Melodic-Winery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

315

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

77% 42% +$218

Sports

15% 46% +$7

Politics

5% 24% -$76

Crypto

2% 41% -$30

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+92	$10	10¢	$9	-$1	10-04 17:41
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+261	$15	0¢	$1	-$14	10-28 12:37
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	+4	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	07-15 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	2	$85	96	0	+96	No	+$11	08-07 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	08-19 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	08-19 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	3	$41	47	0	+47	Yes	+$6	08-28 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	4	$41	29	29	+0	No	+$17	07-31 05:40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 8?	1	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	08-07 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	1	$40	44	0	+44	Yes	+$4	09-22 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?	4	$38	46	10	+36	No	+$4	09-11 05:03
elc der swe 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	1	$35	113	0	+113	Over	-$35	03-07 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	3	$35	52	0	+52	Yes	-$35	08-08 15:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	Yes	-$30	03-03 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	1	$30	433	0	+433	No	-$30	03-10 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	08-05 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	1	$30	42	0	+42	No	+$12	08-08 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	-$6	09-11 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	07-31 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	2	$21	30	0	+30	Yes	+$9	08-29 05:26
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	07-15 09:26
nba min okc 2026 03 15 spread home 9pt5	2	$21	46	0	+46	Thunder	+$13	03-15 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	+$14	07-31 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	-$20	08-19 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$5	09-16 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6?	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	+$9	08-05 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	08-08 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 9?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	09-09 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	08-04 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?	1	$19	22	0	+22	No	+$3	08-04 05:43
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$17	200	200	+0	No	-$15	03-23 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 30?	3	$16	34	0	+34	Yes	+$17	08-30 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	09-28 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:37:56	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x1d0dbb…
10-04 17:41:38	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xba4912…
10-04 17:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0febed…
10-04 17:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8827bf…
09-29 17:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c12f9…
09-29 17:55:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xd2d0cd…
09-28 05:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa9ce43…
09-27 15:48:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf1b240…
09-24 17:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7aabfd…
09-24 13:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x9cb4b0…
09-24 13:41:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x206536…
09-24 03:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x2f86ca…
09-23 17:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd683cc…
09-23 17:33:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2370b7…
09-22 15:52:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1e7312…
09-22 15:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd48f20…
09-22 04:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x6a4833…
09-21 17:46:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x406229…
09-21 03:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfe49b5…
09-20 16:32:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5c81af…
09-20 05:48:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x54ca0c…
09-19 14:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x37c438…
09-18 15:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x591704…
09-18 10:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6ba2d6…
09-17 11:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5d91e1…
09-17 11:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3fd611…
09-16 17:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe6d3cb…
09-16 11:49:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x072e06…
09-16 10:16:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6bf0cc…
09-16 03:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x7e4acd…
09-15 15:20:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1b012e…
09-15 13:02:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc0ce6c…
09-14 15:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xd125b5…
09-14 15:39:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd98e37…
09-13 12:20:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x8c3842…
09-12 08:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa3bbb0…
09-12 08:13:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xad7a0a…
09-11 10:42:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc28633…
09-11 05:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xef030a…
09-11 05:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x285842…
09-11 05:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x5f943e…
09-11 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x885471…
09-11 04:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$9	0x4d7cff…
09-11 04:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x72e012…
09-11 04:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xfcc1e4…
09-10 14:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x21dac2…
09-10 09:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xec8e8c…
09-10 09:31:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x308c56…
09-09 06:35:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 10?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x30baa0…
09-09 06:34:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7ca57e…
09-09 03:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb734da…
09-08 09:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6f9d88…
09-08 09:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0320f2…
09-08 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xc54399…
09-07 09:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3a351d…
09-07 09:42:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x58cfab…
09-02 18:29:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x04f71d…
09-01 12:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x684117…
09-01 12:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6661fe…
09-01 04:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xadddd2…
09-01 03:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x996bfc…
09-01 03:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfa7a0d…
08-31 04:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 31?	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x1ea9ec…
08-31 03:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x74f8a7…
08-30 16:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2efe2d…
08-30 16:57:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3041a0…
08-30 15:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdebc6b…
08-30 04:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x723eb8…
08-30 04:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x2c5f13…
08-30 04:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe35948…
08-30 04:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x60331b…
08-29 16:52:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfe9152…
08-29 16:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x5eb221…
08-29 08:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2ed56d…
08-29 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5beb5d…
08-29 07:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x3bf628…
08-29 05:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdf2589…
08-29 03:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcfaff4…
08-28 06:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9b27e8…
08-28 05:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8c4486…
08-28 03:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x4f8b5d…
08-27 16:26:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6dc311…
08-27 15:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8f5c95…
08-27 15:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf275b…
08-27 15:23:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x683f6f…
08-27 03:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x2f8e34…
08-26 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x93aa72…
08-26 08:22:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2b5980…
08-25 15:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3b7e3b…
08-25 15:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9b25b6…
08-25 15:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb5602f…
08-25 15:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2c240b…
08-25 15:27:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb78a8e…
08-25 14:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2a527e…
08-25 14:53:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8de86b…
08-24 04:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x939b57…
08-23 16:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x305530…
08-23 16:28:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8d5044…
08-23 10:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3f0d11…
08-23 10:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x835628…