White-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$566

Unrealized P&L

+$304

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

254

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$112.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$244

Open exposure

$3.81K

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-25 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

76% 93% +$16

Sports

12% 85% -$277

Politics

11% 100% +$848

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31	No	+897	$789	97¢	$873	+$84	10-14 12:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+881	$800	94¢	$826	+$26	10-20 13:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+800	$720	97¢	$776	+$56	10-25 00:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+741	$600	90¢	$670	+$70	10-14 12:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	+682	$600	98¢	$668	+$68	10-14 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind cha 2026 04 03	2	$2.1K	1,099	1,096	+3	Hornets	+$98	04-04 00:57
nba lac mil 2026 03 29	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Clippers	+$91	03-29 21:06
nba was mia 2026 04 04	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,040	+1	Heat	+$41	04-04 22:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$96	10-08 14:17
nba nyk mem 2026 04 01	2	$1.9K	978	976	+2	Knicks	+$77	04-02 04:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$1.9K	1,187	1,187	+0	Yes	+$324	03-08 16:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$1.7K	899	899	+0	Yes	+$91	10-25 00:01
nba min dal 2026 03 30	2	$1.7K	879	877	+2	Timberwolves	+$78	03-31 03:19
Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?	2	$1.7K	870	870	+0	Yes	+$65	10-01 00:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 12 2026 25corbelow	5	$1.6K	813	813	+0	No	+$12	03-12 14:59
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 68 69f	5	$1.6K	811	811	+0	No	+$10	03-11 18:15
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	5	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$61	10-01 04:15
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 44 45f	2	$1.0K	505	505	+0	No	+$4	03-12 00:13
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 42 43f	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$2	03-12 00:13
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$1000	1,111	0	+1,111	Spurs	+$111	05-10 02:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1000	1,587	0	+1,587	Cavaliers	-$1,000	05-17 23:28
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 27c	3	$967	506	506	+0	No	+$43	03-19 17:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$100	10-05 12:03
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 46 47f	3	$821	414	414	+0	No	+$7	03-12 00:12
highest temperature in dallas on march 25 2026 82 83f	3	$819	419	419	+0	No	+$19	03-25 21:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 24 2026 48 49f	3	$818	419	419	+0	No	+$18	03-24 21:29
highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 72 73f	3	$816	417	417	+0	No	+$16	03-18 21:08
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 12 2026 20c	3	$812	413	413	+0	No	+$12	03-12 12:03
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 76 77f	3	$809	410	410	+0	No	+$9	03-22 18:59
highest temperature in chicago on march 15 2026 53forbelow	3	$806	406	406	+0	No	+$6	03-15 16:01
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 74 75f	3	$806	406	406	+0	No	+$6	03-23 21:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 26c	3	$806	406	406	+0	No	+$6	03-19 17:14
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 36 37f	3	$806	406	406	+0	No	+$6	03-18 21:09
highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 60 61f	3	$805	406	406	+0	No	+$5	03-12 22:28
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 11 2026 20c	3	$805	406	406	+0	No	+$5	03-11 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:04:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	800	90¢	$720	0x6e1c37…
10-25 00:01:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	899	99¢	$891	0xf0146b…
10-20 13:08:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	881	91¢	$800	0xe9d023…
10-16 11:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	899	89¢	$800	0x2c2a58…
10-14 12:00:32	us iran hormuz agreement by october 31	No	BUY	897	88¢	$789	0x1dea9c…
10-14 12:00:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	741	81¢	$600	0x3570df…
10-14 11:59:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	BUY	682	88¢	$600	0xf00b2e…
10-11 01:47:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	870	92¢	$800	0x0f1c7a…
10-08 14:17:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x86ba5a…
10-07 12:05:47	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?	No	BUY	847	94¢	$800	0xb9bcef…
10-07 12:05:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	879	91¢	$800	0x42e8c5…
10-06 16:07:06	Spread: Argentina (-2.5)	Argentina	BUY	862	87¢	$750	0x213579…
10-05 12:03:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x997177…
10-03 21:34:47	Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x0d1051…
10-02 00:36:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xf6543e…
10-01 04:15:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x39dea2…
10-01 00:41:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	SELL	870	100¢	$865	0x3eec37…
09-30 20:39:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	289	100¢	$289	0xfb40e1…
09-30 18:38:12	Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	870	92¢	$800	0xa52fa6…
09-25 19:45:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	289	90¢	$260	0x172d10…
09-25 13:03:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	124	93¢	$115	0x27c57d…
09-25 13:03:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x74a3a6…
09-25 13:03:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5a6ea7…
09-25 13:03:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	530	92¢	$486	0x4750fe…
05-25 05:18:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x0a1279…
05-21 20:17:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x1c396d…
05-17 23:28:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x56518a…
05-10 02:11:35	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x87fbea…
04-06 22:25:37	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x8bb860…
04-06 18:32:37	wta yuan gallard 2026 04 06	Yue Yuan	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xd71a23…
04-06 15:36:59	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2b5dd1…
04-06 15:35:49	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 6 2026 16c	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xd3787f…
04-06 15:35:03	atp ruiz sil 2026 04 06	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x93d500…
04-06 14:21:13	wta shymano vekic 2026 04 06	Donna Vekic	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe90674…
04-06 05:38:03	wta yuan gallard 2026 04 06	Yue Yuan	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x937758…
04-06 05:37:09	atp contri gea 2026 04 06	Arthur Gea	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7770dc…
04-06 05:36:39	atp ruiz sil 2026 04 06	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xbfa2eb…
04-06 05:36:01	wta shymano vekic 2026 04 06	Donna Vekic	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3ca005…
04-05 22:24:53	highest temperature in san francisco on april 5 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x99ab25…
04-05 22:24:45	highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 46 47f	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0xfcae87…
04-05 04:32:19	highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xbe709a…
04-05 04:31:51	highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x664f83…
04-05 04:29:01	highest temperature in san francisco on april 5 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xc30cac…
04-05 04:22:03	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 6 2026 19c	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x5e0896…
04-05 04:21:27	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 6 2026 16c	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x0588e6…
04-04 22:11:33	nba was mia 2026 04 04	Heat	SELL	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0x744918…
04-04 19:47:21	nba was mia 2026 04 04	Heat	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xdf36a2…
04-04 00:57:47	nba ind cha 2026 04 03	Hornets	SELL	1,096	100¢	$1,095	0x3e6383…
04-03 23:14:55	nba ind cha 2026 04 03	Hornets	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x65b9ca…
04-02 04:00:53	nba nyk mem 2026 04 01	Knicks	SELL	976	100¢	$975	0xacb665…
04-02 00:25:07	nba nyk mem 2026 04 01	Knicks	BUY	978	92¢	$900	0x7cfa5f…
03-31 03:19:21	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	SELL	877	100¢	$876	0x94db2c…
03-31 03:14:49	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x9ae8a6…
03-31 01:07:41	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	BUY	879	91¢	$800	0x68035b…
03-30 11:24:22	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 30 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x9d0618…
03-30 11:24:18	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 30 2026 27c	No	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x7a2abf…
03-30 04:09:46	nba gsw den 2026 03 29	Nuggets	SELL	303	96¢	$291	0x089231…
03-30 03:49:56	nba nyk okc 2026 03 29	Thunder	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x0137f4…
03-30 03:21:30	nba gsw den 2026 03 29	Nuggets	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x0737da…
03-30 00:42:18	nba nyk okc 2026 03 29	Thunder	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xf638a5…
03-29 23:59:46	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Raptors	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0x6301de…
03-29 22:44:10	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Raptors	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x1c67ff…
03-29 21:06:22	nba lac mil 2026 03 29	Clippers	SELL	1,111	98¢	$1,091	0x6e9737…
03-29 16:40:24	nba lac mil 2026 03 29	Clippers	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x20110e…
03-28 21:09:54	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 56 57f	No	SELL	406	17¢	$68	0xbc550b…
03-28 20:30:10	highest temperature in los angeles on march 28 2026 67forbelow	No	SELL	203	48¢	$98	0xac2b03…
03-28 18:54:16	highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x04c398…
03-28 18:54:08	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 27c	No	SELL	405	100¢	$404	0xb89799…
03-28 18:54:02	highest temperature in denver on march 28 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xab07f8…
03-28 10:34:13	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x8cfb75…
03-28 10:33:51	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 27c	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x714aea…
03-28 05:02:57	highest temperature in munich on march 28 2026 6c	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x811a20…
03-28 04:58:31	highest temperature in milan on march 28 2026 14c	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x14bc7c…
03-28 04:56:11	highest temperature in denver on march 28 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x606f8c…
03-28 04:55:17	highest temperature in houston on march 28 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x591ef5…
03-28 04:54:23	highest temperature in los angeles on march 28 2026 67forbelow	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x5d0ed6…
03-28 04:53:45	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 15c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x6aef1a…
03-28 04:52:17	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 27c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x73cfb8…
03-28 04:50:33	highest temperature in dallas on march 28 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xcf98ca…
03-28 04:49:11	highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x3e8e97…
03-28 04:47:51	highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x5787c5…
03-28 03:58:27	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Trail Blazers	SELL	192	58¢	$112	0xcdcddf…
03-28 02:48:57	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Trail Blazers	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa49ad4…
03-28 01:13:45	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Clippers	SELL	385	65¢	$250	0x14ba2b…
03-27 23:27:43	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Clippers	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x9fed33…
03-27 21:25:59	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 27 2026 28c	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x3f032c…
03-27 12:21:55	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 27 2026 28c	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x00a066…
03-27 11:11:21	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x189441…
03-27 11:10:39	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 27 2026 25c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xf76235…
03-27 11:10:21	highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x420075…
03-27 00:52:03	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 27 2026 16c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xafba15…
03-27 00:51:13	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 27 2026 25c	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x023789…
03-27 00:50:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x564134…
03-27 00:50:27	highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xff1291…
03-27 00:49:33	highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 neg 2c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x3a3a0a…
03-27 00:49:09	highest temperature in chicago on march 27 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x524a06…
03-27 00:48:43	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 16c	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xdee45d…
03-27 00:48:21	highest temperature in nyc on march 27 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x5b78c8…
03-27 00:48:07	highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 10c	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x84dc15…
03-27 00:47:39	highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 7c	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xc94487…