Winged-Glut — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

110

11,171 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$839

$40.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-30 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 45% +$104

Other

43% 74% -$546

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	+10	$7	95¢	$10	+$2	10-24 15:33
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	+16	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	10-27 13:46
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	+5	$4	3¢	$0	-$3	10-27 17:03
bitcoin above 80k on october 31 2026	Yes	+5	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-25 04:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	24	$378	273	224	+49	No	+$27	05-27 22:41
bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	48	$354	498	221	+277	Yes	+$20	06-07 15:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	20	$317	266	224	+41	Yes	+$18	05-28 01:16
bitcoin above 60k on june 10 2026	112	$297	783	0	+783	Yes	-$26	06-10 10:18
bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	105	$248	589	12	+577	No	-$33	06-09 02:06
bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	84	$213	558	27	+531	No	+$175	06-09 14:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 30?	34	$198	335	0	+335	Yes	-$98	05-30 14:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	99	$197	420	0	+420	No	+$27	06-11 07:02
bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	59	$195	408	0	+408	Yes	+$9	06-10 18:38
will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	81	$181	365	0	+365	No	+$11	06-15 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?	84	$178	352	0	+352	No	-$12	06-01 15:01
bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	43	$178	880	0	+880	Yes	-$39	06-07 05:39
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	79	$175	490	0	+490	Yes	-$10	06-14 21:02
bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	66	$175	340	0	+340	Yes	-$6	06-09 21:21
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	40	$170	589	0	+589	No	-$38	06-05 12:03
bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	69	$169	347	0	+347	Yes	+$14	06-10 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 26?	5	$166	174	0	+174	No	+$8	08-26 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	31	$166	341	0	+341	No	-$11	06-02 22:12
bitcoin above 60k on june 12 2026	55	$165	688	0	+688	Yes	-$15	06-11 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 26?	5	$162	172	0	+172	No	+$11	08-26 13:54
bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	35	$161	325	0	+325	No	+$3	06-09 19:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	9	$161	98	105	-7	No	+$6	05-27 18:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	30	$154	158	38	+120	No	+$31	05-29 14:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	75	$154	324	49	+275	No	-$8	06-01 10:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?	19	$152	272	0	+272	No	+$2	06-04 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 13?	3	$151	162	0	+162	No	+$11	09-13 07:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 28?	6	$150	183	0	+183	No	+$33	08-28 06:56
bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	41	$148	427	0	+427	No	-$34	06-05 21:23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 27?	3	$148	161	0	+161	No	+$13	08-27 08:46
bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	59	$147	464	0	+464	No	-$34	06-11 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xa4346a…
10-30 17:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x39ee24…
10-30 16:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xe40870…
10-30 16:10:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 3?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x5bcce8…
10-30 16:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x98d517…
10-30 16:10:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x42c86d…
10-30 14:39:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x27e477…
10-30 08:53:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x491fcf…
10-29 22:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x329ee3…
10-29 22:12:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xe18115…
10-29 22:12:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x51c004…
10-29 17:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x57635f…
10-29 17:06:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x178df1…
10-29 17:06:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x16f641…
10-29 16:12:59	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xd9e5b7…
10-29 16:12:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x8b309c…
10-29 16:12:58	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x15321e…
10-29 09:55:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xfe734f…
10-29 08:57:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1c4e62…
10-29 04:34:01	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xccde34…
10-29 04:12:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$14	0x16e05f…
10-29 02:16:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x34aee7…
10-28 20:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x5a15a6…
10-28 19:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x97c4e8…
10-28 18:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x25dbb0…
10-28 16:07:11	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 31?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x0ebe66…
10-28 16:07:11	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 30?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x03914c…
10-28 15:59:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xbe1847…
10-28 15:17:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xa3fd3f…
10-28 12:52:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe857fb…
10-28 12:52:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xddfe1a…
10-28 12:52:20	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x65c748…
10-28 12:52:16	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x65a90d…
10-28 03:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa96664…
10-27 21:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb071e2…
10-27 17:03:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5abc98…
10-27 17:03:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xcc84c7…
10-27 17:03:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xc8fce7…
10-27 17:03:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x85d47d…
10-27 15:21:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x7f40ac…
10-27 14:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xb6d86d…
10-27 13:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x6efa0f…
10-27 13:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x6de74d…
10-27 13:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xe5fe3b…
10-27 13:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xdd1eaf…
10-27 13:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x4f9531…
10-27 13:46:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x058cf1…
10-27 13:46:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xeb0897…
10-27 13:46:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xadad38…
10-27 13:46:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6f5b3a…
10-27 12:53:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xaf8cb5…
10-27 03:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x73619e…
10-27 02:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x584230…
10-27 00:17:11	Solana Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4b02e7…
10-27 00:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x8368a9…
10-26 20:47:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x1374cf…
10-26 19:40:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xb9c3a5…
10-26 17:08:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x172e69…
10-26 16:07:15	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 30?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf8372e…
10-26 16:07:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x4b6984…
10-26 16:07:15	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on November 1?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x20bcae…
10-26 16:07:14	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0xd94ac6…
10-26 16:07:14	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xa071a7…
10-26 16:07:14	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x3e4c44…
10-26 16:07:14	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 31?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x2b2ef5…
10-26 16:07:14	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x27d10b…
10-26 16:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xe5e5b6…
10-26 16:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8cb9f1…
10-26 16:07:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x771055…
10-26 16:07:12	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x5727a7…
10-26 16:07:12	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x2bab2b…
10-26 16:07:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 26?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd83724…
10-26 16:07:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x742b6b…
10-26 15:59:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x8f7391…
10-26 15:59:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x401255…
10-26 15:01:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xb6ce8a…
10-26 15:01:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x73fb34…
10-26 10:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x1fe0dd…
10-26 10:07:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x9cf857…
10-26 10:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x9387bc…
10-25 20:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x8a8c7a…
10-25 20:46:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd293b7…
10-25 20:46:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5a58ee…
10-25 20:46:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x7d91c7…
10-25 17:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xc35311…
10-25 17:51:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x2e4c9f…
10-25 16:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x34a7ca…
10-25 16:05:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xa1fcd8…
10-25 08:30:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on October 26?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbdb708…
10-25 08:30:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x54eb76…
10-25 08:30:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x1cf669…
10-25 04:12:32	bitcoin above 80k on october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1b2a50…
10-25 02:05:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x4785fa…
10-25 01:39:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7f8f18…
10-25 01:39:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 25?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x6b2b3e…
10-24 19:05:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd5f62a…
10-24 18:09:51	Solana Up or Down on October 25?	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x43bdc2…
10-24 18:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down on October 25?	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xa7b4ed…
10-24 17:49:23	Ethereum Up or Down on October 25?	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0dba00…
10-24 16:57:41	Solana Up or Down on October 25?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbdfaf2…