Elegant-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$175

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

182

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$478.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$484

Open exposure

$1.59K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

67% 76% +$14,477

Politics

21% 76% -$8,353

Tech

8% 89% +$501

Crypto

4% 60% -$3,495

Sports

1% 0% -$943

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,692	$1,489	94¢	$1.6K	+$102	10-19 07:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		+0	-$73	96¢	$0	+$73	08-11 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$25.3K	25,089	3,000	+22,089	Yes	+$2,295	01-20 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$22.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$364	05-03 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	30	$21.7K	24,490	14,488	+10,002	Yes	+$9,988	04-30 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$19.1K	23,829	0	+23,829	No	+$4,689	03-26 21:38
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$15.6K	8,085	8,085	+0	No	+$361	03-26 21:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$14.2K	12,429	6,214	+6,215	Yes	+$991	07-29 16:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14.1K	15,435	0	+15,435	Yes	+$1,335	01-31 09:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	10	$13.9K	11,768	8,715	+3,054	Yes	+$196	06-26 18:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	29	$12.7K	9,500	4,315	+5,185	No	+$1,050	04-27 07:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	20	$12.5K	7,014	7,014	+0	No	+$626	05-23 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$10.4K	10,723	0	+10,723	No	+$291	04-30 10:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$9.5K	4,904	4,904	+0	No	+$263	06-26 01:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	23	$9.5K	5,331	5,331	+0	Yes	+$844	08-25 00:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$455	06-01 01:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	33	$9.0K	9,667	0	+9,667	Yes	+$660	04-27 14:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	17	$8.8K	4,600	4,600	+0	No	+$362	07-13 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$8.6K	4,547	4,547	+0	No	+$459	05-27 01:42
will wti reach 110 in august 2026	10	$8.5K	4,651	4,651	+0	No	+$524	08-20 13:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$7.7K	7,834	8,590	-756	Yes	-$7,485	04-07 23:28
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?	11	$7.6K	3,862	3,862	+0	Yes	+$90	05-15 06:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$7.0K	7,108	0	+7,108	Yes	+$108	02-02 21:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$7.0K	7,883	0	+7,883	No	+$883	03-19 16:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	18	$6.5K	3,508	3,508	+0	Yes	+$459	07-27 01:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$5.7K	6,031	6,031	+0	No	-$5,490	05-16 00:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$188	05-31 06:53
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$5.5K	5,779	2,836	+2,943	No	-$764	07-26 00:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	3	$4.5K	5,135	2,268	+2,867	No	+$879	03-19 10:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	3	$4.4K	2,374	2,374	+0	No	+$331	06-26 15:11
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$4.3K	4,703	4,703	+0	No	-$4,243	05-16 00:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$4.3K	3,582	3,582	+0	No	+$47	08-25 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 07:38:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,692	88¢	$1,489	0xe6ae9e…
09-27 15:12:47	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	390	99¢	$387	0xf0357d…
09-27 15:12:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	SELL	654	99¢	$647	0xe9f8fc…
09-24 17:10:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xe95647…
09-24 17:00:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5fd24a…
09-22 15:23:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	654	90¢	$587	0x74c149…
09-22 11:49:45	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	BUY	74	94¢	$69	0xbaa9c3…
09-22 11:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?	No	BUY	316	94¢	$296	0x85a41d…
09-21 01:22:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x159d06…
09-21 01:21:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	1,900	96¢	$1,818	0xd6e566…
09-21 01:21:32	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	456	96¢	$436	0x326211…
09-21 01:17:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0xf99d06…
09-16 13:08:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,161	89¢	$1,034	0x759f51…
09-12 06:25:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,473	80¢	$1,979	0x6c783d…
08-25 00:43:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,018	64¢	$1,931	0xcca73c…
08-25 00:42:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	SELL	1,000	91¢	$911	0x9eaa0b…
08-25 00:42:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	328	97¢	$317	0xce26c3…
08-20 13:21:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	4,773	97¢	$4,616	0xd8e3ac…
08-20 13:20:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xf8ddaa…
08-20 13:20:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	158	97¢	$153	0xb81bad…
08-20 13:17:19	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	170	97¢	$166	0x5cfdba…
08-20 13:17:19	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	170	97¢	$166	0x2e1c23…
08-20 13:17:18	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	3,214	97¢	$3,124	0xe50ed4…
08-20 13:08:43	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	169	97¢	$164	0x35f5fe…
08-20 13:01:58	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	169	97¢	$164	0x070b44…
08-20 12:55:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xb1ff5a…
08-20 12:51:06	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	169	97¢	$164	0x7d1ceb…
08-20 12:48:24	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	169	97¢	$164	0xe3e77a…
08-20 12:47:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xac9fdf…
08-20 11:20:37	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x81cfc7…
08-20 11:20:28	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0xe96e76…
08-20 11:12:22	bitcoin above 72k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,231	46¢	$565	0x338c45…
08-20 11:11:55	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,718	35¢	$607	0x9a8ecc…
08-19 04:37:33	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,285	0xf64d6d…
08-13 13:32:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	218	72¢	$157	0x790328…
08-11 08:08:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	146	81¢	$118	0x3230c6…
08-11 08:08:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x1371a0…
08-11 08:08:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x8a4d59…
08-08 16:20:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	123	81¢	$100	0xf61630…
08-08 16:09:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	450	81¢	$364	0x534d26…
08-08 16:02:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x48dad0…
08-08 15:56:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x7c5d5e…
08-08 15:49:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	217	81¢	$176	0xba9d86…
08-08 15:49:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x650d26…
08-08 15:49:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb2c95d…
08-08 15:49:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0x3a4ae9…
08-08 15:49:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2458ba…
08-08 15:49:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0xb784bc…
08-08 15:48:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0x8a76c2…
08-08 15:48:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x617dee…
08-07 13:45:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,018	63¢	$1,271	0x334b2d…
08-06 15:15:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x5f910b…
08-06 14:50:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x66a760…
08-06 14:43:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,500	81¢	$1,215	0x7f683e…
08-06 14:42:45	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x5b6974…
08-05 14:38:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x98a07f…
08-05 14:34:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xbea59d…
08-05 14:10:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb10589…
08-05 14:03:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd86eb7…
08-05 14:02:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfeb820…
08-05 14:02:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,376	85¢	$1,170	0xf640b9…
08-05 08:54:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	252	83¢	$209	0x621c51…
08-05 08:18:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,248	83¢	$1,036	0x86971f…
08-04 18:52:14	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	184	88¢	$162	0xc8de6d…
08-04 18:52:14	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x89d3f8…
08-04 18:52:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	88¢	$175	0xdddaac…
08-04 18:52:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	88¢	$175	0x59496d…
08-04 18:52:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	88¢	$175	0x50b2a8…
08-04 18:52:11	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x938848…
08-04 18:52:11	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	199	88¢	$175	0x6ee1a5…
08-04 18:50:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x3523fd…
08-04 18:49:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xd4f0ca…
08-02 07:42:11	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	368	89¢	$328	0x9b4951…
08-02 06:45:48	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x8ad401…
08-02 06:29:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	600	68¢	$408	0x662ba3…
08-02 06:27:24	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	232	89¢	$206	0x5341f3…
08-02 06:11:32	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	290	89¢	$258	0xe1b131…
08-02 06:10:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xf99035…
08-02 06:08:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0xf2b097…
08-02 05:27:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xc1af0a…
08-02 05:27:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xdeb277…
08-02 05:01:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x465da6…
08-01 23:10:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	231	76¢	$176	0xa9b96d…
08-01 22:26:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x29b85d…
08-01 21:39:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x9250c0…
08-01 20:44:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x4c7ce0…
08-01 20:28:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x9f21a7…
08-01 02:55:11	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	No	BUY	4,651	86¢	$4,000	0x929e82…
07-31 11:51:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,206	91¢	$1,100	0x3c9364…
07-29 16:15:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,214	72¢	$4,499	0x67e39b…
07-29 15:31:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,544	10¢	$154	0x549c13…
07-29 15:30:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5cedb7…
07-29 15:30:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x54dd69…
07-29 15:30:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	800	10¢	$80	0xe0c65b…
07-29 15:25:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x9a26ad…
07-29 15:06:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	245	10¢	$24	0x03014e…
07-29 14:14:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x2b238b…
07-27 01:25:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,283	99¢	$1,269	0x7499fc…
07-27 01:25:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0xeff5d6…
07-27 00:31:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,925	99¢	$1,904	0xbc8b30…