Quixotic-Establishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$659

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-22 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 40% $-6

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 22:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	9	$57	84	84	+0	Up	+$41	05-07 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	05-21 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-21 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$14	13	13	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-21 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	8	$9	327	49	+278	Down	$-8	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 08:28
Rockets vs. Lakers	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 04:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$8	21	20	+1	Down	$-0	05-07 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$8	6	4	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$8	188	20	+168	Down	$-2	05-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$6	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$6	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 15:54
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$5	6	2	+5	open	—	05-01 04:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x523abb…
05-22 00:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa4de8a…
05-22 00:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x04d36c…
05-21 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x5148f7…
05-21 22:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x15fed8…
05-21 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4f7fa2…
05-21 22:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2af648…
05-21 22:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x401692…
05-21 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x7488db…
05-21 22:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x9c2e9c…
05-21 22:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf746d9…
05-21 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x17f8d8…
05-21 22:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x78c15d…
05-21 22:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xa860a8…
05-21 22:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x76b6cf…
05-21 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x56a0cf…
05-21 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xee1338…
05-21 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1238e5…
05-21 18:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x229483…
05-21 18:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e57d3…
05-21 18:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xa9da28…
05-21 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2e364d…
05-21 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xe37cf2…
05-21 18:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x03bbb4…
05-21 01:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x0a52c8…
05-21 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb6bb7c…
05-20 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x3da2cd…
05-20 02:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe3fdd7…
05-20 01:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x08b29d…
05-20 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x56f014…
05-19 19:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2a8fc6…
05-19 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xc26fdf…
05-19 19:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04b466…
05-19 17:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x710fcc…
05-18 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x40af17…
05-18 13:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0c5a63…
05-18 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xef6920…
05-17 06:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2fe342…
05-17 06:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xed037d…
05-17 06:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x94b927…
05-17 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8d34b1…
05-17 05:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf6f4e3…
05-17 05:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb23ff…
05-17 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x942625…
05-17 05:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8dd702…
05-17 05:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xe61323…
05-17 05:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6b1a60…
05-17 04:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0053d8…
05-14 03:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7a8c6c…
05-14 03:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a0267…
05-14 03:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x9ba91e…
05-14 03:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4c52ae…
05-14 01:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x88d5c1…
05-14 01:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe8ca91…
05-14 01:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xd4cccb…
05-14 01:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc45344…
05-14 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xd71aaf…
05-14 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x65ff2a…
05-14 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5022b6…
05-14 00:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x945bc6…
05-14 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb993f5…
05-14 00:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2d74d2…
05-13 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x0e85af…
05-13 21:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xd3be4a…
05-13 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x8888e2…
05-13 21:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x5ca189…
05-13 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xabd8ac…
05-13 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x27750c…
05-13 21:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x508fc2…
05-13 20:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x2f6940…
05-13 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x65bd8d…
05-13 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4c1f2c…
05-13 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe270e5…
05-13 19:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0e1c55…
05-13 19:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x4a286f…
05-13 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x2de49e…
05-13 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x15f189…
05-13 18:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x999333…
05-08 17:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x8d8805…
05-08 17:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x90963f…
05-08 17:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x0ff893…
05-08 17:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x3c0a59…
05-08 17:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97e700…
05-08 17:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xab50f8…
05-08 17:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2e3cc2…
05-08 17:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x910709…
05-08 17:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x208c6b…
05-08 17:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x922777…
05-08 17:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe1f714…
05-08 17:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5710f2…
05-08 17:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xca22bd…
05-08 17:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x8ffe77…
05-08 17:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x289087…
05-08 17:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x2336ec…
05-08 17:06:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x75b148…
05-08 17:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x8bde58…
05-08 16:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x2a5994…
05-08 16:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa4785f…
05-08 16:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x36cc93…
05-08 16:42:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x8a30c8…