Polite-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$357

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

122

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$2.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-19 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 99% -$21

Other

14% 0% -$333

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nya up or down on march 11 2026	1	$301	602	0	+602	Down	-$301	03-11 09:17
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	5	$57	4,730	4,730	+0	No	+$0	01-26 07:29
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 26?	1	$32	40	0	+40	Down	-$32	05-26 04:22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 18?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-18 04:38
solana above 80 on june 22 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-22 04:23
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-04 04:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 1?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-01 05:02
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 8?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-08 05:02
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 23?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-23 04:47
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-24 04:54
bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	08-10 05:19
bitcoin above 60k on august 18 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	08-18 04:43
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	08-12 04:53
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-13 04:31
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 10?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-10 04:55
bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	08-19 05:42
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 16?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-16 04:37
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 17?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-17 04:44
solana above 90 on july 15 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-15 04:50
bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-13 04:23
ethereum above 1600 on june 17 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-17 04:20
bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-13 06:00
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-08 04:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-23 03:56
bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	08-14 04:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-29 04:36
xrp above 1pt3 on july 2 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-02 04:30
solana above 70 on july 20 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-20 04:36
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-14 04:22
xrp above 1 on july 3 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-03 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 05:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x3bc8b8…
10-12 06:19:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcb264e…
10-08 05:51:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84c265…
09-22 05:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf1a8ca…
09-14 04:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x521b30…
08-19 05:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cb6c4…
08-19 05:42:37	bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x5d6c1e…
08-18 04:44:18	xrp above 1pt1 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb8496c…
08-18 04:43:04	bitcoin above 60k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc101f0…
08-14 04:31:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x620b47…
08-14 04:27:55	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9cf85e…
08-13 04:25:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd95043…
08-13 04:23:45	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x514ccf…
08-12 04:55:58	xrp above 0pt9 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0565e…
08-12 04:53:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7c563b…
08-11 05:00:57	xrp above 1pt1 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5635a1…
08-11 04:59:54	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xda6710…
08-10 05:20:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x335e96…
08-10 05:19:21	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc0f39b…
08-07 04:23:43	xrp above 0pt9 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x566c0f…
08-07 04:21:52	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x567a6b…
08-06 04:32:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12f09f…
08-06 04:29:23	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe027fe…
08-05 03:22:44	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x163dda…
08-05 03:16:14	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x071abf…
08-03 04:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34595…
08-03 04:22:47	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6bf9e2…
07-31 04:38:33	xrp above 1pt1 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x45e6ac…
07-31 04:36:21	bitcoin above 68k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x73eee4…
07-29 04:39:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb8c8e…
07-29 04:36:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd97fcb…
07-28 04:39:46	xrp above 1 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0752a…
07-28 04:37:22	bitcoin above 58k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a7e62…
07-27 04:12:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a080e…
07-27 04:10:39	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xacc3d4…
07-24 04:56:13	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x404335…
07-24 04:54:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8edc7e…
07-23 04:51:33	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a8aa4…
07-23 04:47:51	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 23?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x03d31f…
07-22 04:36:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x59a12c…
07-22 04:34:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbda751…
07-20 04:36:51	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e199…
07-20 04:36:10	solana above 70 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd64c54…
07-17 04:46:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x876fad…
07-17 04:44:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e4507…
07-16 04:42:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdea3d9…
07-16 04:37:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 16?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2d793b…
07-15 04:52:47	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc344b7…
07-15 04:50:46	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x751a62…
07-14 04:27:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 14?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5cea1f…
07-14 04:22:16	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xce682b…
07-13 04:42:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6b4e4c…
07-13 04:31:32	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 13?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1d26fb…
07-10 04:57:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x014c37…
07-10 04:55:29	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xd0fb66…
07-08 05:05:23	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef34dd…
07-08 05:02:53	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x398a6b…
07-07 05:51:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05fc78…
07-07 05:48:41	xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x86d306…
07-06 05:24:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4ad0ef…
07-06 05:21:43	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1b314f…
07-03 04:49:11	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x22c0cb…
07-03 04:46:52	xrp above 1 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe1f99a…
07-02 04:34:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x981b03…
07-02 04:30:35	xrp above 1pt3 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc2501e…
07-01 05:04:08	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0432e0…
07-01 05:02:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfac4a8…
06-23 03:56:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbeef27…
06-22 04:24:47	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x476123…
06-22 04:23:10	solana above 80 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd85403…
06-18 04:39:58	xrp above 1 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x486d31…
06-18 04:38:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 18?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfcfb28…
06-17 04:25:10	solana above 80 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xde806b…
06-17 04:20:02	ethereum above 1600 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa1a678…
06-16 05:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd35ec1…
06-16 05:17:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa81a05…
06-13 06:03:01	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe50ff1…
06-13 06:00:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa62e72…
06-12 04:01:12	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x32e8c6…
06-12 03:58:58	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xef8994…
06-10 04:45:31	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13f167…
06-10 04:41:40	ethereum above 1400 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x58489b…
06-09 04:20:49	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9cf945…
06-09 04:19:39	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf92abd…
06-08 04:07:04	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x116a60…
06-08 04:03:19	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x61a28a…
06-05 04:11:54	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1573ac…
06-05 04:09:06	bitcoin above 70k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x14a8b0…
06-04 04:04:31	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2879c1…
06-04 04:02:49	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd6e8d3…
06-03 04:15:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16cde0…
06-03 04:13:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9bcb3c…
06-02 05:54:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xad70d8…
06-02 05:53:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x05a422…
06-01 04:36:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad1193…
06-01 04:34:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe4460…
05-29 04:57:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0ed961…
05-29 04:54:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8f04ee…
05-28 04:48:14	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xde0655…
05-28 04:46:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x48cef2…