Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$13.6K

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

674

lifetime

Volume

$208.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

$54.9K

15 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 10-27 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

97% 75% +$17,645

Other

3% 75% +$521

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+15,010	$9,316	68¢	$10.3K	+$966	10-24 16:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+9,000	$8,151	99¢	$8.9K	+$772	10-27 19:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+9,000	$7,740	84¢	$7.6K	-$140	10-12 06:22
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+6,000	$4,380	70¢	$4.2K	-$150	10-13 09:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+6,000	$3,780	68¢	$4.1K	+$330	10-14 19:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+6,000	$3,780	68¢	$4.0K	+$270	10-14 01:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+6,000	$4,080	56¢	$3.3K	-$750	10-27 21:32
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,620	80¢	$2.4K	+$780	10-14 19:10
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+3,000	$1,620	80¢	$2.4K	+$765	10-14 19:10
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+3,000	$2,250	78¢	$2.3K	+$75	10-14 21:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+3,000	$1,860	68¢	$2.1K	+$195	10-20 07:13
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+2,000	$1,910	74¢	$1.5K	-$420	10-26 05:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+1,995	$1,916	74¢	$1.5K	-$450	10-26 08:41
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+8,000	$9,832	2¢	$200	-$9,632	10-27 23:02
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+9,000	$6,330	1¢	$90	-$6,240	10-27 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	148	$45.1K	56,921	6,000	+50,922	Yes	+$15,175	10-25 23:22
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	40	$23.3K	26,000	0	+26,000	Yes	+$2,704	09-20 18:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	23	$16.1K	20,510	5,500	+15,010	open	—	10-24 16:00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	18	$14.6K	18,000	3,000	+15,000	open	—	10-27 19:45
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	26	$13.0K	14,000	6,000	+8,000	open	—	10-27 23:02
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	12	$10.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$1,040	10-04 21:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	12	$9.9K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$2,081	10-25 21:48
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$8.2K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	10-27 19:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$7.7K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	10-12 06:22
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	15	$6.5K	6,000	5,000	+1,000	Yes	-$1,870	10-25 12:35
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	37	$6.5K	6,000	5,000	+1,000	No	-$1,870	10-25 12:35
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$6.3K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	10-27 18:47
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$5.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$360	10-04 21:51
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$4.4K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	10-13 09:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$4.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	10-27 21:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	230	$3.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	10-14 19:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$3.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	10-14 01:10
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	16	$3.2K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	open	—	10-26 05:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	39	$3.2K	3,000	1,005	+1,995	open	—	10-26 08:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$2.3K	2,600	0	+2,600	Yes	+$338	09-16 16:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$2.2K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-14 21:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-20 07:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-23 20:02
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	2	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-14 19:10
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	1	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-14 19:10
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	3	$1.3K	1,450	0	+1,450	Yes	+$145	09-18 15:03
Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	9	$461	500	0	+500	No	+$39	09-06 12:38
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	3	$128	152	0	+152	Yes	+$24	10-25 15:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$5	8	5	+3	No	-$1	09-01 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:02:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,000	26¢	$780	0x5f2061…
10-27 23:02:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,000	28¢	$828	0x2d22ce…
10-27 21:32:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0x433021…
10-27 19:52:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	112	80¢	$90	0xa15908…
10-27 19:52:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc37f59…
10-27 19:51:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x20cec8…
10-27 19:50:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x720db2…
10-27 19:45:44	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	63	69¢	$44	0xc18244…
10-27 19:45:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	441	69¢	$304	0x1dc1b7…
10-27 19:45:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	69¢	$1,380	0xa241e3…
10-27 19:44:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	496	69¢	$342	0xbcc060…
10-27 19:43:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,708	80¢	$2,166	0x1923e8…
10-27 19:38:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x8c306e…
10-27 19:37:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x759008…
10-27 19:37:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe38c5c…
10-27 19:35:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	48	80¢	$38	0x44ce0e…
10-27 19:14:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	972	95¢	$925	0x53a2bd…
10-27 19:13:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,131	95¢	$1,076	0xff285a…
10-27 19:07:45	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	896	95¢	$853	0x4d076b…
10-27 18:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	373	68¢	$254	0xc9c31b…
10-27 18:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	222	68¢	$151	0xc6faee…
10-27 18:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	68¢	$1,360	0xbeae96…
10-27 18:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x526b34…
10-27 18:59:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	395	68¢	$269	0x003182…
10-27 18:57:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	69¢	$2,070	0x5b035e…
10-27 18:57:00	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,847	84¢	$1,551	0xc70fbb…
10-27 18:53:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	457	84¢	$384	0xe20c82…
10-27 18:53:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	201	84¢	$169	0x230d77…
10-27 18:52:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	496	84¢	$417	0xa26927…
10-27 18:48:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,729	72¢	$1,965	0x9dcbc0…
10-27 18:48:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xd2472e…
10-27 18:48:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,071	72¢	$771	0x5ceebd…
10-27 18:48:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0x39ed5a…
10-27 18:47:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,000	72¢	$2,160	0x401c78…
10-27 18:22:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,071	86¢	$1,781	0x66305e…
10-27 18:20:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	929	86¢	$799	0xd3da07…
10-27 11:16:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,000	88¢	$2,649	0x24062d…
10-26 08:41:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	248	66¢	$163	0x4e8fc5…
10-26 08:37:12	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	121	66¢	$80	0xf588a3…
10-26 08:28:47	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x324ed0…
10-26 08:25:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcacd4d…
10-26 08:23:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0xf95e3c…
10-26 08:22:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xc05abc…
10-26 08:11:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xa8892b…
10-26 08:11:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x5edfa9…
10-26 08:09:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x59edea…
10-26 08:01:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0a9d3c…
10-26 06:15:08	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xba3fd7…
10-26 05:50:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	751	67¢	$503	0x046284…
10-26 05:34:15	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	249	67¢	$167	0x6a5394…
10-26 05:03:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x04f03e…
10-26 05:02:33	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xe23f90…
10-26 04:47:41	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x5b738b…
10-26 04:44:17	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x5525b0…
10-26 04:43:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x1a57a4…
10-26 04:01:35	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	152	66¢	$100	0x0c9574…
10-26 03:43:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	74	66¢	$49	0x0294a1…
10-26 03:07:36	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0x30e9c7…
10-26 03:05:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	72	66¢	$48	0xcdf4b4…
10-26 02:54:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xa69088…
10-26 02:30:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$17	0x99e61a…
10-26 01:55:50	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x8dbb87…
10-26 01:54:59	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x481a19…
10-26 01:52:44	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x624a4b…
10-26 01:48:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x1993f4…
10-26 01:45:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x97e942…
10-26 01:40:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0xbcae31…
10-25 23:22:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	470	89¢	$418	0xae27fe…
10-25 23:22:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,404	89¢	$1,250	0x8802d3…
10-25 23:22:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	435	89¢	$387	0xcbc9f4…
10-25 23:22:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x99692f…
10-25 23:22:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	132	89¢	$118	0x16c4e0…
10-25 23:22:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	409	89¢	$364	0x133ae8…
10-25 23:08:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	86¢	$2,580	0x156570…
10-25 23:01:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,176	0x9809a5…
10-25 22:57:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,395	78¢	$1,091	0xa4c510…
10-25 22:57:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	322	78¢	$252	0xbd8042…
10-25 22:57:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	78¢	$54	0x7ac3e2…
10-25 22:57:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x448520…
10-25 22:57:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	691	78¢	$540	0xe57871…
10-25 22:57:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x3b5ef3…
10-25 22:57:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	472	78¢	$369	0x9e6321…
10-25 22:57:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x92094d…
10-25 22:57:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	266	78¢	$208	0xee6855…
10-25 22:57:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x830bba…
10-25 22:57:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x76a5df…
10-25 22:57:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,647	78¢	$2,070	0xc5e2c4…
10-25 22:57:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6336db…
10-25 22:56:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xb770a5…
10-25 22:56:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	79¢	$53	0x92759e…
10-25 22:56:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	357	79¢	$281	0x4fa8ce…
10-25 22:56:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	79¢	$87	0x8ab49e…
10-25 22:56:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	472	79¢	$372	0xb3deb4…
10-25 22:56:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	79¢	$93	0x9b65e0…
10-25 22:56:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x942821…
10-25 22:56:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xa8639a…
10-25 22:56:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$21	0x5941e5…
10-25 22:56:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x50698e…
10-25 22:56:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x4a6d9a…
10-25 22:56:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	94	77¢	$73	0xecd4c6…