Unwilling-Hut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

671

Trades

2,721

lifetime

Volume

$107.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-22 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

70% 62% -$1,551

Crypto

30% 59% -$1,852

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 80 81f	7	$2.1K	1,078	1,076	+2	No	+$42	04-20 14:56
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 48 49f	4	$1.9K	1,001	999	+3	No	+$50	04-05 20:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 44 45f	3	$1.9K	952	951	+0	No	+$9	04-05 17:51
highest temperature in atlanta on april 1 2026 80 81f	20	$1.8K	923	919	+4	No	+$89	04-01 18:54
highest temperature in busan on april 9 2026 18corhigher	17	$1.7K	1,230	1,166	+64	Yes	-$635	04-09 12:59
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 10c	2	$1.6K	800	800	+0	No	+$11	04-21 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	24	$1.5K	1,347	1,347	+0	Yes	-$792	05-11 08:59
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 11c	6	$1.5K	744	743	+0	No	+$9	04-20 10:57
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 56forhigher	7	$1.5K	742	742	+0	No	+$6	04-05 23:45
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 12c	2	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$7	03-20 13:22
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	5	$1.2K	634	631	+3	No	+$54	04-20 11:58
highest temperature in wellington on april 6 2026 23corhigher	15	$1.2K	618	616	+2	No	+$22	04-06 12:04
highest temperature in busan on april 7 2026 17c	10	$1.1K	573	572	+1	No	+$11	04-07 11:58
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 34 35f	10	$1.1K	558	557	+1	No	+$22	04-07 17:53
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 70 71f	18	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	+$39	03-21 21:06
highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 74 75f	9	$1.1K	806	263	+543	No	+$10	04-21 12:54
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	19	$1.0K	949	945	+4	Yes	-$742	04-22 00:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 21 2026 58 59f	3	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$52	03-21 22:28
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 16c	2	$976	492	492	+0	No	+$6	04-24 12:56
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 18 2026 30c	10	$972	524	524	+0	Yes	+$75	03-18 18:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 8 2026 14c	12	$972	509	508	+1	No	+$10	04-08 07:01
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 11c	8	$950	488	488	+0	No	+$25	03-19 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 10?	20	$912	467	467	+0	No	+$16	05-10 11:50
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	5	$894	455	454	+1	Yes	+$13	04-03 15:58
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 30c	4	$886	469	469	+0	No	+$50	03-16 16:02
highest temperature in moscow on april 23 2026 6c	6	$830	448	444	+3	No	+$61	04-22 21:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 10?	5	$828	425	425	+0	No	+$20	05-10 22:10
highest temperature in wellington on february 11 2026 23corhigher	20	$828	431	440	-10	No	+$42	02-11 08:39
lowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 70 71f	2	$824	426	425	+1	Yes	+$26	04-24 04:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?	4	$816	416	415	+1	No	+$15	04-25 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 04:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x33cbc6…
09-22 01:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xd8ae91…
09-15 05:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf22aba…
09-15 02:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x5eed5c…
09-12 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xdbe904…
09-12 12:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0x194ac0…
09-12 12:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	52¢	$41	0x81e7e9…
09-12 12:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x217e0d…
09-11 01:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	130	48¢	$63	0xba4341…
09-11 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeb205d…
09-11 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe99254…
09-11 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xb414d5…
09-11 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x83f617…
09-11 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xcd83bd…
09-11 01:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaa8001…
09-11 01:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8fb2d2…
09-11 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x11d1da…
09-11 00:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x83a2cc…
09-11 00:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x298b90…
09-11 00:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x01d91f…
09-11 00:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4d1401…
09-11 00:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x6fc099…
09-11 00:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x457992…
09-08 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xeac816…
09-08 06:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1143ce…
09-08 06:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xe966ca…
09-08 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	34¢	$7	0x85dda8…
09-08 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x28023b…
09-08 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x25d759…
09-08 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x2c94d6…
09-08 06:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x080a41…
09-08 06:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcbbefe…
09-08 03:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0xa1f567…
09-08 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xca966c…
09-08 03:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3c7cb9…
09-08 03:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xca1a80…
09-08 03:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe23248…
09-08 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xe7367b…
09-08 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xd04440…
09-08 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x69bdf3…
09-08 03:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x55a357…
09-08 03:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x9882f5…
09-08 03:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x983676…
09-08 03:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x3a4a3a…
09-08 03:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xe90204…
09-08 03:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x717fd8…
09-08 03:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x40e987…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf8ee14…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	83	56¢	$46	0xdbaaa2…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xc21c67…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb7e2cf…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7270be…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x625378…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x58a0c1…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x2524ad…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x185480…
09-08 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0x0d0e50…
09-08 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xe80a6b…
09-08 02:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x5b10c7…
09-08 02:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x89166e…
09-08 02:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc41163…
09-08 02:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdf4e35…
09-08 02:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x60a0e6…
09-08 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	64¢	$24	0x0a0568…
09-08 02:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9e7598…
09-08 00:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	110	5¢	$6	0xe55b90…
09-08 00:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	39	68¢	$27	0x4fccba…
09-08 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x690d2e…
09-08 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0x5e53f7…
09-08 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x455ac2…
09-08 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x931041…
09-08 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x86f7e7…
09-08 00:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3f87d8…
09-08 00:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x5e3e8d…
09-08 00:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x38cb70…
09-07 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	62	72¢	$45	0x2e3ab1…
09-07 03:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xf4b515…
09-07 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xfc0c53…
09-07 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xaf1cfd…
09-07 03:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x22f929…
09-04 12:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 4?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xd959a9…
09-04 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0x93b592…
09-04 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5bfb77…
09-04 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	59	61¢	$36	0x52389f…
09-04 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc4af02…
09-04 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8e1680…
09-04 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x13eb8d…
09-04 11:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x46b44d…
09-04 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7a8a53…
09-04 11:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x218111…
09-01 05:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x8d4ef3…
09-01 05:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x860770…
09-01 05:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x70a0f7…
09-01 05:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0xa53ce7…
09-01 05:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x19a401…
09-01 05:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe5295c…
09-01 05:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x89baad…
09-01 05:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xd965e0…
09-01 05:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xdc0e11…
08-29 10:19:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9ab923…