22:38:45	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf9b5f8…
04-10 18:45:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb90fad…
04-08 20:21:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x40065f…
04-07 20:22:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc3615…
04-07 11:55:09	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcf6945…
04-04 19:00:47	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9337c6…
04-03 20:20:43	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xad521c…
04-02 20:14:31	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	750	99¢	$742	0xc9daa6…
04-02 20:14:21	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4d935b…
04-01 21:58:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	1,037	99¢	$1,027	0xb51700…
04-01 08:59:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	187	99¢	$186	0xede39b…
04-01 08:59:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc85ba3…
04-01 08:59:13	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	BUY	750	99¢	$744	0x342ecb…
03-30 20:17:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,027	100¢	$1,024	0x94c7f5…
03-30 12:18:20	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,023	0xe9333d…
03-28 19:53:56	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	1,022	100¢	$1,019	0xfb1ef4…
03-28 11:01:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x67a93c…
03-26 20:02:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa77af0…
03-26 20:02:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x2ea7bb…
03-26 20:02:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 27	No	BUY	710	100¢	$706	0x333dfa…
03-25 20:10:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb139ed…
03-25 20:10:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x530fad…
03-25 20:10:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x82bb3c…
03-25 20:09:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	561	100¢	$559	0x2b99ac…
03-24 23:58:43	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,004	0xc87961…
03-23 20:10:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	1,002	99¢	$995	0x443535…
03-22 21:29:25	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	223	99¢	$222	0x918be3…
03-22 21:28:57	ethereum above 2300 on march 23	No	BUY	778	100¢	$776	0xf83dc7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	52	$279.8K	2,301	06-04 12:48
Spectacular-Identification 0xb635…6080	49	$10.8K	51	06-04 10:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	48	$61.6K	1,279	06-01 07:57
Hideous-Pizza 0x99bc…dd8d	45	$7.66K	47	06-04 10:53
Sweet-Bar 0x2ef1…4630	45	$4.91K	49	06-04 10:53
Misty-Tandem 0x8561…c2d5	44	$5.86K	49	06-04 10:53
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	43	$6.26K	528	05-28 18:17
Sweaty-Exposition 0x1004…008b	42	$6.22K	45	06-04 10:53