Shallow-Deposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.34K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

229

Trades

4,763

lifetime

Volume

$31.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 09-17 01:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 32% -$287

Other

20% 13% -$706

Politics

11% 12% -$219

Tech

2% 0% -$91

Sports

0% 0% -$16

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	430	$2.4K	3,214	3,214	+0	No	-$7	06-27 07:52
will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	387	$2.2K	2,333	2,333	+0	Yes	-$42	07-02 13:36
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	357	$2.2K	2,609	2,609	+0	No	-$28	07-05 14:48
will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	288	$1.7K	2,182	2,053	+130	No	-$42	07-01 02:06
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	33	$1.2K	1,301	1,295	+6	No	-$5	07-15 12:11
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	180	$1.1K	1,445	1,445	+0	No	+$64	06-25 21:41
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	88	$898	876	876	+0	No	-$17	07-13 17:41
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	142	$704	839	839	+0	Yes	-$5	06-11 07:56
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	149	$597	1,149	1,149	+0	No	+$3	06-28 06:31
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	35	$495	565	565	+0	No	-$63	07-16 22:22
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	52	$474	443	443	+0	No	$0	07-09 19:44
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	86	$474	596	596	+0	Yes	+$7	07-13 18:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	97	$468	484	484	+0	No	-$6	06-08 18:18
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	39	$454	880	830	+50	No	-$21	07-20 14:35
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	34	$405	1,292	1,230	+62	No	-$6	07-15 12:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$400	400	0	+400	Yes	+$0	05-09 19:29
iran full airspace closure by july 24	11	$390	294	284	+10	No	-$8	07-20 08:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	20	$350	406	376	+30	Yes	-$25	07-20 10:38
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	54	$347	340	340	+0	No	-$15	06-25 21:41
will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	17	$341	579	482	+98	No	-$136	07-15 23:49
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	21	$334	330	308	+22	No	-$3	07-22 11:54
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	24	$324	365	345	+20	Yes	-$13	07-29 19:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	55	$322	347	347	+0	No	+$2	06-01 12:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	15	$315	338	338	+0	Yes	-$17	07-18 06:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	49	$299	276	276	+0	No	-$4	06-01 23:14
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	21	$274	318	315	+4	Yes	-$66	07-21 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	50	$265	246	246	+0	Up	-$4	05-29 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	45	$263	272	272	+0	No	-$6	06-01 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	57	$257	252	252	+0	No	-$7	05-31 23:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	50	$255	223	253	-30	No	+$4	05-29 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 01:22:37	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x915208…
09-17 01:22:19	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xaa691e…
09-08 20:15:07	will the fix score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x341460…
09-08 19:43:37	will the fix score at least 40 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7a5cec…
09-01 10:57:03	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdccf06…
09-01 08:07:28	Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x0db641…
08-19 11:32:39	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xb918e2…
08-19 11:17:21	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe6818b…
08-18 11:25:42	will masoud pezeshkian attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260812154221271	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xbc5582…
08-18 09:52:27	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x6c39d6…
08-18 09:37:01	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xfe91cc…
08-18 09:15:52	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6d6c83…
08-18 09:15:49	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfb447d…
08-18 09:13:49	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x92c8d5…
08-18 09:11:42	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcd6d34…
08-18 08:51:58	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xace209…
08-18 08:51:49	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x546f9b…
08-18 07:09:28	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x46c1a6…
08-18 06:56:28	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9f79ec…
08-18 06:17:28	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x608e07…
08-18 06:17:28	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x19b98b…
08-18 06:16:13	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xdcb8aa…
08-18 05:58:57	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xae9705…
08-18 05:58:13	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x85472d…
08-18 05:52:39	will coyote vs acme score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260831	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb54999…
08-17 18:41:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xffd0e6…
08-17 18:32:01	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7ad8f1…
08-17 18:26:19	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x67ef92…
08-17 14:53:37	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x360bb3…
08-17 14:27:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa0b078…
08-17 14:22:13	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x22b48e…
08-15 01:01:24	Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?	No	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xa9857a…
08-15 00:59:27	Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x104533…
08-15 00:47:52	Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf4b810…
08-15 00:47:52	Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x2ade79…
08-15 00:45:21	Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x59538b…
08-14 04:06:43	adsk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 27 2026 3pt12	No	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x1161f9…
08-13 20:20:28	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xa03336…
08-13 20:06:52	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb48bcb…
08-13 20:00:34	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xdd8a48…
08-13 19:55:09	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0xf7ead7…
08-13 19:51:43	Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x41dba4…
08-13 09:23:00	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x7175db…
08-13 09:22:10	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xc2b44d…
08-12 19:13:27	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd95e60…
08-12 19:02:03	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd899f6…
08-12 18:53:27	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x46920f…
08-12 18:47:01	Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x70fa51…
08-12 00:25:48	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x788da3…
08-12 00:25:09	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xf54e62…
08-11 23:48:28	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x6bf260…
08-11 23:47:58	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xb72fd8…
08-11 23:47:39	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xccc925…
08-11 23:47:39	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa1c4f5…
08-11 10:54:28	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x02654d…
08-11 10:43:30	Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd9af82…
08-11 08:45:28	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0x14b61a…
08-11 08:40:06	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x4bb1f5…
08-11 08:34:04	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x2e02d4…
08-11 08:32:31	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe50337…
08-11 08:32:10	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x8fd47c…
08-11 08:32:04	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe2280a…
08-11 07:32:45	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0b455e…
08-11 04:32:13	Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x64ea8c…
08-11 02:15:10	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	SELL	41	38¢	$16	0xd45a27…
08-11 02:15:09	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x5ed8c3…
08-11 02:02:04	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x342f1b…
08-11 02:01:30	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x56da2f…
08-11 02:00:12	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2f4d1a…
08-11 01:58:52	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0xe96ea1…
08-11 01:47:43	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5c0919…
08-11 01:45:58	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9f94df…
08-11 01:44:57	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x95d6c3…
08-11 01:43:43	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x81588d…
08-10 17:17:03	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x7d94ca…
08-10 10:21:28	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x81bd16…
08-10 10:19:27	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0x72f1df…
08-10 09:59:43	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x337108…
08-10 09:59:40	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xcac279…
08-10 06:32:13	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x3bfee0…
08-10 04:56:43	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9cd7e6…
08-10 04:53:04	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xa26e8b…
08-10 04:51:22	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0x412ee1…
08-10 04:49:52	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5f1adb…
08-10 04:49:36	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x702a68…
08-10 04:49:22	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0d3cf2…
08-10 04:49:21	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x69c41b…
08-10 02:17:39	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xab1ad6…
08-10 02:16:33	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x590831…
08-10 02:13:36	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x42b9f4…
08-10 02:12:13	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x896954…
08-10 02:11:40	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x077b66…
08-10 02:11:03	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x186d39…
08-10 02:10:21	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xc3e940…
08-10 01:25:51	Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xafabd6…
08-09 17:45:07	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x0ed528…
08-09 17:36:06	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6e0669…
08-09 12:59:54	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x9f74fc…
08-09 12:58:30	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf1e53c…
08-09 12:40:52	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 14 1786098036078	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9fb78a…