Respectful-Tutu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.2%

Resolved

Trades

640

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-29 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

62% 10% -$1,091

Politics

27% 17% -$627

Crypto

11% 50% -$26

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$777	251,993	149,688	+102,305	No	-$309	03-18 07:43
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$276	50,985	0	+50,985	No	-$276	03-13 09:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$205	190,112	0	+190,112	Yes	-$205	03-25 20:25
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$184	72,957	0	+72,957	No	-$184	03-17 14:47
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	4	$182	153,180	0	+153,180	No	-$182	03-19 09:01
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	401	$179	112,748	0	+112,748	Yes	-$179	03-28 13:17
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	8	$123	60,137	0	+60,137	Yes	-$123	05-03 22:06
Epstein client list released by June 30?	4	$100	19	449	-429	No	+$13	06-19 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:50 UTC	2	$84	50	50	+1	Up	+$15	03-22 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:45 UTC	2	$70	35	35	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:40 UTC	4	$65	41	41	+0	Down	+$9	03-22 16:45
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$58	2,215	2,215	+0	No	+$5	03-08 00:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:55 UTC	1	$49	75	0	+75	Down	-$49	03-22 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 16:35 UTC	2	$47	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	03-22 16:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$42	245	245	+0	No	+$2	03-28 12:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$36	3,522	0	+3,522	Yes	-$17	06-17 17:52
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$35	3,106	0	+3,106	Yes	-$35	03-06 08:33
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	6	$31	1,083	8	+1,074	Yes	-$14	03-29 04:49
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$31	33	33	+0	Yes	+$16	05-06 06:14
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	6	$27	227	0	+227	No	-$27	05-08 07:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	5	$23	12,400	10,700	+1,700	Yes	-$2	04-20 22:05
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	3	$23	595	0	+595	No	-$23	04-19 20:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$19	3,000	2,000	+1,000	No	-$11	04-29 18:13
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	1	$18	18,490	0	+18,490	No	-$18	05-12 08:10
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$18	434	434	+0	Yes	-$14	03-31 06:49
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	6	$16	1,134	1,093	+42	No	-$4	04-01 06:03
will gta 6 cost 100	2	$15	1,083	1,083	+0	No	$0	02-16 02:12
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	2	$15	1,128	0	+1,128	No	-$15	06-25 23:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$14	576	576	+0	No	+$1	04-14 09:09
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	6	$13	66	66	+0	No	-$4	05-19 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:42:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x696094…
06-28 02:39:14	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xadd845…
06-28 02:39:05	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5307b5…
06-28 02:39:02	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0xc6461a…
06-28 02:39:02	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x9a9a87…
06-28 02:38:59	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x968f96…
06-28 02:38:47	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0x5e961d…
06-25 23:10:05	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd492e3…
06-25 23:06:29	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x71fd6d…
06-25 22:56:50	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x70d72c…
06-25 22:49:37	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x222140…
06-20 23:37:32	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x05f5db…
06-19 00:10:19	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x15be84…
06-19 00:10:10	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa0017c…
06-19 00:09:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x65b57c…
06-19 00:08:10	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x48af57…
06-18 14:29:25	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2cc58b…
06-17 17:52:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,280	0¢	$13	0xac43be…
06-17 15:46:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9cb19…
05-28 06:53:44	Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5496a6…
05-28 06:53:35	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb0a841…
05-28 06:53:26	Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd4ec7f…
05-28 06:53:18	Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1068b5…
05-28 06:52:57	Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x71c12a…
05-28 06:52:48	Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5200dd…
05-28 06:52:39	Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f623e…
05-28 06:52:32	Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8d324b…
05-25 16:32:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4f7f59…
05-25 08:55:14	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	1,380	0¢	$1	0x038ab3…
05-24 07:36:39	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	153	0¢	$0	0x961923…
05-24 07:33:30	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x403f1e…
05-24 07:33:26	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x05ec85…
05-24 07:32:09	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0xb860ad…
05-24 07:32:02	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xb08fae…
05-24 07:32:00	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	229	0¢	$0	0xbc3a53…
05-23 23:48:05	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x29c2d2…
05-23 22:11:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe64ade…
05-23 22:11:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xef012a…
05-23 22:11:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xb04cb6…
05-23 22:11:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x192c07…
05-23 22:11:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	241	1¢	$1	0x15682d…
05-23 09:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x1c17e8…
05-23 09:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe489fb…
05-22 14:28:32	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x8cfd04…
05-22 06:50:56	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc4e91d…
05-19 13:12:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	223	2¢	$4	0x7ffe5f…
05-19 06:41:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	7¢	$5	0x06c0e3…
05-19 06:20:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2cac58…
05-19 05:35:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x408fce…
05-19 05:35:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb6ada2…
05-19 05:35:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xab423b…
05-12 08:11:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	66	13¢	$9	0xa265b7…
05-12 08:10:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	18,490	0¢	$18	0x54f031…
05-10 13:28:06	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa5dad1…
05-10 13:28:03	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	166	1¢	$1	0x8e152c…
05-10 13:27:56	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf1aeab…
05-10 13:27:52	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x90f7f2…
05-10 13:27:49	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xd817e8…
05-10 12:33:21	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x1e50df…
05-10 12:24:47	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8c9e7f…
05-10 11:55:35	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdd48ec…
05-10 11:48:51	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf6d7c9…
05-09 14:52:59	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xab39ea…
05-09 14:52:59	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2b9f23…
05-09 12:54:34	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x28762b…
05-09 12:52:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6c9efa…
05-08 12:00:35	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xad26ff…
05-08 12:00:35	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x307f24…
05-08 11:07:32	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0xd40f6e…
05-08 10:36:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xfc53d4…
05-08 10:36:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x7c7f28…
05-08 10:36:56	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0x1e6bb1…
05-08 09:56:32	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6affe6…
05-08 09:54:47	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdef208…
05-08 09:54:47	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x86a1ff…
05-08 07:37:33	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x91e333…
05-08 07:26:16	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3a45ae…
05-08 07:24:42	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xd097c4…
05-08 07:24:42	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x46f6c1…
05-08 07:24:40	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0xeb906c…
05-08 07:24:40	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x6c7a7e…
05-08 07:24:26	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x2a2448…
05-08 07:23:54	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5d50af…
05-08 06:49:00	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x225b4d…
05-08 06:44:39	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa49044…
05-08 06:44:27	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe788ef…
05-08 06:44:27	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x37e39d…
05-08 06:44:27	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x264ad0…
05-08 06:44:23	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa02232…
05-08 06:44:23	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x84e229…
05-08 06:44:23	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x151cf2…
05-08 06:44:21	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xde49e1…
05-08 06:44:21	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd1d998…
05-08 06:44:21	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x32e8e4…
05-08 06:44:21	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x037270…
05-08 06:44:00	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$0	0x1bf287…
05-08 06:43:48	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7b2607…
05-08 06:43:45	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x285cc3…
05-08 06:43:38	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	559	0¢	$1	0x1c0bb6…
05-06 17:46:37	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0xc9053a…