Worse-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$268

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

18 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.78K

$1.78K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$743

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

90% 100% +$268

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	No	+500	$300	60¢	$298	$-2	05-06 21:06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	+600	$270	44¢	$267	$-3	05-06 20:05
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	+300	$175	57¢	$172	$-2	05-06 19:04
Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	+21	$6	30¢	$6	$-0	05-07 11:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$624	800	0	+800	No	+$176	05-06 17:38
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	1	$300	500	0	+500	open	—	05-06 21:06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	1	$270	600	0	+600	open	—	05-06 20:05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	5	$216	150	208	-58	No	+$33	05-06 17:11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$175	300	0	+300	open	—	05-06 19:04
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	2	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 10:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	5	$89	148	0	+148	Karolina Pliskova	+$59	05-06 16:18
Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	1	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	05-07 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 11:53:55	Will Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x2b5de9…
05-07 10:05:55	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x464d05…
05-07 10:04:13	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x386f76…
05-06 21:06:21	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x50c220…
05-06 20:05:20	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	600	45¢	$270	0xe37647…
05-06 19:04:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	216	58¢	$125	0x81f981…
05-06 19:04:38	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	84	59¢	$50	0xcad3f6…
05-06 17:38:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	No	BUY	800	78¢	$624	0xf50d0b…
05-06 17:11:05	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0x22d56b…
05-06 17:07:05	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x1f328b…
05-06 17:06:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	106	60¢	$64	0x8746cb…
05-06 16:57:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	102	60¢	$61	0x06f681…
05-06 16:55:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	102	61¢	$62	0x024ea0…
05-06 16:18:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0x193182…
05-06 16:15:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x085afb…
05-06 16:15:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0x6f3d04…
05-06 16:15:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x1fdd7d…
05-06 16:15:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Karolina Pliskova	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xe99225…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	5	$38.7K	35	05-07 10:34
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$2.63K	52	05-07 06:53
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	3	$2.72K	334	05-06 20:56
Full-Chandelier 0x9fcb…207c	3	$1.35K	157	05-06 20:56
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	3	$1.12K	26	05-06 18:54