Complete-Relaxation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

648

Trades

786

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-27 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 77% -$70

Other

17% 41% -$45

Sports

10% 52% -$3

Politics

7% 0% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+7	$1	91¢	$6	+$5	09-20 01:19
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	+2	$1	56¢	$1	+$0	10-23 23:41
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5	$1	22¢	$1	+$0	09-20 01:35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	14¢	$1	$0	09-20 01:35
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-20 01:33
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3	$1	14¢	$0	-$1	09-20 01:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$267	193	128	+65	Yes	-$53	02-27 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:10 UTC	2	$100	51	50	+0	Up	+$0	02-27 14:15
epl bri not 2026 03 01 bri	3	$85	45	45	+0	Yes	+$5	03-01 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:10 UTC	1	$65	92	0	+92	Down	-$65	03-02 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 19:40 UTC	1	$64	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	03-01 19:44
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	5	$64	35	35	+0	Yes	+$6	03-01 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:20 UTC	1	$52	54	0	+54	Down	+$2	03-01 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:10 UTC	1	$51	52	0	+52	Up	+$1	03-01 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:20 UTC	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-01 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:15 UTC	1	$48	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	03-01 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:05 UTC	1	$47	48	0	+48	Up	+$1	03-01 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:30 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$0	03-01 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:25 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Up	+$1	03-01 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:20 UTC	1	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	03-01 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	03-01 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	03-01 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:05 UTC	1	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	03-01 06:08
will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	3	$40	52	24	+28	No	-$23	03-16 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:50 UTC	1	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-01 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:45 UTC	1	$39	41	0	+41	Up	+$2	03-01 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:40 UTC	1	$39	39	0	+39	Down	+$0	03-01 05:44
wbc jap aus 2026 03 08	1	$36	38	0	+38	Japan	+$2	03-08 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:25 UTC	1	$35	35	0	+35	Down	+$0	03-01 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:30 UTC	1	$35	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	03-01 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:20 UTC	1	$35	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	03-01 05:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 14:15 UTC	4	$35	25	24	+0	Up	-$5	02-28 14:20
wbc jap sok 2026 03 07	1	$32	35	0	+35	Japan	+$3	03-07 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:15 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	03-01 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:55 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	03-01 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:55 UTC	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	03-01 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:39:51	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4934f…
10-26 23:14:14	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x603051…
10-24 20:55:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x39d5c7…
10-23 23:43:21	Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x197387…
10-23 23:42:45	Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf9f8f5…
10-23 23:41:39	Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfae3a9…
10-23 23:39:32	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7742a4…
10-23 23:38:21	Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1dab1e…
10-23 23:38:12	Will Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb9fddb…
10-23 23:38:00	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9eb1a6…
10-23 23:35:26	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc1434d…
10-23 23:33:26	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x06b3ee…
10-23 23:33:08	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbbb28d…
10-23 23:25:47	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x93d288…
10-23 23:25:29	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x32d467…
10-23 23:24:59	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97e3ef…
10-23 23:24:09	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x98aca4…
10-23 23:23:53	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a5071…
10-23 23:20:47	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6959e…
10-23 23:20:33	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6d1860…
10-23 23:19:54	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xabc8dd…
10-23 23:19:03	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfb0c73…
10-23 23:18:42	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7213ca…
10-23 23:18:00	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x51f311…
10-23 23:15:08	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x41d2f0…
10-23 23:12:23	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x668e6c…
10-23 23:09:32	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x95d9bf…
10-23 23:09:20	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa16bb6…
10-23 23:08:11	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbb6a04…
10-23 23:05:41	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x291a32…
10-23 23:01:57	Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfbb0e6…
10-23 22:59:47	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5b2bf2…
10-16 02:09:04	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3a2d4d…
10-15 02:09:43	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x977ef1…
10-12 21:32:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9526c4…
10-12 21:31:50	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f711f…
10-12 00:27:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0fb518…
10-06 00:13:04	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3c372b…
10-05 02:27:58	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4b1e79…
10-04 19:25:46	mlb sd mil 2026 10 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf52989…
10-03 06:04:14	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x07ec94…
10-03 06:04:09	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc9d093…
10-03 06:04:03	mlb atl lad 2026 10 03	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1e2dd4…
10-03 06:03:56	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd03641…
10-03 06:03:11	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbc546a…
10-03 06:02:56	Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons	Tokyo Yakult Swallows	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78d45a…
10-03 06:02:45	Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStars	Yomiuri Giants	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x550f3b…
10-03 06:02:06	Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x35316c…
09-24 18:20:17	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xafe5af…
09-24 18:20:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x91d915…
09-24 18:19:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x843147…
09-22 23:47:02	Will Taj Bradley lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x59cc06…
09-22 23:46:55	Will Garrett Crochet lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x749e80…
09-22 23:46:44	Will Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xaf4b1f…
09-22 23:46:37	Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xb20fed…
09-22 23:46:29	Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xb13c5e…
09-22 23:46:22	Will Nick Pivetta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x530de2…
09-22 23:46:14	Will Tarik Skubal lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x62842e…
09-22 23:46:07	Will Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x28ec2c…
09-22 23:45:59	Will Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x94b4dc…
09-22 23:45:37	Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x1d7635…
09-22 23:45:29	Will Eugenio Suárez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x802856…
09-22 23:45:22	Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x416585…
09-22 23:44:55	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xeb0e7f…
09-22 23:44:44	Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x14dce7…
09-22 23:44:34	Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xc3dfc8…
09-22 23:44:05	Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x68b257…
09-22 23:43:56	Will Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x3104ed…
09-22 23:43:44	Will Hunter Brown lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x431177…
09-22 23:43:31	Will Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xdc7923…
09-22 23:43:04	Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x73420f…
09-22 23:42:43	Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x8ff2f2…
09-22 23:41:58	Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x75fb2d…
09-20 01:35:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a9a9a…
09-20 01:35:19	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3ff9e2…
09-20 01:34:30	Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcd7afd…
09-20 01:34:15	Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa53623…
09-20 01:33:00	Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4b4127…
09-20 01:32:36	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8b5d2a…
09-20 01:31:07	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xefc242…
09-20 01:30:40	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d1281…
09-20 01:29:51	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe1fd9f…
09-20 01:29:09	Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xaf6937…
09-20 01:29:06	Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xef7e46…
09-20 01:29:01	Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4921a8…
09-20 01:28:57	Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xacbe16…
09-20 01:28:51	Will Eugenio Suárez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x47901f…
09-20 01:28:48	Will Pete Alonso lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x246bd6…
09-20 01:27:39	Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2eb1a1…
09-20 01:27:19	Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc33c98…
09-20 01:27:10	Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe6b48b…
09-20 01:25:25	Will Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6f9ea9…
09-20 01:23:57	Will Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x0138b6…
09-20 01:23:30	Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x84acb3…
09-20 01:23:25	Will Garrett Crochet lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x8c34fa…
09-20 01:23:13	Will Taj Bradley lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xdeb0be…
09-20 01:23:06	Will Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc1f4dd…
09-20 01:22:58	Will Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x363094…
09-20 01:22:42	Will Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xe7e665…
09-20 01:22:10	Will Nick Pivetta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xbe984c…