Polished-Sty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$405

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

11.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-14 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 11% -$352

Politics

7% 20% -$52

Other

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+33	$2	2¢	$1	-$2	05-14 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	9	$521	5,303	303	+5,000	Up	-$79	05-14 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$100	114	0	+114	Down	-$100	05-14 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	8	$95	1,139	69	+1,070	Down	-$15	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$65	537	37	+500	Up	+$5	05-14 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$41	152	27	+125	Down	+$1	05-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$40	104	54	+50	Up	-$14	05-14 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$35	2,018	0	+2,018	Up	-$35	05-14 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$33	42	42	+0	Up	-$17	05-14 05:08
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	No	-$30	05-14 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$29	34	34	+0	Up	-$1	05-14 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$29	68	18	+50	Down	-$1	05-14 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$28	42	42	+0	Up	-$2	05-14 23:13
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$27	528	528	+0	No	+$8	05-14 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$25	71	0	+71	Up	-$25	05-14 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$25	833	0	+833	Down	-$25	05-14 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$20	72	0	+72	Up	-$20	05-14 02:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$13	875	875	+0	No	-$1	05-14 23:02
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	05-14 04:38
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	05-14 04:37
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	05-14 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	05-14 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-14 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-14 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-14 01:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	33	0	+33	open	—	05-14 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x2a6af6…
05-14 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9f401a…
05-14 23:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x4ccec6…
05-14 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x43dac9…
05-14 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2ad7e6…
05-14 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x35c02d…
05-14 23:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0xa213ba…
05-14 23:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5845f1…
05-14 23:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7baefe…
05-14 23:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xad1e32…
05-14 23:02:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	875	1¢	$6	0x2b0095…
05-14 23:02:08	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	528	3¢	$17	0x7fb35c…
05-14 05:15:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	875	1¢	$7	0x5c9f64…
05-14 05:13:06	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$9	0x0fed4e…
05-14 05:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x013249…
05-14 05:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x6c6cb3…
05-14 05:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x1851e5…
05-14 04:44:01	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x983d39…
05-14 04:38:46	Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbc5e7f…
05-14 04:38:07	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x86d852…
05-14 04:37:59	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc0d6e3…
05-14 04:37:36	Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x4214d3…
05-14 04:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0x6ec314…
05-14 04:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xaba980…
05-14 04:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,207	1¢	$12	0x8e5bbc…
05-14 04:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,293	1¢	$13	0x47e2d4…
05-14 04:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	224	92¢	$206	0x63a84e…
05-14 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x317150…
05-14 04:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x69e97a…
05-14 04:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0xbc086d…
05-14 04:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xbddd5f…
05-14 04:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x851783…
05-14 04:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x10b9c6…
05-14 02:25:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0xf950bc…
05-14 02:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf5db42…
05-14 02:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2858c1…
05-14 02:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5bbf75…
05-14 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1caaa3…
05-14 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0xac0b05…
05-14 02:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x118bb4…
05-14 02:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0859c8…
05-14 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd9b3d…
05-14 02:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0af2c6…
05-14 02:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd4ea37…
05-14 02:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x9f3d2b…
05-14 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xce5a81…
05-14 02:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	69	59¢	$40	0x0b7ca4…
05-14 02:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x66e752…
05-14 02:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb7d276…
05-14 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0b21fc…
05-14 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6f7459…
05-14 02:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x8dc65a…
05-14 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc1043a…
05-14 02:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3a7c0c…
05-14 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x983f45…
05-14 02:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x9a5991…
05-14 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd89aa6…
05-14 01:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x55f6ac…
05-14 01:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbd1fe8…
05-14 01:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4d88c6…
05-14 01:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xda1d61…
05-14 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdd9bae…
05-14 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x35aa62…
05-14 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9326a0…
05-14 01:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa2b9d1…
05-14 01:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3d25a2…
05-14 01:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf4b255…
05-14 01:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6168dc…
05-14 01:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3c7d23…
05-14 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x59509b…
05-14 01:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x161a2d…
05-14 01:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1cc14b…