Elegant-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$368.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$556

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

70% 75% +$87

Politics

23% 100% +$8

Crypto

4% 33% +$103

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$25.3K	25,089	3,000	+22,089	open	—	01-20 19:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	10	$22.2K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	05-03 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	30	$21.7K	24,490	14,488	+10,002	open	—	04-30 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$19.1K	23,829	0	+23,829	open	—	03-26 21:38
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$15.6K	8,085	8,085	+0	open	—	03-26 21:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14.1K	15,435	0	+15,435	open	—	01-31 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	29	$12.7K	9,500	4,315	+5,185	open	—	04-27 07:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	17	$12.4K	7,014	6,866	+148	open	—	05-23 08:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	9	$10.8K	7,974	8,715	-741	open	—	06-26 18:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$10.4K	10,723	0	+10,723	open	—	04-30 10:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$9.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-01 01:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	33	$9.0K	9,667	0	+9,667	open	—	04-27 14:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	17	$8.8K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	07-13 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$8.6K	4,547	4,547	+0	open	—	05-27 01:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$8.2K	3,547	4,904	-1,357	open	—	06-26 01:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$7.7K	7,834	8,590	-756	open	—	04-07 23:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$7.0K	7,108	0	+7,108	open	—	02-02 21:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$7.0K	7,883	0	+7,883	open	—	03-19 16:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	21	$5.7K	6,031	6,031	+0	open	—	05-16 00:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	17	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-31 06:53
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	3	$4.5K	5,135	2,268	+2,867	open	—	03-19 10:51
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$4.3K	4,703	4,703	+0	open	—	05-16 00:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$4.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-01 10:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,837	0	+4,837	open	—	06-01 01:17
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	4	$4.0K	4,070	0	+4,070	open	—	01-30 22:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,103	2,103	+0	open	—	06-01 01:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	30	$3.9K	4,688	0	+4,688	open	—	05-06 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	7	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-15 12:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-03 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	14	$3.5K	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	05-27 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 14:46:07	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	415	71¢	$295	0xab9bf8…
07-23 13:12:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	983	65¢	$638	0x21fb9b…
07-23 13:12:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,853	36¢	$666	0x039b4d…
07-20 00:27:10	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	393	92¢	$360	0xf773ee…
07-14 20:47:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	2,468	2¢	$59	0x506aa2…
07-14 13:06:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2,468	60¢	$1,475	0x62efac…
07-14 00:35:38	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	850	82¢	$700	0x5ffbe4…
07-14 00:30:53	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,120	89¢	$1,000	0xca7c87…
07-13 23:35:01	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x321f4c…
07-13 18:19:38	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	791	91¢	$718	0xba2eac…
07-13 18:18:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	730	82¢	$600	0x8d1821…
07-13 18:17:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xa6e6e4…
07-13 18:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3,240	100¢	$3,227	0x698747…
07-13 18:16:14	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,003	86¢	$861	0x442f1f…
07-13 18:15:37	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0x25d31a…
07-13 18:14:22	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	501	80¢	$400	0x388da5…
07-13 18:14:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,260	100¢	$1,255	0x4878ed…
07-13 18:13:40	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	1,000	21¢	$215	0xa133af…
07-06 23:53:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x823491…
07-03 02:09:26	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x1c9f0e…
07-03 02:01:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xc7ddfa…
07-03 00:27:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	900	87¢	$783	0xd5d47d…
07-02 14:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,065	91¢	$969	0xdd5c3d…
07-02 14:14:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0xb32b48…
07-02 13:06:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x411bd4…
07-02 12:48:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x16fcdc…
07-02 12:46:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xd7e278…
07-02 12:37:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x00f6a8…
07-02 12:31:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x7686e0…
07-02 12:23:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	86	91¢	$79	0x984c2b…
07-02 12:15:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x84b717…
07-02 12:11:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x93f88a…
07-02 12:01:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x497b88…
07-02 11:59:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0xf6395f…
07-02 11:59:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xbd6694…
07-02 11:56:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	235	91¢	$214	0x585208…
07-01 14:53:29	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	980	77¢	$755	0x479276…
07-01 13:48:40	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4710e6…
06-26 18:18:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x190df2…
06-26 15:15:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x8b548b…
06-26 15:13:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,493	94¢	$1,400	0x1b7c56…
06-26 15:12:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,066	94¢	$1,000	0x53ad88…
06-26 15:11:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,374	100¢	$2,364	0x7dc80d…
06-26 15:11:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$511	0xfbb510…
06-26 01:50:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$511	0x3e9dfb…
06-26 01:41:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3,904	100¢	$3,892	0x2581d2…
06-25 20:21:59	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xa6ee32…
06-25 07:57:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,920	72¢	$3,541	0x368eac…
06-23 11:31:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$995	0x89a338…
06-23 07:49:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,589	49¢	$1,751	0x6dcfb2…
06-23 07:48:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,332	49¢	$649	0x6d26d8…
06-23 07:48:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	3,526	52¢	$1,826	0x5bd623…
06-23 07:39:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	269	57¢	$153	0x8e43bf…
06-21 04:45:01	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	402	50¢	$200	0xfbe98a…
06-20 00:29:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	880	99¢	$875	0x10b8fa…
06-19 13:55:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xd6c5cb…
06-04 14:20:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	92¢	$178	0x4cd02f…
06-04 14:16:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	182	98¢	$179	0xc56ea8…
06-02 00:36:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,056	94¢	$993	0x6e7c8b…
06-01 16:45:07	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x761a7a…
06-01 16:44:50	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x519aae…
06-01 16:44:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	85¢	$191	0x72f492…
06-01 16:40:59	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x85b1a7…
06-01 16:31:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x465dfc…
06-01 16:21:11	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x5d6455…
06-01 16:05:36	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xf0c63b…
06-01 16:04:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x572fff…
06-01 16:04:21	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x6fa8ab…
06-01 01:17:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,360	85¢	$3,706	0x313be5…
06-01 01:16:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,621	100¢	$1,620	0x118652…
06-01 01:15:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,103	99¢	$2,086	0x82d0ca…
05-31 06:53:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0xd1bf90…
05-30 03:01:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	477	82¢	$391	0xeb55a2…
05-30 02:33:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	2,384	84¢	$2,000	0xc6b065…
05-29 03:07:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x6939f4…
05-29 03:07:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	BUY	146	92¢	$134	0x21baf6…
05-29 03:06:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,532	6¢	$200	0xa17f4d…
05-29 03:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,752	95¢	$1,666	0x0b4c02…
05-29 03:05:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	750	55¢	$413	0xca6b68…
05-29 03:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	900	48¢	$431	0x0b1ae1…
05-28 23:55:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	860	94¢	$809	0x9d387f…
05-28 23:54:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	820	99¢	$809	0xae29d6…
05-28 23:54:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	2,563	94¢	$2,410	0x26dabf…
05-28 23:54:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	2,441	99¢	$2,410	0xee1d6c…
05-28 23:53:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	123	94¢	$116	0xe1ddb2…
05-28 23:53:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xe94ddd…
05-27 05:15:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,103	90¢	$1,899	0xa35c27…
05-27 05:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1,943	98¢	$1,900	0x4bbe28…
05-27 01:42:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2,385	99¢	$2,361	0x07adab…
05-27 01:40:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1,719	98¢	$1,685	0xeef317…
05-27 01:40:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	954	98¢	$937	0x6c3479…
05-27 00:48:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x5d7d82…
05-27 00:48:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2,107	99¢	$2,091	0x778625…
05-26 23:48:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,406	77¢	$1,083	0x104fec…
05-26 14:28:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	469	74¢	$347	0x7a98bf…
05-26 14:27:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0xe60e7b…
05-24 14:16:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x09551b…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xd836d6…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0xa6acdb…
05-23 18:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x2b612e…