Anguished-Revenue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$176

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

1,747

Trades

2,703

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-01 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 85% +$203

Other

9% 61% -$24

Sports

0% 40% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	—	+7	$5	88¢	$6	+$1	10-31 17:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-31 02:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-31 04:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	Yes		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1AM ET	2	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	09-09 05:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-28 04:00 UTC	5	$190	143	143	+0	Up	-$50	06-28 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	2	$176	100	100	+0	Down	+$16	08-09 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 07:00 UTC	4	$168	166	61	+105	Down	-$26	08-22 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 06:00 UTC	2	$162	119	119	+0	Down	-$38	07-04 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 07:00 UTC	2	$120	65	65	+0	Up	+$0	06-28 07:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:15 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	08-09 07:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 06:15 UTC	1	$100	107	0	+107	Down	+$7	07-04 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	2	$91	56	56	+0	Down	-$9	07-26 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 06:30 UTC	3	$87	74	22	+52	Down	-$2	07-18 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 06:00 UTC	3	$78	86	45	+41	Down	-$1	06-28 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 09:00 UTC	5	$70	60	57	+2	Down	-$24	06-28 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 07:15 UTC	2	$63	51	51	+0	Down	-$17	07-05 07:23
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 04:00 UTC	10	$59	63	0	+63	Up	+$4	08-29 07:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 10:00 UTC	2	$58	41	41	+0	Up	-$22	06-28 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 06:45 UTC	2	$56	34	34	+0	Down	-$4	08-09 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:30 UTC	2	$50	62	1	+61	Down	-$50	08-09 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:00 UTC	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	08-09 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 05:45 UTC	1	$50	58	0	+58	Down	+$8	07-04 05:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:00 UTC	1	$50	61	0	+61	Down	+$11	07-26 07:10
bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 3am et	1	$50	59	0	+59	Down	+$9	08-09 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:15 UTC	1	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	07-26 07:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 08:15 UTC	1	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	08-09 08:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:30 UTC	1	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	08-09 07:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:45 UTC	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	+$8	07-26 06:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	08-09 07:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 05:15 UTC	4	$49	42	11	+31	Up	+$0	07-30 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	5	$42	41	17	+24	Up	-$4	07-27 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$42	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	08-23 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	08-23 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4c2628…
11-01 11:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0de667…
11-01 11:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8dbfc4…
11-01 08:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x826ddf…
11-01 08:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7cb144…
11-01 08:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9821a7…
11-01 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x91e9ee…
11-01 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xddeebc…
11-01 08:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3ed2f1…
11-01 05:43:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1f3b0…
10-31 17:01:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7e22c0…
10-31 13:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe23062…
10-31 11:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26f29e…
10-31 10:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x324e21…
10-31 05:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x391bcf…
10-31 05:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3f9254…
10-31 05:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4643e8…
10-31 05:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd15f51…
10-31 05:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4f937e…
10-31 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x11693a…
10-31 05:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbeae43…
10-31 04:08:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc134ae…
10-31 03:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x67947c…
10-31 03:57:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf1e8ad…
10-31 03:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ba11d…
10-31 03:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa280f2…
10-31 03:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa92407…
10-31 03:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7530eb…
10-31 03:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4f91cb…
10-31 03:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe7466d…
10-31 03:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa999d9…
10-31 03:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf2afa4…
10-31 03:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf96743…
10-31 02:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf97f80…
10-31 02:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2fc400…
10-31 02:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x283565…
10-29 08:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5aedf0…
10-29 08:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ea336…
10-29 07:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa91320…
10-29 07:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe950ea…
10-29 02:45:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8da3e6…
10-28 13:26:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xca2f12…
10-28 10:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xfd5769…
10-28 10:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb0b988…
10-28 06:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xda93cb…
10-25 08:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe4cb4d…
10-25 08:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x795b3e…
10-24 09:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x33c41a…
10-24 05:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2db79e…
10-24 05:43:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb3c26a…
10-24 05:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x84b73a…
10-24 05:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x27553d…
10-24 05:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a83fa…
10-24 05:22:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf8773b…
10-24 05:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ace0f…
10-24 05:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3560cb…
10-24 05:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab2f26…
10-23 14:57:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb69c80…
10-23 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe32ed3…
10-23 13:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5e42d6…
10-22 10:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x621497…
10-22 09:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3f0634…
10-22 04:30:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0f9bfc…
10-21 09:47:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2cc06a…
10-21 08:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdcbb07…
10-21 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcc3705…
10-21 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba11be…
10-21 06:53:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2c7043…
10-21 06:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe4a70d…
10-15 15:22:19	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x497948…
10-15 06:48:25	bitcoin up or down october 15 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab5e10…
10-14 10:45:50	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x322d89…
10-14 09:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc17e45…
10-14 07:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf1e54c…
10-14 06:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3cfdd4…
10-11 06:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x88b337…
10-11 06:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xebf7ae…
10-11 05:53:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x98555b…
10-11 05:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd4028d…
10-11 05:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe57d0…
10-11 05:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x161abc…
10-11 05:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa99a1d…
10-11 05:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0c8a0e…
10-11 05:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x359c73…
10-11 05:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6f4d67…
10-11 05:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7f52e0…
10-11 05:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9da6ce…
10-11 04:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb1fcb5…
10-10 17:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3bf8c7…
10-10 14:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x139d3b…
10-10 07:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x96fe62…
10-10 06:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x43e70c…
10-10 06:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2c4741…
10-10 06:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb70e43…
10-10 06:22:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x91d3b2…
10-10 06:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x44b16a…
10-10 06:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x69103c…
10-10 06:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4de482…
10-10 06:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0171fe…
10-10 05:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde86e6…