Elegant-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198

Unrealized P&L

+$687

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

607

lifetime

Volume

$328.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$541

Open exposure

$11.2K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 14:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

66% 75% +$87

Politics

26% 100% +$8

Crypto

4% 33% +$103

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+4,837	$4,098	90¢	$4.3K	+$232	06-01 01:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+3,547	$3,335	97¢	$3.4K	+$111	05-28 23:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	+2,384	$2,000	92¢	$2.2K	+$192	05-30 02:33
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	+1,225	$1,056	99¢	$1.2K	+$152	06-04 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$25.3K	25,089	3,000	+22,089	open	—	01-20 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$22.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	05-03 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	30	$21.7K	24,490	14,488	+10,002	open	—	04-30 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$19.1K	23,829	0	+23,829	open	—	03-26 21:38
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$15.6K	8,085	8,085	+0	open	—	03-26 21:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14.1K	15,435	0	+15,435	open	—	01-31 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	29	$12.7K	9,500	4,315	+5,185	open	—	04-27 07:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	17	$12.4K	7,014	6,866	+148	open	—	05-23 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$10.4K	10,723	0	+10,723	open	—	04-30 10:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-01 01:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	33	$9.0K	9,667	0	+9,667	open	—	04-27 14:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$8.6K	4,547	4,547	+0	open	—	05-27 01:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$7.7K	7,834	8,590	-756	open	—	04-07 23:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$7.0K	7,108	0	+7,108	open	—	02-02 21:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$7.0K	7,883	0	+7,883	open	—	03-19 16:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$5.7K	6,031	6,031	+0	open	—	05-16 00:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-31 06:53
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	3	$4.5K	5,135	2,268	+2,867	open	—	03-19 10:51
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$4.3K	4,703	4,703	+0	open	—	05-16 00:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$4.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-01 10:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,837	0	+4,837	open	—	06-01 01:17
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	4	$4.0K	4,070	0	+4,070	open	—	01-30 22:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,103	2,103	+0	open	—	06-01 01:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	30	$3.9K	4,688	0	+4,688	open	—	05-06 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	7	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-15 12:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-03 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	14	$3.5K	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	05-27 05:14
will russia announce a christmas truce	5	$3.5K	3,792	0	+3,792	open	—	01-01 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	15	$3.4K	5,285	1,752	+3,532	open	—	05-29 03:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$3.3K	3,547	0	+3,547	open	—	05-28 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:20:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	92¢	$178	0x4cd02f…
06-04 14:16:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	182	98¢	$179	0xc56ea8…
06-02 00:36:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	94¢	$993	0x6e7c8b…
06-01 16:45:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x761a7a…
06-01 16:44:50	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x519aae…
06-01 16:44:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	85¢	$191	0x72f492…
06-01 16:40:59	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x85b1a7…
06-01 16:31:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x465dfc…
06-01 16:21:11	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x5d6455…
06-01 16:05:36	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xf0c63b…
06-01 16:04:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x572fff…
06-01 16:04:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x6fa8ab…
06-01 01:17:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,360	85¢	$3,706	0x313be5…
06-01 01:16:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,621	100¢	$1,620	0x118652…
06-01 01:15:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,103	99¢	$2,086	0x82d0ca…
05-31 06:53:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0xd1bf90…
05-30 03:01:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	477	82¢	$391	0xeb55a2…
05-30 02:33:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	2,384	84¢	$2,000	0xc6b065…
05-29 03:07:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x6939f4…
05-29 03:07:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	146	92¢	$134	0x21baf6…
05-29 03:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,532	6¢	$200	0xa17f4d…
05-29 03:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,752	95¢	$1,666	0x0b4c02…
05-29 03:05:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	750	55¢	$413	0xca6b68…
05-29 03:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	900	48¢	$431	0x0b1ae1…
05-28 23:55:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	860	94¢	$809	0x9d387f…
05-28 23:54:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	820	99¢	$809	0xae29d6…
05-28 23:54:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,563	94¢	$2,410	0x26dabf…
05-28 23:54:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	2,441	99¢	$2,410	0xee1d6c…
05-28 23:53:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	123	94¢	$116	0xe1ddb2…
05-28 23:53:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xe94ddd…
05-27 05:15:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,103	90¢	$1,899	0xa35c27…
05-27 05:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1,943	98¢	$1,900	0x4bbe28…
05-27 01:42:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2,385	99¢	$2,361	0x07adab…
05-27 01:40:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1,719	98¢	$1,685	0xeef317…
05-27 01:40:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	954	98¢	$937	0x6c3479…
05-27 00:48:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x5d7d82…
05-27 00:48:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2,107	99¢	$2,091	0x778625…
05-26 23:48:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,406	77¢	$1,083	0x104fec…
05-26 14:28:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	469	74¢	$347	0x7a98bf…
05-26 14:27:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xe60e7b…
05-24 14:16:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x09551b…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xd836d6…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xa6acdb…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x2b612e…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x18e694…
05-23 18:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0xdcc17c…
05-23 18:30:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xdadf35…
05-23 18:30:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0x954b27…
05-23 18:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0x3043b5…
05-23 18:30:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0x78d7c9…
05-23 18:30:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0x61438f…
05-23 18:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	185	86¢	$159	0x775127…
05-23 18:22:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x091a7b…
05-23 18:21:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xa386ba…
05-23 18:16:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x4434c6…
05-23 18:00:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x80924e…
05-23 17:24:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0x8990b7…
05-23 17:24:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x02f788…
05-23 17:24:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x75ec64…
05-23 17:14:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	340	77¢	$262	0x6a5ce2…
05-23 15:52:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x8cb6d4…
05-23 15:50:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0xd5dcc8…
05-23 15:50:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	835	74¢	$618	0xd92ad1…
05-23 14:51:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x37ddb6…
05-23 14:13:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1,469	81¢	$1,190	0x66361a…
05-23 08:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	3,767	97¢	$3,658	0xb218b7…
05-23 07:57:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x29232d…
05-23 07:56:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0xae625b…
05-23 07:36:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x4e6e10…
05-23 07:14:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x142bab…
05-23 07:12:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xa1f996…
05-23 07:05:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x1edd66…
05-17 18:37:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	187	80¢	$149	0xe7a1dd…
05-17 18:24:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	134	80¢	$107	0xa65057…
05-17 18:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xe19c5f…
05-16 13:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	301	59¢	$178	0x9b46de…
05-16 11:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x81e09f…
05-16 11:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	360	33¢	$120	0x75a542…
05-16 11:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x7bef51…
05-16 11:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x5233b7…
05-16 11:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0x0590b2…
05-16 11:35:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	197	36¢	$71	0x2d7e10…
05-16 11:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xa80579…
05-16 11:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	121	36¢	$44	0x6be3a4…
05-16 11:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	37	36¢	$13	0xac1bd0…
05-16 11:29:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	120	36¢	$43	0xc84734…
05-16 07:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	2,000	25¢	$503	0x9cba4c…
05-16 00:53:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5,985	2¢	$110	0xa744e2…
05-16 00:53:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4,703	1¢	$40	0xaf94c6…
05-15 09:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x088f36…
05-15 08:10:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$250	0xcbd5d7…
05-15 07:32:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	104	87¢	$90	0x4a9f45…
05-15 07:32:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	396	87¢	$345	0xab7a59…
05-15 07:32:18	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	246	87¢	$215	0x64d651…
05-15 07:32:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	163	87¢	$142	0xb845e1…
05-15 07:32:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa4a48f…
05-15 07:32:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	81	87¢	$70	0x1adc27…
05-15 07:14:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3b5ceb…
05-15 07:14:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3ab698…
05-15 07:14:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2c9d2a…