Rusty-Creche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-17 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$223	114	114	+0	open	—	04-29 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$207	107	107	+0	open	—	04-29 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	04-29 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	04-29 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$125	66	66	+0	open	—	04-29 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$111	61	61	+0	open	—	04-29 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$110	61	61	+0	open	—	04-29 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	04-29 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$98	77	48	+29	open	—	04-29 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	6	$97	52	52	+0	open	—	04-29 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$90	70	41	+30	open	—	04-29 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	7	$88	47	47	+0	open	—	04-29 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$87	58	58	+0	open	—	04-29 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	04-29 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	04-29 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	04-29 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	05-04 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	04-29 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	04-29 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-29 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-29 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-29 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	7	$55	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	04-29 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	04-29 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	5	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	04-30 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$48	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 18:25:23	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcff6c7…
06-17 18:24:38	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x663d1f…
06-17 18:24:28	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x46629b…
06-17 18:20:35	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x90892f…
06-17 18:15:52	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd23408…
06-17 18:15:44	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8b8e62…
05-26 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd5a4d3…
05-26 20:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x922e83…
05-25 05:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8fe4b3…
05-25 05:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7fec72…
05-25 05:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe954f4…
05-25 05:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcf7845…
05-25 04:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbfb3f9…
05-25 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x76fb9a…
05-21 03:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x875e6f…
05-21 03:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5eac5c…
05-21 03:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3658d4…
05-21 03:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x334655…
05-21 03:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x322036…
05-21 03:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x23aed8…
05-21 03:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf142f3…
05-21 02:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x17a855…
05-21 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x08c5ba…
05-21 02:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1fb512…
05-14 05:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x640a44…
05-14 05:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6f4c98…
05-14 05:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x52ebae…
05-14 05:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x81a7e0…
05-14 05:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5d0fcb…
05-14 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf41f2c…
05-14 05:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x903e97…
05-14 05:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x975cef…
05-13 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0b51e6…
05-12 06:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe9fdf6…
05-12 06:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x6802f6…
05-12 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x69eac5…
05-12 05:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xff7e64…
05-12 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf551cc…
05-12 05:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2d0c5c…
05-12 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x280119…
05-12 05:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xc0bf23…
05-12 05:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3d415b…
05-12 05:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x61b692…
05-12 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xf42109…
05-12 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe842b8…
05-12 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x474eec…
05-12 05:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x297002…
05-12 05:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc5c8a2…
05-12 05:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3476f5…
05-12 05:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8c93c4…
05-12 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd4972a…
05-12 05:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf867b9…
05-12 05:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf0c5c6…
05-12 05:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf17eb…
05-12 05:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3335ab…
05-12 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x06659c…
05-12 05:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x990aa5…
05-12 05:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9e4b2…
05-12 05:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x33591f…
05-12 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x094ce8…
05-12 05:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcee3c0…
05-12 05:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8569e7…
05-12 05:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0d27b2…
05-12 05:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x645fb1…
05-12 05:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8ab94b…
05-11 05:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x23d879…
05-11 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x65f91d…
05-11 05:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd6bc18…
05-11 05:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb58372…
05-11 05:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x100508…
05-11 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf3d240…
05-11 05:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x075343…
05-11 05:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x198db8…
05-11 05:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x18149c…
05-11 05:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdcb6bd…
05-11 05:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a74e8…
05-11 05:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9aa86e…
05-11 05:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfd5068…
05-11 05:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x97575c…
05-11 05:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4d1804…
05-11 05:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xae92bd…
05-11 05:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x974a1f…
05-09 03:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe8ef65…
05-09 03:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8335c6…
05-07 08:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x927c4d…
05-07 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdfe7f2…
05-07 08:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf46638…
05-07 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf40c2d…
05-07 08:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xb6a629…
05-07 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf6e367…
05-07 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7095e9…
05-07 08:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e386e…
05-07 08:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7fc43c…
05-07 08:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xcf041a…
05-07 08:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x91e6c4…
05-07 08:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9bae0b…
05-07 08:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5bca37…
05-07 08:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9c8bb1…
05-06 04:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfa53b5…
05-06 03:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x07496c…