Fat-Wildebeest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

2,232

Trades

2,619

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-28 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 52% +$22

Other

8% 60% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 853 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 18:02
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	1	$6	50	0	+50	Usyk	-$6	05-23 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:05 UTC	3	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	03-17 10:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:40 UTC	3	$6	14	0	+14	Down	-$6	03-17 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	Down	-$6	10-28 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	10-28 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:20 UTC	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-17 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	10-27 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 10:15 UTC	3	$5	7	0	+7	Up	-$5	03-17 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-21 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	-$5	10-21 16:24
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	10-21 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 17:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	03-17 17:35
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-21 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	10-21 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-27 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:45 UTC	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	03-17 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-27 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	10-27 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-27 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	10-13 03:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	3	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	10-13 16:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:10 UTC	3	$4	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	10-14 04:14
Solana Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-13 08:34
BNB Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-13 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	10-13 01:59
Solana Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	10-13 04:39
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	10-13 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-13 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xae8087…
10-28 00:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xad8f8a…
10-27 22:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcbed5c…
10-27 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x92e144…
10-27 18:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x64a4b7…
10-27 18:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x98d0e0…
10-27 18:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xedac8d…
10-27 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x8a2ae4…
10-27 16:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x45a25c…
10-27 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x40db73…
10-27 15:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8e0c82…
10-27 15:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb00f6d…
10-27 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0d1b9c…
10-27 14:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xee29ba…
10-27 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb6e63e…
10-27 14:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2717dc…
10-27 14:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x195180…
10-27 14:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1a5487…
10-27 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb3990d…
10-27 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1aecfa…
10-27 14:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2de754…
10-27 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x449bff…
10-27 13:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7b363d…
10-27 13:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb9f606…
10-27 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5f91e4…
10-27 13:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x789ffb…
10-27 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x254e28…
10-27 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2d5664…
10-27 12:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x880f99…
10-27 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4c850d…
10-27 11:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf8acd3…
10-27 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc48a2…
10-27 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xadcbb8…
10-27 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf0c59e…
10-27 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0f9971…
10-27 10:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x07a23f…
10-27 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x433153…
10-27 07:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdd207c…
10-27 07:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xce7e3f…
10-27 07:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x525de1…
10-27 06:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x26aa31…
10-27 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcab9d6…
10-26 23:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x516110…
10-26 22:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d6b47…
10-26 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2d590f…
10-26 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x059ea1…
10-26 21:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9c0a48…
10-26 19:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe5bbcc…
10-26 19:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3d09c1…
10-26 18:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5f1d73…
10-26 17:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x180aed…
10-26 17:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x68b07a…
10-26 17:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x750698…
10-26 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9cb58f…
10-26 17:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5714aa…
10-26 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2ac169…
10-26 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x565846…
10-26 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27a7ea…
10-26 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xef7a22…
10-26 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x40da36…
10-26 16:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x33c831…
10-26 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7515ae…
10-26 15:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8d5683…
10-26 15:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xeb0b9c…
10-26 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3fa778…
10-26 15:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9bf062…
10-26 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcf9044…
10-26 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1ca7b9…
10-26 15:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x55adf3…
10-26 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6a0613…
10-26 15:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2b5faa…
10-26 15:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbb42d5…
10-26 15:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x24b598…
10-26 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x13893d…
10-26 14:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd087b0…
10-26 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc7986…
10-26 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd1abc2…
10-26 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd06751…
10-26 14:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9258a5…
10-26 14:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x71258d…
10-26 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29cb71…
10-26 14:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa915e5…
10-26 14:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ba08f…
10-26 14:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x419b6c…
10-26 13:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9e96cd…
10-26 13:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x43664d…
10-26 13:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x80a7f0…
10-26 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcb0171…
10-26 13:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5b8d81…
10-26 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5ff7b3…
10-26 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x69b332…
10-26 13:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30d8e8…
10-26 13:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf49b08…
10-26 13:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7f4b60…
10-26 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1d5725…
10-26 12:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1dbc84…
10-26 12:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe6a661…
10-26 12:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x411aeb…
10-26 12:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9a9d91…
10-26 11:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x440cdf…