Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 10-15 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

84% 52% +$3

Politics

14% 50% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	08-08 16:15
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	08-08 16:16
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	09-27 03:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 09:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	08-01 15:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	08-07 03:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 03:06
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-03 11:06
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-05 19:14
uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-06 19:16
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	08-18 05:03
aapl up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	-$2	08-06 11:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:01
will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	07-31 12:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-06 03:15
will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-05 11:11
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-03 19:10
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-11 05:06
sofi quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt11	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 23:27
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	07-28 23:04
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	07-26 16:08
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-29 15:59
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-08 16:16
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	09-27 03:15
will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-27 04:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-01 23:59
will procter gamble say customer 5 times during earnings call 20260717164206371	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	07-26 04:08
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	0	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-31 20:54
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	0	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-30 15:56
will warsh say restrictive during july press conference 20260720204109047	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	07-28 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 06:02:47	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1fdc25…
10-14 22:02:00	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt5b	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb3eb6…
10-14 01:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x7b88e6…
10-13 17:24:27	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2be186…
10-13 09:24:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdad71d…
10-13 01:24:05	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x957e04…
10-10 16:52:54	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeb6eb3…
10-09 19:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe81fdb…
10-09 10:27:51	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x39c800…
10-07 14:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x196d9b…
10-07 05:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9476b9…
10-06 21:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf86eaa…
10-05 12:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2604fe…
10-01 23:42:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcc2ec2…
10-01 14:50:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe514cd…
10-01 06:50:32	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc43e98…
09-30 22:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc1138b…
09-27 14:01:21	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x79278c…
09-27 05:56:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdd79aa…
09-27 03:15:45	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x21abcd…
09-27 03:15:32	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x4ab358…
09-26 08:33:57	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcbc671…
09-26 00:33:21	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x531e42…
09-23 02:24:41	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7e5878…
08-18 05:03:12	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x07c493…
08-11 05:06:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0b0fa2…
08-08 16:16:24	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa96a61…
08-08 16:16:09	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xe2638b…
08-08 16:15:49	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x9ddefb…
08-08 08:38:30	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb2d98d…
08-08 00:38:04	gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0pt01	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xde7995…
08-07 03:17:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x76f96a…
08-06 19:16:53	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb0df2b…
08-06 11:15:35	aapl up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x07c069…
08-06 03:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3ea75c…
08-05 19:14:17	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd8832b…
08-05 11:11:51	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xdd844e…
08-05 03:11:33	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x045854…
08-03 19:10:00	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe36d0f…
08-03 11:06:36	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7c2b4f…
08-03 03:06:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b0404…
08-02 19:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa71432…
08-02 09:04:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0945db…
08-01 23:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x496ad3…
08-01 15:57:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb06a65…
08-01 04:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x97e9b2…
07-31 20:54:39	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc24d3f…
07-31 12:54:30	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9a5219…
07-30 15:56:11	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf0d166…
07-29 15:59:27	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcccb39…
07-29 07:40:35	Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x84607a…
07-28 23:04:55	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1652c3…
07-28 12:01:43	will warsh say restrictive during july press conference 20260720204109047	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1f78bc…
07-27 23:27:43	sofi quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt11	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x43275a…
07-27 04:09:24	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfab853…
07-26 16:08:22	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1041e6…
07-26 04:08:06	will procter gamble say customer 5 times during earnings call 20260717164206371	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x01fff8…