Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 03-17 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

85% 38% -$1,669

Other

8% 12% -$390

Crypto

6% 25% -$123

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	14	$3.8K	5,999	3,375	+2,624	Yes	-$902	03-12 18:39
will iran strike israel on march 8	6	$2.1K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$606	03-08 08:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.4K	31,152	0	+31,152	No	-$1,434	02-12 15:43
will iran strike israel on march 6	17	$740	204,398	0	+204,398	No	-$740	03-11 16:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$642	848	848	+0	Yes	+$3	03-12 18:45
will iran strike israel on march 9	4	$580	1,226	0	+1,226	Yes	+$646	03-07 03:35
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$428	252	252	+0	No	+$28	03-12 18:46
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$352	438	438	+0	No	-$125	03-11 11:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$280	624	0	+624	Yes	+$344	03-08 02:28
will iran strike israel on march 7	3	$240	365	0	+365	Yes	+$125	03-07 03:36
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	2	$237	397	397	+0	No	-$83	03-17 09:22
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$212	262	262	+0	No	-$128	03-11 11:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$179	3,081	0	+3,081	Yes	-$179	02-12 14:08
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$177	148	148	+0	No	-$48	03-11 11:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$155	91	91	+0	Yes	+$15	03-09 15:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$155	144	144	+0	Yes	-$5	03-11 11:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$143	157	157	+0	No	+$3	03-08 09:05
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	2	$137	113	113	+0	No	-$23	03-17 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	8	$130	122	103	+19	Up	+$29	03-09 14:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$119	230	230	+0	No	-$11	03-17 09:23
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$92	235	235	+0	No	+$12	03-09 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:15 UTC	24	$92	4,772	66	+4,706	Up	-$21	02-11 17:29
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$91	163	163	+0	No	-$49	03-11 11:04
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	2	$90	153	153	+0	Yes	-$10	03-17 09:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:30 UTC	6	$86	82	81	+1	Up	-$3	02-11 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:15 UTC	10	$64	79	78	+1	Up	+$8	02-11 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:45 UTC	15	$61	61	60	+1	Down	+$15	02-11 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:00 UTC	21	$60	56	55	+1	Up	+$12	02-11 19:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$57	181	181	+0	No	-$23	03-11 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:00 UTC	35	$53	119	55	+64	Up	-$7	02-11 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-17 09:23:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xa9c0a3…
03-17 09:23:09	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	82	12¢	$10	0x1b26bc…
03-17 09:23:05	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf588e4…
03-17 09:23:01	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	113	51¢	$57	0x50f9bc…
03-17 09:22:57	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	153	26¢	$40	0xabc8db…
03-17 09:22:55	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	397	20¢	$77	0x2d7c29…
03-12 18:46:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	252	91¢	$228	0xc5e167…
03-12 18:45:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	848	38¢	$322	0x521f4b…
03-12 18:45:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	613	2¢	$12	0xd8b8a7…
03-12 18:39:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	2,624	2¢	$54	0xabe778…
03-12 18:22:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	1,679	3¢	$54	0xcbe234…
03-12 08:23:41	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1,641	74¢	$1,217	0x6ffeba…
03-12 02:46:29	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0xd50990…
03-12 02:46:07	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	122	24¢	$30	0xcefa7d…
03-11 19:30:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	122	57¢	$70	0xf00d88…
03-11 16:22:41	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc24e38…
03-11 16:21:27	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xca486e…
03-11 16:09:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	13,000	0¢	$13	0xa4f329…
03-11 16:09:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x857a77…
03-11 14:04:27	will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x430f6a…
03-11 13:58:03	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	565	74¢	$417	0xdbdbb1…
03-11 11:07:37	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	565	80¢	$450	0xc8f59e…
03-11 11:07:17	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x09b266…
03-11 11:06:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	102	51¢	$52	0x7457c2…
03-11 11:05:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	613	5¢	$30	0xef94d2…
03-11 11:05:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xd50193…
03-11 11:05:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	148	43¢	$64	0xf570f7…
03-11 11:05:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	438	26¢	$114	0x0b5df4…
03-11 11:05:01	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	262	16¢	$42	0xd33f54…
03-11 11:04:53	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	163	13¢	$21	0x0b2006…
03-11 11:04:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	181	9¢	$17	0xf4658f…
03-11 07:46:03	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	110,000	0¢	$110	0x5006da…
03-11 07:13:15	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xcda94f…
03-11 06:55:37	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0x44994a…
03-11 06:53:55	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x847d40…
03-10 21:16:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	130	32¢	$41	0x523893…
03-10 21:16:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0xc253e7…
03-10 21:14:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	116	33¢	$38	0xeae92b…
03-10 21:13:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	SELL	1,250	0¢	$2	0x792b45…
03-10 21:13:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	618	0¢	$2	0x6e06d4…
03-10 18:23:29	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,009	93¢	$934	0x4a7946…
03-09 15:03:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	111	77¢	$85	0x8b27f7…
03-09 15:02:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	91	94¢	$85	0x1a01b6…
03-09 15:02:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	322	62¢	$200	0x6f193c…
03-09 14:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf7cc44…
03-09 14:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9806cc…
03-09 14:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x062567…
03-09 14:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb7be1d…
03-09 14:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0x281cc3…
03-09 14:43:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4e1c15…
03-09 14:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0xe1671a…
03-09 14:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x64088c…
03-09 14:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	57	69¢	$39	0x63af97…
03-09 14:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1fd3d1…
03-09 14:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x48303c…
03-09 13:37:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	589	34¢	$200	0x784689…
03-09 13:37:11	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	235	22¢	$52	0xaabaff…
03-09 13:22:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	181	22¢	$40	0x851f8a…
03-09 13:19:13	will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	No	BUY	113	71¢	$80	0xa15a5c…
03-09 13:18:55	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0xed53be…
03-09 13:17:25	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	397	40¢	$160	0x587694…
03-09 13:12:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	618	2¢	$15	0x4bf10d…
03-09 13:12:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	1,250	2¢	$20	0x390466…
03-09 02:21:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	262	65¢	$170	0xee0b11…
03-09 02:21:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0x4d9034…
03-09 01:49:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xe2e75b…
03-09 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	32	45¢	$15	0xd2d04d…
03-09 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0x66098a…
03-09 00:22:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x3c5baf…
03-08 09:19:39	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x07c4a6…
03-08 09:05:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	111	40¢	$44	0x133c10…
03-08 09:03:01	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0x18c4b4…
03-08 08:58:17	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	SELL	1,369	97¢	$1,334	0xe1ff01…
03-08 07:11:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x412d8c…
03-08 02:53:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x128b1d…
03-08 02:53:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x3015cb…
03-08 02:48:55	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3462d9…
03-08 02:48:45	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x166e51…
03-08 02:40:35	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x62c157…
03-08 02:38:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x94324a…
03-08 02:28:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x564da7…
03-07 17:45:03	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x95bc92…
03-07 17:44:51	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x020884…
03-07 17:41:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0x5cc3a3…
03-07 08:33:21	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x2e28f2…
03-07 08:32:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	468	38¢	$180	0x47433b…
03-07 05:26:23	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	352	39¢	$136	0x489508…
03-07 05:26:07	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	305	49¢	$150	0xc60e77…
03-07 05:25:33	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	529	57¢	$300	0x0ccfea…
03-07 03:37:29	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	147	56¢	$82	0x12903d…
03-07 03:36:11	will iran strike israel on march 7	Yes	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x29eea0…
03-07 03:36:03	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	369	54¢	$200	0xe5a41f…
03-07 03:35:53	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x39a3b5…
03-07 03:35:45	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x503807…
03-07 03:34:55	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0x6a50e6…
03-07 03:34:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	205	39¢	$80	0x96f04e…
03-06 19:13:01	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0xa0bdfb…
03-06 19:12:41	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	BUY	202	40¢	$80	0x23fc7c…
03-06 19:12:27	will iran strike israel on march 7	Yes	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x843f64…
03-06 18:49:51	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	290	48¢	$138	0x350c6b…