Fearful-Colonization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

943

Trades

3,218

lifetime

Volume

$36.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 37% -$1,485

Other

17% 24% -$419

Sports

2% 17% -$19

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 23:00 UTC	9	$648	2,398	2,389	+9	Down	+$36	01-12 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 23:15 UTC	8	$563	1,278	664	+614	Up	-$127	01-12 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 22:30 UTC	9	$471	651	645	+7	Up	+$99	01-12 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:30 UTC	10	$445	532	524	+7	Down	+$19	03-25 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 21:30 UTC	4	$422	674	665	+9	Up	-$106	02-24 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 20:30 UTC	9	$388	591	379	+212	Down	+$90	01-22 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:15 UTC	15	$381	478	473	+5	Down	+$74	03-25 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:45 UTC	6	$346	461	456	+5	Up	+$22	01-23 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	12	$339	686	388	+298	Down	+$14	10-26 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 20:00 UTC	7	$319	363	359	+4	Down	+$111	02-24 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 21:00 UTC	4	$319	554	540	+14	Down	+$179	06-15 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 22:45 UTC	6	$317	524	519	+5	Up	+$45	03-26 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 07:00 UTC	8	$312	552	348	+205	Up	+$23	03-27 07:11
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	5	$285	309	309	+0	Bills	+$45	01-11 21:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:30 UTC	12	$269	301	298	+3	Up	+$39	01-23 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	7	$262	513	266	+247	Down	+$7	03-23 19:10
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 mad	4	$252	364	364	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 21:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 21:15 UTC	9	$251	324	264	+60	Down	+$23	02-25 21:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 22:00 UTC	7	$235	324	272	+52	Up	+$74	03-26 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:45 UTC	6	$232	532	289	+243	Down	+$18	03-25 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 18:30 UTC	9	$224	386	312	+75	Up	+$17	03-27 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:00 UTC	5	$224	320	220	+100	Down	+$9	03-25 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	3	$211	278	192	+86	Down	+$27	03-25 15:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 20:00 UTC	6	$203	279	222	+57	Up	-$30	01-23 20:10
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 bou	4	$192	218	218	+0	Yes	+$112	01-24 19:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 22:00 UTC	14	$192	541	361	+180	Down	+$13	03-28 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 18:15 UTC	6	$184	203	200	+3	Up	+$7	01-21 18:28
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$183	444	444	+0	Yes	+$103	02-24 21:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 21:30 UTC	8	$183	161	158	+2	Up	+$51	03-28 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	8	$182	448	329	+119	Up	+$2	10-26 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xeb668b…
10-29 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x533581…
10-29 14:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa5c5d7…
10-29 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x261966…
10-29 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x45f79c…
10-29 14:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xa97eb8…
10-29 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3db3c…
10-29 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x793908…
10-29 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x959403…
10-29 14:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc90353…
10-29 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xa0012d…
10-29 14:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x80ff9f…
10-29 14:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x716b16…
10-29 14:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x00375f…
10-29 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0562b9…
10-29 14:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa618fa…
10-29 14:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x06a769…
10-29 14:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x33d1b5…
10-29 14:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf3e433…
10-29 14:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4511cf…
10-29 13:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x58f0be…
10-29 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x7ed0cd…
10-29 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xaaa60f…
10-29 13:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x0b4693…
10-29 13:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x3d02b4…
10-29 13:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7fd0f…
10-29 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0xba5163…
10-29 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0xca853b…
10-29 13:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xcdf0cf…
10-29 13:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xcfb3e5…
10-29 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xf53743…
10-29 13:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xf7a7a4…
10-29 13:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x605425…
10-29 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x8619b7…
10-29 13:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x011013…
10-29 13:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x56cd6b…
10-29 13:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x08592e…
10-29 13:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xc692ca…
10-29 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xb6dc89…
10-29 13:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x443d01…
10-29 13:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x33de4b…
10-29 13:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xfda203…
10-29 12:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x95b2b0…
10-29 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xaf3291…
10-29 12:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x2552e8…
10-29 12:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xad1526…
10-29 12:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x476af5…
10-29 12:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x80f94e…
10-29 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xdff850…
10-29 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x6d7b24…
10-29 12:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xaf18df…
10-29 12:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xcc730f…
10-29 12:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6627c8…
10-29 12:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbfdf32…
10-29 12:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x001d0f…
10-29 12:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xab47ac…
10-29 12:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfaf13f…
10-29 12:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb2ebe5…
10-29 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x6a2fcc…
10-29 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x86800a…
10-29 10:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf47362…
10-29 10:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb17753…
10-29 10:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfaf34c…
10-29 10:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x916659…
10-29 10:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xff77c6…
10-29 10:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a7989…
10-29 10:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x983e82…
10-29 09:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x2a68b7…
10-29 09:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0c4858…
10-28 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xe2662d…
10-28 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7680aa…
10-28 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x60734f…
10-28 19:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3d01bb…
10-28 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0fb8eb…
10-28 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeb42a6…
10-28 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34c7ba…
10-28 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x867144…
10-28 19:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf6b167…
10-28 19:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x275245…
10-28 19:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc33f55…
10-28 18:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1c37c8…
10-28 18:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27	92¢	$24	0x6afd4d…
10-28 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xad4504…
10-28 18:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x36663b…
10-28 18:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0db1c7…
10-28 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe4759b…
10-28 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8b8a80…
10-28 18:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xc75447…
10-28 18:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2b5307…
10-28 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb0c70…
10-28 18:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x346d27…
10-28 18:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x89e2a3…
10-28 18:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x9b3346…
10-28 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x961611…
10-28 18:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb2002c…
10-28 18:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x909663…
10-28 18:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x7286a7…
10-28 18:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xbc7bdb…
10-28 18:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf9fde6…
10-28 18:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7e65b4…