Shallow-Deposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,097

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-20 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 57% $-15

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Other

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	421	$2.3K	3,194	3,159	+36	open	—	06-27 07:52
will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	387	$2.2K	2,333	2,333	+0	open	—	07-02 13:36
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	357	$2.2K	2,609	2,609	+0	open	—	07-05 14:48
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	288	$1.7K	2,182	2,053	+130	open	—	07-01 02:06
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	33	$1.2K	1,301	1,295	+6	open	—	07-15 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	179	$1.1K	1,445	1,425	+20	open	—	06-25 21:41
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	88	$898	876	876	+0	open	—	07-13 17:41
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	140	$693	839	808	+31	open	—	06-11 07:56
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	149	$597	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-28 06:31
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	35	$495	565	565	+0	open	—	07-16 22:22
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	52	$474	443	443	+0	open	—	07-09 19:44
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	86	$474	596	596	+0	open	—	07-13 18:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	97	$468	484	484	+0	open	—	06-08 18:18
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	39	$454	880	830	+50	open	—	07-20 14:35
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	34	$405	1,292	1,230	+62	open	—	07-15 12:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:29
iran full airspace closure by july 24	11	$390	294	284	+10	open	—	07-20 08:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	20	$350	406	376	+30	open	—	07-20 10:38
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	54	$347	340	340	+0	open	—	06-25 21:41
will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	17	$341	579	482	+98	open	—	07-15 23:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	15	$315	338	338	+0	open	—	07-18 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	49	$299	276	276	+0	open	—	06-01 23:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	48	$287	309	302	+7	open	—	06-01 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	50	$265	246	246	+0	open	—	05-29 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	56	$254	247	252	-6	open	—	05-31 23:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	43	$249	272	242	+30	open	—	06-01 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	49	$245	208	253	-45	open	—	05-29 19:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	45	$236	225	223	+2	open	—	05-28 20:21
will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	40	$233	263	263	+0	open	—	07-13 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 22 28 2026	25	$218	181	160	+21	open	—	06-23 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:47:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7cf608…
07-20 16:47:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbcf9f6…
07-20 16:47:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	112	16¢	$18	0x7b9cb2…
07-20 16:15:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x2a85aa…
07-20 15:58:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb08d91…
07-20 15:58:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc9f394…
07-20 15:36:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xb264e9…
07-20 15:28:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xe80e29…
07-20 14:44:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xe16efc…
07-20 14:35:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x6d2667…
07-20 14:28:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	52	88¢	$45	0xd26e84…
07-20 13:40:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xa4461a…
07-20 13:40:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	161	13¢	$21	0x031fc1…
07-20 12:35:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x1a101b…
07-20 12:35:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x77445c…
07-20 12:34:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x01c50d…
07-20 12:34:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x9a81cd…
07-20 12:25:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xd5338d…
07-20 12:25:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa495be…
07-20 12:25:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x02b9bd…
07-20 12:23:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xbb4404…
07-20 12:21:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xb057d2…
07-20 12:17:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x49d78d…
07-20 12:17:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xdae266…
07-20 12:16:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x0ea440…
07-20 12:16:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xcc2370…
07-20 12:15:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x4b0ea9…
07-20 12:15:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x2ac35e…
07-20 12:15:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0x046308…
07-20 12:15:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1af978…
07-20 12:14:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	142	21¢	$30	0xa33317…
07-20 12:09:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0e87f2…
07-20 12:09:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x88a16f…
07-20 12:09:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xa5281e…
07-20 12:08:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc96c0f…
07-20 12:08:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xa6b8e5…
07-20 11:59:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0x83a67e…
07-20 11:59:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x3c7e60…
07-20 11:58:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x3996e7…
07-20 11:57:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x896f66…
07-20 11:57:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x65c421…
07-20 11:57:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xe14d86…
07-20 11:57:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x374d6a…
07-20 11:55:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x73c76c…
07-20 11:55:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x29d04d…
07-20 11:51:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x2a734b…
07-20 11:50:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x09d0b3…
07-20 10:38:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xcc7145…
07-20 10:38:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x608d88…
07-20 08:49:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	79	85¢	$67	0x4ba87f…
07-19 15:38:31	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	68	75¢	$51	0xf6c55e…
07-19 13:36:24	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf1b7c0…
07-19 13:08:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x9d9e09…
07-19 13:08:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x9d9e09…
07-19 13:04:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x092620…
07-19 06:46:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xb91429…
07-19 02:32:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x3d9126…
07-18 23:06:55	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe7e287…
07-18 22:23:13	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	185	63¢	$117	0xfb9d7c…
07-18 21:11:27	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x2b4a6e…
07-18 21:11:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x906be4…
07-18 21:11:10	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xad2d39…
07-18 21:11:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0x3055d9…
07-18 20:35:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x7f622f…
07-18 20:27:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd29661…
07-18 19:34:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	87	72¢	$63	0xb4d3e4…
07-18 16:31:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x0ba317…
07-18 16:14:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x9cb4e8…
07-18 16:14:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xb0be5b…
07-18 16:08:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x5998df…
07-18 16:06:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xc2c64d…
07-18 14:01:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xb1ae86…
07-18 13:48:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x7e84f7…
07-18 13:25:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0x8e1eb7…
07-18 11:11:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x0c2514…
07-18 11:11:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x962649…
07-18 11:10:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x48ced5…
07-18 10:43:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x09212d…
07-18 08:27:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x729353…
07-18 08:07:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xcdf15e…
07-18 08:07:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xf9a939…
07-18 07:56:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf5234c…
07-18 07:35:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xd3b3be…
07-18 07:12:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa6de3c…
07-18 07:12:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd128ca…
07-18 06:50:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xd53581…
07-18 06:50:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	SELL	41	38¢	$15	0xc7c7d7…
07-18 06:50:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	Yes	SELL	38	37¢	$14	0x97d9e9…
07-18 06:50:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0x079ab9…
07-18 06:47:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x2bb866…
07-18 04:57:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x0ee0f1…
07-18 03:42:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x7e8087…
07-18 03:41:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x259009…
07-18 03:29:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x40451d…
07-18 03:27:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfcb37f…
07-18 03:27:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xe2ceb1…
07-18 03:27:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x3e70a3…
07-18 03:05:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x77c8fa…
07-18 02:58:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x867bf7…
07-18 02:57:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xcb5c9e…