Fearful-Colonization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,256

lifetime

Volume

$26.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 62% $-12

Other

20% — —

Sports

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768258800	9	$648	2,398	2,389	+9	open	—	01-12 23:12
btc updown 15m 1768259700	8	$563	1,278	664	+614	open	—	01-12 23:25
btc updown 15m 1768257000	9	$471	651	645	+7	open	—	01-12 22:43
btc updown 15m 1774456200	10	$445	532	524	+7	open	—	03-25 16:44
btc updown 15m 1771968600	4	$422	674	665	+9	open	—	02-24 21:41
btc updown 15m 1769113800	9	$388	591	379	+212	open	—	01-22 20:41
btc updown 15m 1774448100	15	$381	478	473	+5	open	—	03-25 14:29
btc updown 15m 1769197500	6	$346	461	456	+5	open	—	01-23 19:59
btc updown 15m 1771963200	7	$319	363	359	+4	open	—	02-24 20:13
btc updown 15m 1774565100	6	$317	524	519	+5	open	—	03-26 22:58
btc updown 15m 1774594800	8	$312	552	348	+205	open	—	03-27 07:11
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	5	$285	309	309	+0	open	—	01-11 21:01
btc updown 15m 1769196600	12	$269	301	298	+3	open	—	01-23 19:44
btc updown 15m 1774292400	7	$262	513	266	+247	open	—	03-23 19:10
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 mad	4	$252	364	364	+0	open	—	02-28 21:54
btc updown 15m 1772054100	9	$251	324	264	+60	open	—	02-25 21:28
btc updown 15m 1774562400	7	$235	324	272	+52	open	—	03-26 22:14
btc updown 15m 1774446300	6	$232	532	289	+243	open	—	03-25 13:59
btc updown 15m 1774636200	9	$224	386	312	+75	open	—	03-27 18:43
btc updown 15m 1774447200	5	$224	320	220	+100	open	—	03-25 14:10
btc updown 15m 1774452600	3	$211	278	192	+86	open	—	03-25 15:37
btc updown 15m 1769198400	6	$203	279	222	+57	open	—	01-23 20:10
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 bou	4	$192	218	218	+0	open	—	01-24 19:23
btc updown 15m 1774735200	14	$192	541	361	+180	open	—	03-28 22:14
btc updown 15m 1769019300	6	$184	203	200	+3	open	—	01-21 18:28
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$183	444	444	+0	open	—	02-24 21:18
btc updown 15m 1774733400	8	$183	161	158	+2	open	—	03-28 21:45
btc updown 15m 1774453500	4	$175	283	204	+79	open	—	03-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$165	197	189	+9	open	—	04-25 15:42
epl ful bri 2026 01 24 ful	2	$164	679	679	+0	open	—	01-24 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:19:18	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0xd83d81…
06-09 19:18:00	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x93886d…
06-09 19:17:31	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Up	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xfd52c7…
06-09 19:17:13	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Up	SELL	42	33¢	$14	0x4f21e8…
06-09 19:16:55	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9f9304…
06-08 21:02:54	btc updown 15m 1780952400	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0214ad…
06-08 21:00:58	btc updown 15m 1780952400	Down	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x3801ae…
06-08 21:00:48	btc updown 15m 1780952400	Down	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x8b858e…
06-08 20:58:51	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Down	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x4af43c…
06-08 20:55:06	btc updown 15m 1780951500	Down	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x9b2f42…
06-08 18:31:34	btc updown 15m 1780943400	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x50b3dd…
06-08 18:28:09	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Up	SELL	27	61¢	$17	0x318558…
06-08 18:17:46	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Up	BUY	27	46¢	$13	0x3b6776…
06-08 18:16:42	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Down	SELL	22	61¢	$13	0x18b44f…
06-08 18:15:25	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5f7a6f…
06-08 18:13:28	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	SELL	35	31¢	$11	0x9c7c13…
06-08 18:11:31	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc2c4b7…
06-08 17:55:27	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0xbe0f83…
06-06 20:47:55	btc updown 5m 1780778700	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x5f1048…
06-04 21:56:33	atp draxl gorzny 2026 06 04	Sebastian Gorzny	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x347e67…
06-04 21:54:24	atp draxl gorzny 2026 06 04	Sebastian Gorzny	SELL	53	55¢	$29	0xfc804b…
06-04 21:42:01	atp draxl gorzny 2026 06 04	Sebastian Gorzny	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x90fa96…
06-04 21:39:15	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	SELL	274	9¢	$25	0x5481a2…
06-04 21:30:07	atp nardi bertola 2026 06 04	Luca Nardi	BUY	274	16¢	$44	0x371d78…
06-04 21:27:12	btc updown 15m 1780607700	Up	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x022f10…
06-04 21:15:33	btc updown 5m 1780607700	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x06bf22…
06-04 21:14:25	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Up	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x65eff3…
06-04 21:11:30	btc updown 5m 1780607400	Up	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x98c212…
06-04 20:54:18	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	SELL	36	39¢	$14	0x8638a5…
06-04 20:48:33	btc updown 15m 1780605900	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x1984ed…
05-30 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	138	21¢	$29	0x524cdd…
05-30 16:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0x31d1d9…
05-30 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	33¢	$18	0xb9dbf0…
05-19 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xa489ac…
05-19 18:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb4c893…
05-12 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x11edad…
05-12 18:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	54	21¢	$11	0xdf51e4…
05-12 18:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0xa73ea9…
05-12 18:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	36	48¢	$17	0xea5b10…
05-12 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x08c7c9…
05-12 18:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x385b0c…
05-12 18:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xaadad9…
05-12 18:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xb9cd55…
05-12 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xd5dbca…
05-12 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x7b328a…
05-12 18:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb9a0ab…
05-12 18:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x34d615…
05-12 18:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xef61b1…
05-12 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x687c35…
05-12 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	28¢	$9	0x00981e…
05-08 16:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x2871bb…
05-08 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xeb6383…
05-08 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbce90f…
05-08 16:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x34baf1…
05-08 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x20e4f3…
05-08 16:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0x4a6769…
05-08 16:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x2e1b0b…
04-30 16:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb1f4e0…
04-30 16:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x18e2a7…
04-30 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x96ee0f…
04-30 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x041561…
04-30 16:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd4223a…
04-28 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f1cc0…
04-28 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x188c79…
04-28 21:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0x70cbe2…
04-28 21:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fcecc…
04-28 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1de51f…
04-28 20:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xb58f9c…
04-28 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1b79b7…
04-26 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x03844c…
04-25 20:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0x863b17…
04-25 20:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x820988…
04-25 20:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1cef54…
04-25 20:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x7ae21e…
04-25 20:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x951f2d…
04-25 16:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	30¢	$14	0x97ee6e…
04-25 16:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0xecb9b9…
04-25 16:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xdfa489…
04-25 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x2b2d49…
04-25 15:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	24¢	$23	0x368751…
04-25 15:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	78	31¢	$24	0x1c71c1…
04-25 15:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	82	40¢	$32	0x485ecc…
04-25 15:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	65	52¢	$34	0xa6660d…
04-25 15:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0x61a803…
04-25 15:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	46	62¢	$28	0x1855d6…
04-25 15:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xe4e1f8…
04-25 15:29:16	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	628	3¢	$19	0x4084a2…
04-25 14:53:02	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	644	17¢	$109	0x7abae2…
04-25 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	61	77¢	$47	0x6c227b…
04-25 14:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xbbe8fe…
04-25 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x257a5f…
04-25 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xfba012…
04-25 14:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x591243…
04-25 14:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	66¢	$22	0x48af76…
04-25 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x1434d3…
04-25 14:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xf9ce57…
04-25 14:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x33ec49…
04-25 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x44849c…
04-25 14:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x0dae7e…
04-25 14:20:12	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	67	11¢	$7	0x7be42a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	307	$14.7K	2,119	06-09 19:18
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	299	$5.90K	990	04-30 16:57
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	272	$199.5K	28,776	03-31 19:09
(anonymous) 0x9cc5…c565	259	$3.85K	2,084	03-31 19:09
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	255	$58.8K	1,878	03-31 19:01
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	254	$353.4K	67,029	06-08 21:07
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	252	$24.2K	4,655	05-12 18:31
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	240	$16.8K	3,357	06-09 19:19