Shallow-Deposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,223

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 08-10 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 57% $-15

Other

11% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	421	$2.3K	3,194	3,159	+36	open	—	06-27 07:52
will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	387	$2.2K	2,333	2,333	+0	open	—	07-02 13:36
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	357	$2.2K	2,609	2,609	+0	open	—	07-05 14:48
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	288	$1.7K	2,182	2,053	+130	open	—	07-01 02:06
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	33	$1.2K	1,301	1,295	+6	open	—	07-15 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	179	$1.1K	1,445	1,425	+20	open	—	06-25 21:41
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	88	$898	876	876	+0	open	—	07-13 17:41
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	140	$693	839	808	+31	open	—	06-11 07:56
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	149	$597	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-28 06:31
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	35	$495	565	565	+0	open	—	07-16 22:22
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	52	$474	443	443	+0	open	—	07-09 19:44
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	86	$474	596	596	+0	open	—	07-13 18:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	97	$468	484	484	+0	open	—	06-08 18:18
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	39	$454	880	830	+50	open	—	07-20 14:35
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	34	$405	1,292	1,230	+62	open	—	07-15 12:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:29
iran full airspace closure by july 24	11	$390	294	284	+10	open	—	07-20 08:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	20	$350	406	376	+30	open	—	07-20 10:38
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	54	$347	340	340	+0	open	—	06-25 21:41
will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	17	$341	579	482	+98	open	—	07-15 23:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	15	$315	338	338	+0	open	—	07-18 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	49	$299	276	276	+0	open	—	06-01 23:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	48	$287	309	302	+7	open	—	06-01 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	50	$265	246	246	+0	open	—	05-29 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	56	$254	247	252	-6	open	—	05-31 23:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	43	$249	272	242	+30	open	—	06-01 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	49	$245	208	253	-45	open	—	05-29 19:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	45	$236	225	223	+2	open	—	05-28 20:21
will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026	40	$233	263	263	+0	open	—	07-13 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 22 28 2026	25	$218	181	160	+21	open	—	06-23 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:21:28	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x81bd16…
08-10 10:19:27	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0x72f1df…
08-10 09:59:43	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x337108…
08-10 09:59:40	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xcac279…
08-09 12:59:54	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x9f74fc…
08-09 12:58:30	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf1e53c…
08-09 12:40:52	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9fb78a…
08-09 12:40:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xa34471…
08-09 12:40:49	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x6d3c55…
08-09 08:05:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x802f8f…
08-09 03:21:04	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x000041…
08-08 12:50:34	will kai or speed die to an iron golem 20260806175301192	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x13bc65…
08-08 12:48:30	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0x77b169…
08-08 12:28:22	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x278b3a…
08-08 12:28:19	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x18f488…
08-08 12:19:46	will kai or speed die to an iron golem 20260806175301192	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xbaa52f…
08-08 09:43:16	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xd0a19b…
08-08 06:13:33	chatgpt outage on august 12 2026 20260806133118516	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd2e45a…
08-06 22:25:39	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0x093194…
08-06 22:02:53	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfd5e33…
08-06 22:02:12	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3fbfbe…
08-06 21:49:21	will ice cream man score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173506612	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x2c44bf…
08-06 20:00:44	will ice cream man score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173506612	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0xa7696f…
08-06 18:32:23	will ice cream man score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173506612	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x26ebfb…
08-03 21:30:14	will the senate go into recess by august 8 20260728195131706	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xfadcbe…
08-03 10:25:15	will the senate go into recess by august 8 20260728195131706	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb4e50f…
08-03 03:04:53	will hood reach 87 50 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xfec30c…
08-01 10:52:50	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0b3cb9…
08-01 10:44:53	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x273824…
08-01 04:08:18	will joe ryan be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533468	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x623819…
07-31 22:43:44	will joe ryan be traded by the 2026 mlb trade deadline 20260728182533468	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6a6f32…
07-30 19:15:24	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x1e9ce9…
07-30 05:03:59	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x930bd6…
07-30 04:58:20	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc293e5…
07-30 04:35:30	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x861e13…
07-30 03:38:11	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xbac480…
07-30 03:36:06	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x9caf34…
07-30 03:35:47	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2538e0…
07-30 01:07:30	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xbdac7e…
07-30 01:05:18	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x3f42f8…
07-30 00:59:44	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1cc615…
07-30 00:37:35	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5ecaea…
07-29 18:13:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xb47a32…
07-29 18:13:20	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x6b5843…
07-29 18:13:20	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x5535d2…
07-28 05:20:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x600735…
07-28 01:55:33	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0x1a7d3b…
07-28 01:52:46	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3c9524…
07-28 01:52:46	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3105e7…
07-27 16:07:19	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xf96d8f…
07-27 14:26:43	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xf2efa6…
07-27 14:26:22	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xea61a0…
07-27 13:57:07	will xagusd reach 63 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xc6446f…
07-27 13:26:33	will hood reach 107 50 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x4996e8…
07-27 01:10:45	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x792586…
07-26 19:53:39	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x247a41…
07-26 18:28:07	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x27934a…
07-26 17:41:31	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb48ac9…
07-26 17:39:24	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x359bb6…
07-26 16:27:42	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0xca94ad…
07-26 11:18:07	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xf60d6d…
07-26 10:30:42	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x27719f…
07-26 09:47:42	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x55386d…
07-26 09:26:33	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xf74332…
07-26 05:25:28	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x04242d…
07-26 03:57:58	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x2696b3…
07-26 01:04:06	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0d5535…
07-26 01:04:03	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb621e0…
07-26 00:47:30	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x0b4ab5…
07-26 00:45:34	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x5bb443…
07-25 21:00:37	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1530 by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x75d114…
07-25 16:42:01	will there be 20260723192532703	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x62924a…
07-25 16:34:25	will there be 20260723192532703	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc75492…
07-25 06:18:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xcb6eaf…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x6e3a01…
07-25 04:56:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xc55bb5…
07-25 03:20:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe6dcd5…
07-24 22:01:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0xd3afea…
07-24 19:40:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x14a6c2…
07-24 14:42:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x5d7dd3…
07-24 14:38:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x24956f…
07-24 13:53:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	92	15¢	$14	0x8ec4ee…
07-24 13:48:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xcfcbd0…
07-24 13:48:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x6ff5e5…
07-24 13:48:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x118520…
07-24 13:48:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x2a12d8…
07-24 13:46:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xc07525…
07-24 13:38:31	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x192298…
07-24 02:21:03	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0x497397…
07-24 02:05:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x3d5585…
07-24 01:56:04	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x69e1b0…
07-24 01:55:45	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf71b04…
07-24 01:55:43	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x81e507…
07-24 01:37:12	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	Yes	SELL	86	51¢	$44	0x9eea5f…
07-24 01:27:28	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x5cca85…
07-24 01:26:31	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x5c2350…
07-24 01:26:21	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x59b019…
07-24 00:39:46	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x926cc8…
07-24 00:38:46	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x109c17…
07-24 00:37:42	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdb0feb…