Misguided-Warden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-22 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	3	$3.0K	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	03-11 11:10
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	+$0	03-11 13:48
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$664	5,663	5,663	+0	open	—	03-11 08:36
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	3	$145	914	914	+0	open	—	03-11 12:54
nba dal atl 2026 03 10 1h spread home 5pt5	1	$77	158	0	+158	open	—	03-10 16:22
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	3	$51	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	03-11 09:22
nhl cal nyr 2026 03 10 total 4pt5	2	$42	170	0	+170	open	—	03-10 15:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-07 10:49
chi qin zhe 2026 06 28 total 5pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	06-28 06:14
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	06-18 15:02
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 29?	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	05-29 11:05
ucl egn cel1 2026 07 22 total 0pt5	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	07-22 07:30
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total away 1pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	07-15 05:34
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	06-03 02:20
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-10 15:50
Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-19 07:13
will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	3	$8	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	03-11 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 07:30:15	ucl egn cel1 2026 07 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9d0e57…
07-15 05:34:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x106066…
06-28 06:14:11	chi qin zhe 2026 06 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xfb3702…
06-18 15:02:50	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x84c22d…
06-03 02:20:06	Spread: Spurs (-23.5)	Knicks	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x0a89d4…
05-29 11:05:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 29?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xa5a3e7…
05-19 07:13:21	Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)	Audax CS Italiano	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xc2d8f1…
05-07 10:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x99c36d…
03-11 13:48:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	1,527	94¢	$1,435	0x7a00e3…
03-11 13:38:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	449	94¢	$422	0xf1f340…
03-11 13:38:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0x4b7f32…
03-11 13:38:39	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	947	94¢	$890	0x2796fc…
03-11 12:54:49	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	895	8¢	$72	0x8ce85b…
03-11 12:54:49	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x0b8332…
03-11 12:49:15	Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	914	8¢	$72	0x43456e…
03-11 11:55:03	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$0	0xe619eb…
03-11 11:55:01	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	956	0¢	$2	0xf630c2…
03-11 11:46:53	will february 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$5	0x827fdb…
03-11 11:10:09	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	1,578	96¢	$1,518	0x6909ed…
03-11 10:59:53	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	1,262	96¢	$1,212	0xb4d51c…
03-11 10:59:53	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	316	96¢	$303	0x6695fe…
03-11 09:22:01	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	155	2¢	$3	0x8198d0…
03-11 09:21:59	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	959	2¢	$21	0x93dce5…
03-11 09:11:53	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,114	2¢	$27	0xf50b36…
03-11 08:36:47	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	1,804	6¢	$101	0xa2a001…
03-11 08:36:47	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	642	6¢	$36	0x3b009a…
03-11 08:30:05	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2,446	6¢	$144	0xb13879…
03-11 04:40:25	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	592	6¢	$34	0xdafba6…
03-11 04:40:25	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	428	6¢	$25	0x5fc81a…
03-11 04:40:25	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	563	6¢	$33	0x33eb90…
03-11 04:32:51	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,583	6¢	$95	0x6c37e1…
03-11 04:22:47	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	1,634	6¢	$98	0x48b57d…
03-11 04:14:55	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	866	6¢	$52	0xec3008…
03-11 04:14:55	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	768	6¢	$46	0x83f169…
03-10 16:22:13	nba dal atl 2026 03 10 1h spread home 5pt5	Mavericks	BUY	158	49¢	$77	0x022396…
03-10 15:50:41	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 spread home 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xf84ef8…
03-10 15:44:01	nhl cal nyr 2026 03 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	146	25¢	$36	0xc5cd9c…
03-10 15:44:01	nhl cal nyr 2026 03 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xc227b0…