Average-Replacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

444

lifetime

Volume

$836

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-28 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$0

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776613800	4	$19	17	16	+1	open	—	04-19 15:56
btc updown 5m 1776659700	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-20 04:40
btc updown 5m 1776591600	4	$17	14	13	+0	open	—	04-19 09:44
btc updown 5m 1776629400	5	$14	18	13	+5	open	—	04-19 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776579300	3	$12	12	6	+5	open	—	04-19 06:19
btc updown 5m 1776657600	4	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-20 04:04
btc updown 5m 1776661800	3	$11	10	4	+6	open	—	04-20 05:14
btc updown 5m 1776655200	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 03:26
btc updown 5m 1776593100	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-19 10:09
btc updown 5m 1776614400	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-19 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776592200	3	$10	11	5	+6	open	—	04-19 09:53
btc updown 5m 1776618000	5	$10	22	18	+4	open	—	04-19 17:03
btc updown 5m 1776617700	5	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	04-19 16:58
btc updown 5m 1776582300	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 07:07
btc updown 5m 1776587400	2	$9	9	8	+1	open	—	04-19 08:35
btc updown 5m 1776663000	6	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-20 05:35
btc updown 5m 1776593700	4	$9	8	7	+0	open	—	04-19 10:18
btc updown 5m 1776589500	3	$8	22	8	+14	open	—	04-19 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776615300	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-19 16:16
btc updown 5m 1776623400	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776618300	4	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-19 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776588600	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-19 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776615600	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 16:24
btc updown 5m 1776589800	3	$7	15	5	+10	open	—	04-19 09:12
btc updown 5m 1776618900	3	$7	6	2	+4	open	—	04-19 17:19
btc updown 5m 1776632700	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 21:10
btc updown 5m 1776616500	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 16:40
btc updown 5m 1776660000	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-20 04:46
btc updown 5m 1776934200	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776630900	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-19 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb6ccd6…
05-24 00:31:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb2beaf…
05-18 04:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x003273…
05-16 05:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x8e8746…
05-16 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x25d6b5…
05-16 05:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x1f3633…
05-16 05:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa42acb…
05-14 20:13:33	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xfdf58b…
05-14 08:48:07	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xab9fcf…
05-13 02:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x46385a…
05-11 04:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x8e852f…
05-11 04:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1aac83…
04-28 09:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x8b67c4…
04-27 01:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x090cef…
04-27 01:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x68d48c…
04-27 01:56:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xfaff2f…
04-26 23:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe1c9a4…
04-26 01:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x983e46…
04-25 23:05:48	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8d9ea8…
04-25 22:59:12	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x6523fc…
04-25 22:50:36	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaa4e2b…
04-25 22:44:18	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdf7ac4…
04-25 22:36:24	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfc6156…
04-25 22:36:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0a9ebc…
04-25 22:30:42	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf663aa…
04-25 22:29:46	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1567f0…
04-25 22:22:20	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x20d967…
04-25 22:14:34	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2aa819…
04-25 22:11:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab55df…
04-25 21:52:58	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xa0511d…
04-25 21:46:02	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x895f9b…
04-25 21:30:46	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x092c13…
04-25 21:25:22	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x480b0a…
04-25 21:24:30	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x95ba49…
04-25 21:22:40	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7bfbb3…
04-25 20:51:12	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x901a08…
04-25 06:17:24	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2a1a0f…
04-24 02:39:40	will mrbeasts video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6	Yes	SELL	242	0¢	$0	0xd97ea6…
04-24 02:36:12	will mrbeasts video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xcbd900…
04-23 23:43:08	will mrbeasts video get between 82 and 83 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x08b056…
04-23 23:28:58	will mrbeasts video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xd4607c…
04-23 22:31:40	will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x3ea130…
04-23 21:46:32	will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x44c437…
04-23 20:01:12	will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xdb0fff…
04-23 19:29:18	will mrbeasts video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4f2f07…
04-23 19:26:10	btc updown 5m 1776972000	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd55480…
04-23 19:21:30	btc updown 5m 1776972000	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd69c39…
04-23 19:20:58	btc updown 5m 1776972000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x78bf3d…
04-23 19:15:28	btc updown 5m 1776971700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdd8120…
04-23 19:09:20	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6904df…
04-23 19:02:58	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7c694c…
04-23 19:02:28	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x9d9dc0…
04-23 19:01:28	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x950447…
04-23 18:55:20	btc updown 5m 1776970500	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8f344a…
04-23 18:52:14	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x49db43…
04-23 18:51:52	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xda5e6d…
04-23 18:50:58	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc59451…
04-23 18:50:40	btc updown 5m 1776970200	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5c1aea…
04-23 18:45:54	btc updown 5m 1776969900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3c5d4a…
04-23 18:42:16	btc updown 5m 1776969600	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x024700…
04-23 18:41:52	btc updown 5m 1776969600	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb3fa2…
04-23 18:38:30	btc updown 5m 1776969300	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x5e924b…
04-23 18:36:20	btc updown 5m 1776969300	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6200d1…
04-23 18:30:24	btc updown 5m 1776969000	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x08b5e3…
04-23 18:25:20	btc updown 5m 1776968700	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x024d41…
04-23 18:21:30	btc updown 5m 1776968400	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xcb4cbd…
04-23 18:20:42	btc updown 5m 1776968400	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0b0d32…
04-23 18:17:28	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x7e4412…
04-23 18:15:40	btc updown 5m 1776968100	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x151071…
04-23 18:10:38	btc updown 5m 1776967800	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xf7a59e…
04-23 18:07:02	btc updown 5m 1776967500	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x9d4652…
04-23 18:06:12	btc updown 5m 1776967500	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf2a202…
04-23 18:02:26	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xf05134…
04-23 18:02:00	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x580125…
04-23 18:00:38	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xac6c75…
04-23 17:59:24	btc updown 5m 1776966900	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x64a484…
04-23 09:35:48	btc updown 5m 1776936900	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3e84cc…
04-23 09:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776936600	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x054248…
04-23 09:30:14	btc updown 5m 1776936600	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x031bac…
04-23 09:28:42	btc updown 5m 1776936300	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x5d263e…
04-23 09:27:54	btc updown 5m 1776936300	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x8223b6…
04-23 09:26:48	btc updown 5m 1776936300	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8f94b1…
04-23 09:25:14	btc updown 5m 1776936300	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9c9e80…
04-23 09:22:06	btc updown 5m 1776936000	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x9053fb…
04-23 09:21:16	btc updown 5m 1776936000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xebf6b9…
04-23 09:15:52	btc updown 5m 1776935700	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x9e14ff…
04-23 09:11:40	btc updown 5m 1776935400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x69d005…
04-23 09:10:58	btc updown 5m 1776935400	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5faac5…
04-23 09:06:20	btc updown 5m 1776935100	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x047e3b…
04-23 09:05:24	btc updown 5m 1776935100	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x46fbca…
04-23 09:00:44	btc updown 5m 1776934800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x383b01…
04-23 08:56:40	btc updown 5m 1776934500	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x49a744…
04-23 08:55:52	btc updown 5m 1776934500	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1b0bc8…
04-23 08:54:42	btc updown 5m 1776934200	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x03f204…
04-23 08:54:18	btc updown 5m 1776934200	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x8f6630…
04-23 08:52:08	btc updown 5m 1776934200	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbd35a5…
04-23 08:50:26	btc updown 5m 1776934200	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xf0743f…
04-23 08:46:26	btc updown 5m 1776933900	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xd559f4…
04-23 08:42:50	btc updown 5m 1776933600	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xee1c74…
04-23 08:41:00	btc updown 5m 1776933600	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x60fa46…